12441 Lansdowne St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1943
- Listed 47 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.13 acres (dimensions 42 x 134.61); Subdivision: PARK DRIVE 4; Directions: Near Moross and I-94 (south of Moross, west of I-94)
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Paved road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes living spaces and bedrooms)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.47%
- DSCR
- 2.93
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $38,044
- List price
- $48,000
- Delta
- 26.17%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19379 Mccormick St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+2%) | 4mo | $118,900 | $171 | 80 |
| 19331 Mccormick St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+2%) | 6mo | $20,000 | $29 | 80 |
| 19139 Kenosha St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 681 (+0%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $140 | 80 |
| 18700 Mccormick St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 706 (+4%) | 5mo | $63,000 | $89 | 78 |
| 19380 Roscommon St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 684 (+1%) | 5mo | $100,500 | $147 | 74 |
| 18996 Roscommon St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 698 (+3%) | 5mo | $98,000 | $140 | 73 |
| 18547 Mccormick St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 689 (+2%) | 7mo | $30,000 | $44 | 72 |
| 19404 Roscommon St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+3%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $121 | 70 |
| 12505 Laing St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 752 (+11%) | 3mo | $54,600 | $73 | 66 |
| 16100 Liberal St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 679 (0%) | 7mo | $15,900 | $23 | 62 |
| 11974 Duchess St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 724 (+7%) | 5mo | $37,000 | $51 | 54 |
| 11624 Wayburn St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 756 (+11%) | 3mo | $17,000 | $22 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $20,931
- Equity at exit
- $7,157
- IRR
- 43.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.66×
- Total profit
- $49,143
- Equity at exit
- $4,150
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48224
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 492
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,036 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$60 /mo · $720/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $487
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $520 | -5% $503 | +0% $487 | +5% $470 | +10% $454 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $405 | -5% $446 | +0% $487 | +5% $528 | +10% $569 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $511 | -0.5pp $499 | base $487 | +0.5pp $474 | +1.0pp $462 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $875 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,040 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $650 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 9140 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 15030 Rossini Dr Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $800 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 21301 Kingsville St Apt 108 Harper Woods, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $48,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $48,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $48,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $48,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $48,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $48,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $48,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$48,000 Active
-
2026-05-04$48,000 Active
-
2019-07-01historical
-
2019-07-01historical
-
2019-06-30historical
-
2019-04-07status Active
-
2018-07-19historical
-
2018-07-01status Active
-
2018-07-01historical
-
2017-07-25$14,000 Active
-
2017-07-24$14,000 Active
-
2017-07-24$14,000 Active
-
2017-07-01historical
-
2017-07-01historical
-
2017-06-30historical
-
2016-10-25status Back on Market
-
2016-10-25status Active
-
2016-06-29status Pending
-
2016-06-29status Pending
-
2016-04-06$14,000 Active
-
2016-04-06$14,000 Active
-
2016-04-06$14,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,434
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$720
- − Insurance
- −$240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$995
- − Management
- −$995
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $5,399
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,296
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,546/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,668
- Household income
- $44,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2515.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.38%
- Current HPI
- 161.886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+242.9% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $48,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Listed $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-06-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-07 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-19 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-01 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-07-25 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-07-24 Listed $14,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-07-24 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-07-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-07-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-06-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-10-25 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-10-25 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2016-06-29 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-06-29 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-06 Listed $14,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-06 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-06 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,494 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…