CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1623 Montana Ave
D Composite 42.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$8,500

1623 Montana Ave · Flint, MI 48506
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 234 Days on market
Built 1918 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1918

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
  • Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 109.0% vs local median 11.6% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $1k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $500; list at $8k implies a 1600% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $7,480 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.83%
Cap rate
109.02%
Cash-on-cash
366.90%
DSCR
17.32
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$24,960
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1526 Wyoming Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 728 (-7%) 14mo $8,000 $11 71
1805 Arizona Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 760 (-3%) 12mo $23,000 $30 70
1622 New York Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 839 (+8%) 6mo $34,500 $41 66
1421 Jane Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 768 (-2%) 14mo $24,000 $31 62
1716 Colorado Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+11%) 20mo $31,000 $36 55
2426 Maryland Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 712 (-9%) 2mo $36,000 $51 51
1620 Mabel Ave 0.52mi 3/1.5 816 (+5%) 18mo $26,500 $32 51
2321 Oklahoma Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 868 (+11%) 12mo $33,000 $38 49
1700 Delaware Ave 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+11%) 20mo $15,000 $17 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.90×
Total profit
$44,989
Equity at exit
$1,267
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
42.57×
Total profit
$98,935
Equity at exit
$735

Cash invested: $2,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48506

Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,005 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$45
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $221/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$728

Break-even live

Break-even rent $84
Max offer price $8,500
Occupancy floor 23%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $732 -5% $730 +0% $728 +5% $725 +10% $723
Rent -10% $648 -5% $688 +0% $728 +5% $767 +10% $807
Rate -1.0pp $732 -0.5pp $730 base $728 +0.5pp $725 +1.0pp $723

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,125
Closing costs
$255
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1553 Illinois Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 702 $900 $1.28 22d 1 0.85mi
2621 Churchill Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $795 $1.08 15d 1 0.97mi
1605 Kearsley Park Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 875 $975 $1.11 15d 1 0.98mi
3618 Branch Rd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 15d 1 1.03mi
3901 N Averill Apt #307 Ave heuristic Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $975 $1.15 8d 1 1.27mi
2311 N Averill Ave Unit Main Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 15d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $8,500 Active 234 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $8,500 Active 231 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $8,500 Active 230 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $8,500 Active 229 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $8,500 Active 228 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $8,500 Active 226 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $8,500 Active 225 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $8,500 Active 223 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $8,500 Active 222 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $8,500 Active 221 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $8,500 Active 220 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $8,500 Active 217 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $8,500 Active 216 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $8,500 Active 215 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $8,500 Active 214 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $8,500 Active 213 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $8,500 Active 212 DOM
  18. 2025-12-16
    price $8,500 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  19. 2025-12-15
    price $8,500
  20. 2025-10-30
    listed $9,900 Active 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  21. 2025-10-30
    listed $9,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  22. 2014-04-04
    soldstatus $500 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    As you walk through the front door you will notice how much daylight this home has to offer. Lots of windows makes this home very cheery. Living room, kitchen, dining room. Enclosed front porch for those nice summer evenings. Large bedrooms and one full bath. Stop, drop and roll. .. .. don't get burned by missing out on this opportunity. .. this one will go fast!

  23. 2014-04-04
    soldstatus $500
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    As you walk through the front door you will notice how much daylight this home has to offer. Lots of windows makes this home very cheery. Living room, kitchen, dining room. Enclosed front porch for those nice summer evenings. Large bedrooms and one full bath. Stop, drop and roll. .. .. don't get burned by missing out on this opportunity. .. this one will go fast!

  24. 2014-02-28
    historical 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    As you walk through the front door you will notice how much daylight this home has to offer. Lots of windows makes this home very cheery. Living room, kitchen, dining room. Enclosed front porch for those nice summer evenings. Large bedrooms and one full bath. Stop, drop and roll. .. .. don't get burned by missing out on this opportunity. .. this one will go fast!

  25. 2013-10-25
    listed $2,900 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    As you walk through the front door you will notice how much daylight this home has to offer. Lots of windows makes this home very cheery. Living room, kitchen, dining room. Enclosed front porch for those nice summer evenings. Large bedrooms and one full bath. Stop, drop and roll. .. .. don't get burned by missing out on this opportunity. .. this one will go fast!

  26. 2013-10-25
    listed $2,900
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    As you walk through the front door you will notice how much daylight this home has to offer. Lots of windows makes this home very cheery. Living room, kitchen, dining room. Enclosed front porch for those nice summer evenings. Large bedrooms and one full bath. Stop, drop and roll. .. .. don't get burned by missing out on this opportunity. .. this one will go fast!

  27. 2002-07-08
    soldstatus $17,000
  28. 2001-10-04
    soldstatus $7,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$221 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$221 · $18/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,065
− Mortgage interest
−$476
− Property taxes
−$221
− Insurance
−$42
− Repairs & maintenance
−$965
− Management
−$965
− Depreciation
−$247
Taxable income
$9,147
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,195
After-tax cash flow
$6,537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,712
Household income
$47,929
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.31%
Current HPI
90.0494
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $8,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-04-04 Sold (MLS) $500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-04-04 Sold (MLS) $500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-02-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-10-25 Listed $2,900 REALCOMP
  • 2013-10-25 Listed $2,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
  • 2001-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-17.0%/yr

Latest (2018): $221 · -57.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…