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10162 Pierce Pl NE
B Composite 73.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

10162 Pierce Pl NE · Blaine, MN 55434
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 17 Days on market
Built 2021 Good condition 1,216 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Like new and exceptionally maintained, this beautiful 2021-built 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is truly move-in ready. Featuring an open and inviting floor plan, the home offers spacious living areas filled with natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. The well-designed kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space and flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, making it ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The private primary suite features a full bath and generous closet space, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or growing needs. Pride of ownership is evident throughout, with the home showing like new both inside and out.

Key facts

  • 1,216 sq ft lot
  • Built 2021
  • Listed 16 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1,216; Above grade finished area approximately 1,216; Lot size reported as 1,216 square feet
  • HOA & community: Land is leased (land lease amount $1,095)

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking only
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; Manufactured home; One level
  • Construction: Composition roof; Foundation area approximately 1,216
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (approx. 14" x 11")
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (sizes: 12' x 15'; 9' x 11'; 14'6" x 9')
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No basement; Forced air heating; Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $955 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 3.9% in Blaine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#315 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $93,575 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
18.36%
Cash-on-cash
43.09%
DSCR
2.92
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.8%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$49,016
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
48.8%
Equity multiple
6.12×
Total profit
$136,251
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55434

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,958 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $651/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$955

Break-even live

Break-even rent $749
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,009 -5% $982 +0% $955 +5% $928 +10% $901
Rent -10% $800 -5% $878 +0% $955 +5% $1,032 +10% $1,110
Rate -1.0pp $1,003 -0.5pp $979 base $955 +0.5pp $930 +1.0pp $905

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9436 Ulysses St NE Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $2,095 $2.70 0d 11 0.90mi
9460 Ulysses St NE Blaine, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 846 $2,294 $2.71 0d 6 0.92mi
249 99th Ave NE Unit 249-308 Blaine, MN 2.0 1.0 875 $1,430 $1.63 44d 1 0.95mi
249 99th Ave NE Unit 241-307 Blaine, MN 2.0 1.0 875 $1,445 $1.65 21d 1 0.95mi
249 99th Ave NE Unit 241-107 Blaine, MN 2.0 1.0 875 $1,445 $1.65 44d 1 0.95mi
10060 Dogwood St NW Minneapolis, MN 2.0–3.0 2.0 1240 $1,895 $1.53 24d 2 1.47mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $95,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$651 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$857 · $71/mo
Expected delta
+$207/yr (+$17/mo · 31.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,500
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$651
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,880
− Management
−$1,880
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$10,529
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,527
After-tax cash flow
$8,934/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready 2021-built home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. Minor updates to the exterior and interior could further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with LED models — Saves energy and looks modern
  • Both Install smart home security system — Improves safety and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with LED models — Saves energy and looks modern
  • Both Install smart home security system — Improves safety and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District
NCES district ID
2703180
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$73,837
Composite
46.7/100
National rank
#2400
State rank
#71 of 301 in MN

Livability — Blaine

Score
71/100
State rank
#315
US rank
#7073

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Blaine, MN
County
Anoka County · 277,116 people
City population
67,472
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
33,029
Household income
$90,336
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
526.0

Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
375,223 people
By 2030
387,850 · +3.4%
By 2040
407,239 · +8.5%
By 2050
417,541 · +11.3%
By 2075
448,447 · +19.5%
By 2100
464,954 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Asian 10% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Anoka

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -230.62%
Current HPI
254.0422
Rent YoY
▲ 4.79%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-04 Coming Soon $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $651 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…