1623 Montana Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$8,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1918
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
- Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 109.0% vs local median 11.6% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $1k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $500; list at $8k implies a 1600% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 109.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 366.90%
- DSCR
- 17.32
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $24,960
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1526 Wyoming Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 728 (-7%) | 14mo | $8,000 | $11 | 71 |
| 1805 Arizona Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 760 (-3%) | 12mo | $23,000 | $30 | 70 |
| 1622 New York Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 839 (+8%) | 6mo | $34,500 | $41 | 66 |
| 1421 Jane Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 768 (-2%) | 14mo | $24,000 | $31 | 62 |
| 1716 Colorado Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+11%) | 20mo | $31,000 | $36 | 55 |
| 2426 Maryland Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 712 (-9%) | 2mo | $36,000 | $51 | 51 |
| 1620 Mabel Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 816 (+5%) | 18mo | $26,500 | $32 | 51 |
| 2321 Oklahoma Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 868 (+11%) | 12mo | $33,000 | $38 | 49 |
| 1700 Delaware Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+11%) | 20mo | $15,000 | $17 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.90×
- Total profit
- $44,989
- Equity at exit
- $1,267
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 42.57×
- Total profit
- $98,935
- Equity at exit
- $735
Cash invested: $2,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48506
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,005 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$45
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $221/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $728
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $732 | -5% $730 | +0% $728 | +5% $725 | +10% $723 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $648 | -5% $688 | +0% $728 | +5% $767 | +10% $807 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $732 | -0.5pp $730 | base $728 | +0.5pp $725 | +1.0pp $723 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,125
- Closing costs
- $255
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1553 Illinois Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $900 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2621 Churchill Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $795 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1605 Kearsley Park Blvd Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $975 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3618 Branch Rd Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3901 N Averill Apt #307 Ave heuristic Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $975 | $1.15 | 8d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2311 N Averill Ave Unit Main Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $8,500 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $8,500 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $8,500 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $8,500 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $8,500 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $8,500 Active 226 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $8,500 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $8,500 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $8,500 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $8,500 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $8,500 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $8,500 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $8,500 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $8,500 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $8,500 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $8,500 Active 213 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $8,500 Active 212 DOM
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2025-12-16price $8,500 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-12-15price $8,500
-
2025-10-30$9,900 Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-10-30$9,900 Active
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2014-04-04soldstatus $500 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
As you walk through the front door you will notice how much daylight this home has to offer. Lots of windows makes this home very cheery. Living room, kitchen, dining room. Enclosed front porch for those nice summer evenings. Large bedrooms and one full bath. Stop, drop and roll. .. .. don't get burned by missing out on this opportunity. .. this one will go fast!
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2014-04-04soldstatus $500
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
As you walk through the front door you will notice how much daylight this home has to offer. Lots of windows makes this home very cheery. Living room, kitchen, dining room. Enclosed front porch for those nice summer evenings. Large bedrooms and one full bath. Stop, drop and roll. .. .. don't get burned by missing out on this opportunity. .. this one will go fast!
-
2014-02-28historical 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
As you walk through the front door you will notice how much daylight this home has to offer. Lots of windows makes this home very cheery. Living room, kitchen, dining room. Enclosed front porch for those nice summer evenings. Large bedrooms and one full bath. Stop, drop and roll. .. .. don't get burned by missing out on this opportunity. .. this one will go fast!
-
2013-10-25$2,900 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
As you walk through the front door you will notice how much daylight this home has to offer. Lots of windows makes this home very cheery. Living room, kitchen, dining room. Enclosed front porch for those nice summer evenings. Large bedrooms and one full bath. Stop, drop and roll. .. .. don't get burned by missing out on this opportunity. .. this one will go fast!
-
2013-10-25$2,900
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
As you walk through the front door you will notice how much daylight this home has to offer. Lots of windows makes this home very cheery. Living room, kitchen, dining room. Enclosed front porch for those nice summer evenings. Large bedrooms and one full bath. Stop, drop and roll. .. .. don't get burned by missing out on this opportunity. .. this one will go fast!
-
2002-07-08soldstatus $17,000
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2001-10-04soldstatus $7,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $221 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $221 · $18/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,065
- − Mortgage interest
- −$476
- − Property taxes
- −$221
- − Insurance
- −$42
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$965
- − Management
- −$965
- − Depreciation
- −$247
- Taxable income
- $9,147
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,195
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,537/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,712
- Household income
- $47,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.31%
- Current HPI
- 90.0494
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+21.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $8,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-04-04 Sold (MLS) $500 REALCOMP
- 2014-04-04 Sold (MLS) $500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-02-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-10-25 Listed $2,900 REALCOMP
- 2013-10-25 Listed $2,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
- 2001-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-17.0%/yrLatest (2018): $221 · -57.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…