135 W Pleasant Ave · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,845 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 102 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 39.6% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 39.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 118.89%
- DSCR
- 6.29
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,896
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2725 Midland Ave | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 | 1,794 (-2%) | 2mo | $119,000 | $66 | 80 |
| 3315 S Salina St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,886 (+3%) | 3mo | $45,500 | $24 | 78 |
| 3628 S Salina St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,813 (-1%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $47 | 74 |
| 2331 Midland Ave | 0.17mi | 4/1.5 | 1,664 (-9%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $54 | 72 |
| 128 Richardson Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,826 (-0%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $101 | 61 |
| 253 Webster Ave | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 | 1,751 (-4%) | 12mo | $70,000 | $40 | 61 |
| 1330 Midland Ave | 0.71mi | 4/1.0 | 1,870 (+2%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $45 | 57 |
| 3321 S Salina St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,566 (-14%) | 9mo | $128,000 | $82 | 55 |
| 126 W Florence Ave | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 1,744 (-5%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $103 | 52 |
| 206 Bennington Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-10%) | 8mo | $178,100 | $108 | 48 |
| 875 W Lafayette Ave | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 | 1,568 (-14%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $102 | 42 |
| 101 Xavier Cir | 0.75mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,933 (+6%) | 12mo | $559,900 | $290 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.26×
- Total profit
- $115,606
- Equity at exit
- $45,044
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.36×
- Total profit
- $271,039
- Equity at exit
- $97,139
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13205
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,196 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $778/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$461
- Net cashflow
- $1,387
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2331 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1664 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 20d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 102 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,300 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1330 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1870 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 269 W Borden Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $650 | $0.36 | 20d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 259 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $699 | $0.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 154 Seeley Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $2,100 | $1.60 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-01-22status Pending
-
2025-12-12historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-08status Active
-
2025-12-08price $50,000
-
2024-12-04status Pending
-
2024-10-08$59,000 Active
-
2004-01-08soldstatus $104,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $778 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $811 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$34/yr (+$3/mo · 4.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,352
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$778
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,108
- − Management
- −$2,108
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $16,853
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,045
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,600/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- City population
- 152,627
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,562
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.12%
- Current HPI
- 345.8854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-51.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-22 Pending — CNYIS
- 2025-12-12 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2025-12-08 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $50,000 CNYIS
- 2024-12-04 Pending — CNYIS
- 2024-10-08 Listed $59,000 CNYIS
- 2004-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $778 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…