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6 S Bailey St
D Composite 42.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,900

6 S Bailey St · Pryor Creek, OK 74361
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1950 8,233 sqft lot ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This spacious corner property offers a rare in-town setting just minutes from Lake Hudson. The home has been taken down to the studs, providing a blank canvas for investors or buyers eager to design from the ground up. With plenty of room to build, expand, or re-imagine, this property is full of potential in a convenient location close to shopping, dining, and recreation. Bring your creativity and turn this into something special.

Key facts

  • Blank canvas
  • In town setting
  • Convenient location

Tags

DOUBLE LOT OPPORTUNITYCORNER PROPERTYIN TOWN SETTINGBLANK CANVASCONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.189 acres
  • Financial info: Tax details withheld (financial specifics excluded)
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Home faces south; Entry level details not specified
  • Construction: Built with wood frame construction; Asphalt fiberglass roof; Crawlspace foundation; Year built source: public records (year not specified)
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Access to Hudson Lake (less than 10 miles away); No additional exterior features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom count not specified
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating and cooling details not provided
  • Interior features: No notable interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $26k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $785 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $26k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 42.7% vs local median 3.9% in Pryor Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#51 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Pryor (town): math 24% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 270 in OK (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 23 units permitted in Mayes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $179 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $777 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mayes County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $24,346 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.69%
Cap rate
42.68%
Cash-on-cash
129.96%
DSCR
6.78
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,840
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7 S Orphan St 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,068 (+1%) 3mo $43,000 $40 87
5 S Orphan St 0.11mi 2/1.0 936 (-11%) 2mo $24,900 $27 75
232 Eastmanor Cir 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,070 (+1%) 6mo $182,000 $170 65
309 N Fairland St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,116 (+6%) 2mo $179,900 $161 59
223 E Manor Cir 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,085 (+3%) 9mo $175,000 $161 59
420 N Oklahoma 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,061 (+0%) 4mo $169,900 $160 58
415 N Orphan St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+2%) 5mo $87,500 $81 56
403 N Ora St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (+11%) 1mo $88,750 $75 47
308 N Rowe 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 945 (-10%) 1mo $51,000 $54 44
319 N Coo-y-yah St N 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-9%) 8mo $134,000 $140 44
320 N Hogan St 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,209 (+14%) 4mo $137,000 $113 43
320 Heron Cir 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,170 (+11%) 6mo $195,000 $167 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.32×
Total profit
$45,841
Equity at exit
$3,862
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.40×
Total profit
$104,394
Equity at exit
$2,239

Cash invested: $7,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74361

Active inventory
159
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,215 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$136
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $338/yr
Insurance
$11
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$785

Break-even live

Break-even rent $221
Max offer price $25,900
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $800 -5% $793 +0% $785 +5% $778 +10% $771
Rent -10% $689 -5% $737 +0% $785 +5% $833 +10% $881
Rate -1.0pp $798 -0.5pp $792 base $785 +0.5pp $779 +1.0pp $772

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,475
Closing costs
$777
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
111 N Elliott St Unit A Pryor, OK 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 14d 1 0.35mi
202 N Ora St Pryor, OK 3.0 2.0 1291 $1,600 $1.24 19d 1 0.37mi
1220 SE 9th St Pryor, OK 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 909 $1,049 $1.15 2d 5 0.89mi
1501 Meadow Trace Dr Unit 1 Pryor, OK 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,029 $1.03 2d 3 1.19mi
1707 S Elliott St Pryor, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 870 $1,275 $1.47 2d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $25,900 Pending 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,900 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,900 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $25,900 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $25,900 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,900 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,900 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,900 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,900 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-05-04
    price $29,900
  11. 2026-04-08
    price $34,000
  12. 2026-03-26
    status Active
  13. 2026-02-10
    status Pending
  14. 2026-02-10
    historical
  15. 2026-02-06
    listed $38,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$338 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$338 · $28/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,585
− Mortgage interest
−$1,451
− Property taxes
−$338
− Insurance
−$130
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,167
− Management
−$1,167
− Depreciation
−$753
Taxable income
$9,580
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,299
After-tax cash flow
$7,126/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pryor
NCES district ID
4025200
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,306
Composite
19.46/100
National rank
#8774
State rank
#143 of 270 in OK

Livability — Pryor Creek

Score
69/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#8653

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pryor Creek, OK
County
Mayes County · 17,612 people
City population
17,582
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
17,612
Household income
$58,681
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
326.0

Population outlook (Mayes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,941 people
By 2030
39,172 · -1.9%
By 2040
37,540 · -6.0%
By 2050
35,854 · -10.2%
By 2075
32,361 · -19.0%
By 2100
28,054 · -29.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Native American 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mayes

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.5) · D 20.3% · R 77.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.4pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -57.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.5 2020: R+55.1 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+28.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.81%
Current HPI
247.7737
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $29,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $34,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-26 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-10 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-10 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $38,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $338 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…