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309 E Roseboro St
B+ Composite 78.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$49,900

309 E Roseboro St · Roseboro, NC 28382
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,486 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1950 0.29 ac lot ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity in Roseboro. 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located inside Roseboro city limits on a 0.29-acre lot with town water and sewer. Walking distance to Dowtown Roseboro resturants, shops, park and grocery store. CASH ONLY. Sold as is, where is. Seller makes no representations. Convenient to Ft Bragg, Fayetteville, and Clinton with access to Hwy 24. Make an offer.

Key facts

  • Access to hwy 24
  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 1950

Tags

WALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWNCONVENIENT TO FT BRAGGACCESS TO HWY 24

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Cap rate 33.6% vs local median 7.6% in Roseboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#445 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Sampson County Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #114 of 178 in NC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Roseboro Elementary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #975 of 1,410 statewide, top 71%, 387 students, 99% FRL); Roseboro-Salemburg Middle (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #360 of 475 statewide, top 77%, 406 students, 99% FRL); Lakewood High (math 72% / reading 42%, grade C, #248 of 535 statewide, top 48%, 479 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Sampson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (8.3% local appreciation)).
  • Sampson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (8.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.65%
Cap rate
33.62%
Cash-on-cash
97.60%
DSCR
5.34
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$248,162
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
300 E Roseboro St 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,558 (+5%) 1mo $110,000 $71 84
303 E Pleasant St 0.09mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,491 (+0%) 12mo $217,000 $146 78
602 Cypress St 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+1%) 3mo $252,000 $168 75
604 Cypress St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,523 (+2%) 1mo $251,500 $165 74
600 Cypress St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,464 (-2%) 6mo $245,000 $167 72
306 E Roseboro St 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (-9%) 12mo $220,000 $163 64
412 Maple St 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,375 (-8%) 10mo $229,000 $167 60
205 Culbreth St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,538 (+4%) 6mo $215,000 $140 56
410 Maple St 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,322 (-11%) 9mo $229,000 $173 55
302 S West St 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-12%) 2mo $234,500 $180 52
304 S West St 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-12%) 2mo $234,500 $180 51
408 W North St 0.50mi 2/2.0 1,314 (-12%) 6mo $180,000 $137 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.27% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.71×
Total profit
$93,796
Equity at exit
$38,829
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.63×
Total profit
$218,419
Equity at exit
$77,969

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28382

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,822 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $250/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$1,136

Break-even live

Break-even rent $384
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 33%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-29
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-22
    listed $49,900 Active
  4. 2022-07-15
    status Pending
  5. 2022-07-11
    listed $69,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$250 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$409 · $34/mo
Expected delta
+$159/yr (+$13/mo · 63.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,868
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$250
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,749
− Management
−$1,749
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$13,623
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,269
After-tax cash flow
$10,367/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sampson County Schools
NCES district ID
3704140
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,391
Composite
33.71/100
National rank
#5379
State rank
#114 of 178 in NC

Livability — Roseboro

Score
62/100
State rank
#445
US rank
#16397

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roseboro, NC
Population (ZIP)
6,659

Population outlook (Sampson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,499 people
By 2030
62,970 · -0.8%
By 2040
61,609 · -3.0%
By 2050
60,462 · -4.8%
By 2075
60,108 · -5.3%
By 2100
62,120 · -2.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sampson

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.8) · D 34.8% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: -8.4pp · 2024: -29.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.8 2020: R+22.5 2016: R+16.7 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.27%
Current HPI
288.151
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-29 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-22 Listed $49,900 Hive MLS
  • 2022-07-15 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2022-07-11 Listed $69,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $250 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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