11209 Willowood Creek Dr Unit C · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property or a great place to call home. 2 bedrooms, 2 and half baths and a 2 car garage. Large living room with high ceilings. Open kitchen with dishwasher, stove and microwave. 2 large bedrooms upstairs and each bedroom has its own full bath. 1/2 bath downstairs in the entryway. The townhome has a big side yard to add a patio, gazebo, etc.
Key facts
- Side fenced yard
- Outdoor seating
- Corner-unit townhome
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces); Rear/side/off-street parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Utilities available
- Home design: 2-story home
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a 2-story structure
- Exterior features: Open patio; Wood fence; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Vinyl flooring; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Calallen ISD (urban): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #249 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 316 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $971 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.23%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $180,432
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11201 Willowood Creek Unit B Dr | 0.03mi | 2/2.5 | 1,253 (0%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $144 | 90 |
| 11205 Willowood Creek Dr Unit C | 0.01mi | 2/2.5 | 1,230 (-2%) | 14mo | $152,500 | $124 | 84 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-9,197
- Equity at exit
- $20,949
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $5,283
- Equity at exit
- $12,148
Cash invested: $39,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78410
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 316
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,529 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$737
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$176 /mo · $2,108/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $237
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,125
- Closing costs
- $4,215
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11202 Willowood Creek Dr Unit A Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1253 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 11214 Willowood Creek Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1253 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 11613 Cripple Creek Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,995 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 11934 Hearn Rd Unit 1351574P Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $2,613 | $2.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4425 Fleetwood Ln Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,000 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11006 Timbergrove Ln Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1502 | $1,900 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 11110 Jackson Ter Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1630 | $2,100 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3150 Peachtree St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 724 | $1,010 | $1.39 | 13d | 5 | 1.21mi |
| 3230 Creek Side Dr Unit 1268411P Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1829 | $5,393 | $2.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 599-char remark
-
2026-06-07$140,500 Active 23 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,350
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,870
- − Property taxes
- −$2,108
- − Insurance
- −$702
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,468
- − Management
- −$1,468
- − Depreciation
- −$4,087
- Taxable income
- $647
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$155
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This townhouse requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen backsplash, bathroom fixtures, and exterior paint. With these updates, the property can be transformed into a move-in-ready home with increased resale and rental potential.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen backsplash — dated and worn
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Moderate exterior paint — brick exterior needs touch-up
Value-add opportunities
- Resale new kitchen backsplash — modernizes kitchen and adds value
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizes bathrooms and adds value
- Resale exterior paint — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen backsplash · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior paint · brick exterior needs touch-up | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $33,000–115,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale new kitchen backsplash — modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizes bathrooms and adds value ↑
- Resale exterior paint — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calallen ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812420
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,780
- Composite
- 39.25/100
- National rank
- #4004
- State rank
- #249 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 296,836 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,040
- Household income
- $79,308
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 324.0
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 38% Two or more races 35% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 28%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.45%
- Current HPI
- 174.0462
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-14.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $140,500 CBMLS
- 2023-09-08 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 2023-08-08 Pending — CBMLS
- 2023-08-01 Contingent — CBMLS
- 2023-06-13 Price Changed $145,000 CBMLS
- 2023-04-08 Price Changed $155,000 CBMLS
- 2023-03-07 Listed $163,500 CBMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…