9080 Hawthorne Dr · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 8,538 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1956
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $115k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.26%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $123,667
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- -7.09%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9079 Hawthorne Dr | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,041 (+1%) | 8mo | $119,900 | $115 | 91 |
| 2624 Lola Ln | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,054 (+2%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $62 | 88 |
| 9075 Hawthorne Dr | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 985 (-5%) | 19mo | $119,000 | $121 | 75 |
| 8932 Torento Ln | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,110 (+8%) | 4mo | $64,000 | $58 | 68 |
| 2558 Crape Myrtle St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 955 (-8%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $89 | 64 |
| 2550 Crape Myrtle St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (+9%) | 2mo | $114,000 | $101 | 62 |
| 9018 Sara Ln | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,014 (-2%) | 17mo | $137,900 | $136 | 55 |
| 9035 Lone Oak Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (+7%) | 2mo | $146,000 | $132 | 52 |
| 9280 Savanna Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,107 (+7%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $104 | 50 |
| 2810 Kaylin Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (+8%) | 16mo | $139,900 | $125 | 42 |
| 9025 Lone Oak Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,185 (+15%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $80 | 40 |
| 9028 Lone Oak Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,151 (+12%) | 2mo | $78,500 | $68 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $3,962
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $27,713
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71118
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,399 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $866/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $382
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9137 Mansfield Rd Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $1,700 | $1.67 | 14d | 3 | 0.30mi |
| 2045 Bert Kouns Industrial Loop Shreveport, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1006 | $1,320 | $1.31 | 44d | 11 | 0.39mi |
| 1029 Bert Kouns Industrial Loop Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 9295 Savanna Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1297 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2843 Kaylin Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2832 Holiday Ln Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2838 Smithfield Rd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 9063 Marva Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1052 | $1,375 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9045 Kingston Rd Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 758 | $900 | $1.19 | 14d | 5 | 0.93mi |
| 3011 Mackey Ln Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1222 | $1,300 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8860 Bernay Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9471 Blom Blvd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1303 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 9730 Baird Rd Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $1,212 | $1.39 | 14d | 19 | 1.11mi |
| 3024 Karla Cir Unit 3024 Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,175 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 9005 Walker Rd Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,332 | $1.37 | 14d | 5 | 1.18mi |
| 9434 Palmetto Ln Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1122 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 9100 Walker Rd Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 841 | $1,164 | $1.38 | 14d | 9 | 1.28mi |
| 3126 W Bert Kouns Industrial Loop Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $820 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $114,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2026-03-23historical Active Contingent
-
2026-01-06$119,900 Active
-
2018-02-15soldstatus $67,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $866 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $866 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,785
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$866
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,343
- − Management
- −$1,343
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $2,880
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$691
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,898/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,219
- Household income
- $50,287
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1046.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 33% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.81%
- Current HPI
- 129.1782
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.74%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+76.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-03-23 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-01-06 Listed $119,900 NTREIS
- 2018-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $67,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $866 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…