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12441 Lansdowne St
C+ Composite 60.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$48,000

12441 Lansdowne St · Detroit, MI 48224
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 679 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1943 5,663 sqft lot $71/sqft · 30% above area Est $38k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Built 1943
  • Listed 47 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.13 acres (dimensions 42 x 134.61); Subdivision: PARK DRIVE 4; Directions: Near Moross and I-94 (south of Moross, west of I-94)

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes living spaces and bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $46,560 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.16%
Cap rate
18.46%
Cash-on-cash
43.47%
DSCR
2.93
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$38,044
List price
$48,000
Delta
26.17%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19379 Mccormick St 0.26mi 2/1.0 696 (+2%) 4mo $118,900 $171 80
19331 Mccormick St 0.23mi 2/1.0 696 (+2%) 6mo $20,000 $29 80
19139 Kenosha St 0.30mi 2/1.0 681 (+0%) 7mo $95,000 $140 80
18700 Mccormick St 0.25mi 2/1.0 706 (+4%) 5mo $63,000 $89 78
19380 Roscommon St 0.44mi 2/1.0 684 (+1%) 5mo $100,500 $147 74
18996 Roscommon St 0.38mi 2/1.0 698 (+3%) 5mo $98,000 $140 73
18547 Mccormick St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 689 (+2%) 7mo $30,000 $44 72
19404 Roscommon St 0.45mi 2/1.0 700 (+3%) 4mo $85,000 $121 70
12505 Laing St 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 752 (+11%) 3mo $54,600 $73 66
16100 Liberal St 0.67mi 2/1.0 679 (0%) 7mo $15,900 $23 62
11974 Duchess St 0.66mi 2/1.0 724 (+7%) 5mo $37,000 $51 54
11624 Wayburn St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 756 (+11%) 3mo $17,000 $22 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.7%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$20,931
Equity at exit
$7,157
10-year hold
IRR
43.1%
Equity multiple
4.66×
Total profit
$49,143
Equity at exit
$4,150

Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48224

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
492
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,036 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$252
Tax est. 1.5%
$60 /mo · $720/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$487

Break-even live

Break-even rent $420
Max offer price $48,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $520 -5% $503 +0% $487 +5% $470 +10% $454
Rent -10% $405 -5% $446 +0% $487 +5% $528 +10% $569
Rate -1.0pp $511 -0.5pp $499 base $487 +0.5pp $474 +1.0pp $462

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,000
Closing costs
$1,440
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 610 $875 $1.43 45d 1 0.39mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 13d 1 0.39mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 45d 1 0.40mi
16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $650 $1.00 45d 1 0.42mi
9140 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $700 $1.27 45d 1 1.23mi
15030 Rossini Dr Unit 2 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 720 $800 $1.11 45d 1 1.27mi
21301 Kingsville St Apt 108 Harper Woods, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 4d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $48,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $48,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $48,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $48,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $48,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $48,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $48,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $48,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $48,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $48,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $48,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $48,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $48,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $48,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    listed $48,000 Active
  16. 2026-05-04
    listed $48,000 Active
  17. 2019-07-01
    historical
  18. 2019-07-01
    historical
  19. 2019-06-30
    historical
  20. 2019-04-07
    status Active
  21. 2018-07-19
    historical
  22. 2018-07-01
    status Active
  23. 2018-07-01
    historical
  24. 2017-07-25
    listed $14,000 Active
  25. 2017-07-24
    listed $14,000 Active
  26. 2017-07-24
    listed $14,000 Active
  27. 2017-07-01
    historical
  28. 2017-07-01
    historical
  29. 2017-06-30
    historical
  30. 2016-10-25
    status Back on Market
  31. 2016-10-25
    status Active
  32. 2016-06-29
    status Pending
  33. 2016-06-29
    status Pending
  34. 2016-04-06
    listed $14,000 Active
  35. 2016-04-06
    listed $14,000 Active
  36. 2016-04-06
    listed $14,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,434
− Mortgage interest
−$2,689
− Property taxes
−$720
− Insurance
−$240
− Repairs & maintenance
−$995
− Management
−$995
− Depreciation
−$1,396
Taxable income
$5,399
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,296
After-tax cash flow
$4,546/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,668
Household income
$44,856
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2515.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.38%
Current HPI
161.886
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+242.9% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $48,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-07-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-07-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-06-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-04-07 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-07-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-07-01 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-07-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-25 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-24 Listed $14,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-07-24 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-06-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-10-25 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-10-25 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2016-06-29 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2016-06-29 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-04-06 Listed $14,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-04-06 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-04-06 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,494 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…