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124 Newfield St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 63.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$154,900

124 Newfield St · Buffalo, NY 14207
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1916 3,210 sqft lot $121/sqft · 27% below area Est $212k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 124 Newfield Street, Buffalo, NY — a well-maintained 4-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home offering great potential for both owner-occupants and investors. This property features new vinyl flooring in the living and dining rooms, solid mechanics, and a spacious layout with plenty of natural light. The home includes a full basement providing additional storage or workspace. Currently tenant-occupied at $1,300/month, this property offers immediate rental income or the flexibility to move in and make it your own. Conveniently situated near schools, shopping, and public transportation, this home combines comfort, functionality, and value — a great opportunity in the Buffalo market!

Key facts

  • 3,210 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1916

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $154,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$211,689) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (4.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $155k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,959 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.19%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$211,689
List price
$154,900
Delta
-26.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
50 Philadelphia St 0.08mi 3/1.5 1,276 (-0%) 1mo $155,000 $121 93
280 Esser Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,283 (+0%) 3mo $175,000 $136 88
136 Newfield St 0.02mi 3/1.5 1,198 (-6%) 2mo $167,000 $139 85
62 Chadduck Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,240 (-3%) 2mo $155,000 $125 79
82 Beatrice Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,166 (-9%) 2mo $165,000 $142 75
38 Wyandotte Ave 0.18mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (-6%) 2mo $150,000 $125 75
186 Crowley Ave 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,333 (+4%) 2mo $215,000 $161 62
88 Huetter Ave Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,317 (+3%) 1mo $250,000 $190 61
430 Washington Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,233 (-4%) 1mo $217,000 $176 55
136 Crowley Ave 0.51mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,394 (+9%) 2mo $100,000 $72 55
446 Victoria Blvd 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-11%) 2mo $265,000 $232 53
145 Hoover Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,143 (-11%) 2mo $155,000 $136 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-831
Equity at exit
$23,096
10-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$55,758
Equity at exit
$13,393

Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14207

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,476 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$812
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $347/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,147
Max offer price $154,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,725
Closing costs
$4,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15 Beatrice Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 14d 1 0.14mi
2075 Kenmore Ave Unit 611 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 981 $1,950 $1.99 2d 1 0.31mi
62 Seabrook St Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 2d 1 0.33mi
158 Chadduck Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 24d 1 0.40mi
239 Crowley Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 966 $1,025 $1.06 3d 1 0.45mi
480 W Hazeltine Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 989 $1,900 $1.92 24d 1 0.47mi
118 Rano St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 21d 1 0.73mi
68 Laforce Pl Unit U Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,099 $1.22 44d 1 0.81mi
52 Greeley St Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1804 $1,000 $0.55 24d 1 0.99mi
15 Ontario St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 2d 1 1.02mi
172 Tremont Ave Kenmore, NY 3.0 1.5 1569 $2,500 $1.59 10d 1 1.12mi
237 W Girard Blvd Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1329 $4,000 $3.01 24d 1 1.19mi
155 Germain St Apt 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 10d 1 1.25mi
2099 Niagara St Unit A Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,197 $1.20 44d 1 1.28mi
72 Reservation St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 24d 1 1.31mi
68 Peter St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 24d 1 1.42mi
62 Germain St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,250 $0.95 24d 1 1.43mi
293 Grote St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 817 $2,345 $2.87 2d 1 1.45mi
2522 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,625 $1.41 2d 1 1.47mi
2514 Delaware Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1620 $1,650 $1.02 2d 1 1.47mi
52 Somerton Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $154,900 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $154,900 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $154,900 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $154,900 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,900 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,900 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $154,900 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $154,900 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $154,900 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $154,900 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,400 Active 84 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,400 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,400 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,400 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    price $179,400 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Welcome to 124 Newfield Street, Buffalo, NY — a well-maintained 4-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home offering great potential for both owner-occupants and investors. This property features new vinyl flooring in the living and dining rooms, solid mechanics, and a spacious layout with plenty of natural light. The home includes a full basement providing additional storage or workspace. Currently tenant-occupied at $1,300/month, this property offers immediate rental income or the flexibility to move in and make it your own. Conveniently situated near schools, shopping, and public transportation, this home combines comfort, functionality, and value — a great opportunity in the Buffalo market!

  16. 2026-03-11
    listed $179,900 Active 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Welcome to 124 Newfield Street, Buffalo, NY — a well-maintained 4-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home offering great potential for both owner-occupants and investors. This property features new vinyl flooring in the living and dining rooms, solid mechanics, and a spacious layout with plenty of natural light. The home includes a full basement providing additional storage or workspace. Currently tenant-occupied at $1,300/month, this property offers immediate rental income or the flexibility to move in and make it your own. Conveniently situated near schools, shopping, and public transportation, this home combines comfort, functionality, and value — a great opportunity in the Buffalo market!

  17. 2025-07-10
    historical $1,300
  18. 2025-07-04
    listed $1,300
  19. 2025-06-21
    historical $1,300
  20. 2025-06-14
    listed $1,300
  21. 2006-01-30
    soldstatus $66,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$347 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,483 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$1,135/yr (+$95/mo · 326.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,706
− Mortgage interest
−$8,677
− Property taxes
−$347
− Insurance
−$774
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,417
− Management
−$1,417
− Depreciation
−$4,506
Taxable income
$568
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$136
After-tax cash flow
$2,982/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,327
Household income
$39,753
Rent vs Own
65.0% rent · 35.0% own
Severe rent burden
2177.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.42%
Current HPI
233.0902
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+171.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $179,400 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $179,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-07-10 Rental Removed $1,300 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-07-04 Listed for Rent $1,300 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-06-21 Rental Removed $1,300 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-06-14 Listed for Rent $1,300 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2006-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $347 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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