4155 NE Three Mile Ln #89 · McMinnville, OR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$197,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in the highly desirable 55+ community of Olde Stone Village! This well-maintained 2007 Golden West manufactured home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a versatile layout perfect for comfortable everyday living. Enjoy peace of mind with a brand new 30-year roof with transferable warranty, along with thoughtful updates including a new dishwasher, microwave, kitchen faucet, and thermostat. Stay comfortable year-round with an efficient heat pump. The home features a covered front porch—perfect for relaxing mornings or evening unwinding—and an oversized one-car garage providing extra storage and convenience.Olde Stone Village offers fantastic amenities including a seasonal pool, clubhouse, and sports court, all in a convenient location just off Hwy 18 for easy access to shopping, dining, and all that Yamhill County has to offer.Move-in ready and waiting for you to call it home!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Clubhouse
- Brand new roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in OLDE STONE VILLAGE park
- Financial info: Land lease on the lot (monthly lot rent; lease expires August 1, 2027)
- HOA & community: Community amenities include athletic court, gym, party room, and pool; Park is a senior community; Pets allowed (with restrictions)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Attached oversized 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; No on-site fuel (electric hot water); Power via heat pump
- Home design: Manufactured home in park (model YORKSHIRE 01-521F); Single-story main living level; Resale property; No view
- Construction: Built in 2007; Composition roof; Block foundation with skirting
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Sprinkler system; T-111 siding; Leased, level lot in a park; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Double oven; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Pantry; Plumbed for ice maker; Eat bar
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with ensuite bathroom, walk-in closet, and laminate/ carpet combination; Second bedroom on main level with ceiling fan and closet; Third bedroom on main level with closet; Fourth bedroom on main level with ceiling fan and closet
- Flooring: Laminate flooring in kitchen and parts of primary bedroom; Wall-to-wall carpet in living areas, dining room and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Garage door opener; Ceiling fans in primary and some bedrooms and living area; Exterior entry from living room; Laundry area with sink and washer/dryer connections; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area on main level with laminate flooring, sink, and washer/dryer; Washer/Dryer included (connections provided)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $197k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $822 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $197k).
- Recommended offer: $191k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.2% in McMinnville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#79 in OR, #3,556 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: commute D+.
- Mcminnville SD 40 (town): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #20 of 183 in OR (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Wascher Elementary School (383 students, 72% FRL); Patton Middle School (699 students, 66% FRL); Mcminnville High School (2,319 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 395 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 282 units permitted in Yamhill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yamhill County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $197k implies a 994% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.87%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,000
- List price
- $197,000
- Delta
- 5.35%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #191 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,445 (+3%) | 1mo | $187,000 | $129 | 93 |
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #157 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (0%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $157 | 91 |
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #78 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-8%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $66 | 83 |
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #36 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,512 (+8%) | 1mo | $330,000 | $218 | 80 |
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #136 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,410 (+0%) | 15mo | $279,000 | $198 | 80 |
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #107 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,324 (-6%) | 11mo | $173,500 | $131 | 79 |
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #54 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,279 (-9%) | 8mo | $161,000 | $126 | 77 |
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #108 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,544 (+10%) | 2mo | $334,500 | $217 | 75 |
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #53 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+12%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $99 | 72 |
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #7 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+12%) | 12mo | $238,500 | $152 | 68 |
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #104 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,540 (+10%) | 10mo | $289,000 | $188 | 68 |
| 4155 NE Three Mile Ln #117 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,540 (+10%) | 10mo | $295,000 | $192 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $14,794
- Equity at exit
- $29,373
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $58,236
- Equity at exit
- $17,033
Cash invested: $55,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97128
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 395
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,547 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,033
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $904/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$535
- Net cashflow
- $822
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $933 | -5% $877 | +0% $822 | +5% $766 | +10% $710 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $620 | -5% $721 | +0% $822 | +5% $922 | +10% $1,023 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $921 | -0.5pp $872 | base $822 | +0.5pp $771 | +1.0pp $719 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,250
- Closing costs
- $5,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 188 NE American Dr McMinnville, OR | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 0d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-21days on market $197,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $197,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $197,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $197,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $197,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $197,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $197,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-10price $197,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $205,000 Active 46 DOM
Show marketing remark (939 chars)
Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in the highly desirable 55+ community of Olde Stone Village! This well-maintained 2007 Golden West manufactured home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a versatile layout perfect for comfortable everyday living. Enjoy peace of mind with a brand new 30-year roof with transferable warranty, along with thoughtful updates including a new dishwasher, microwave, kitchen faucet, and thermostat. Stay comfortable year-round with an efficient heat pump. The home features a covered front porch—perfect for relaxing mornings or evening unwinding—and an oversized one-car garage providing extra storage and convenience.Olde Stone Village offers fantastic amenities including a seasonal pool, clubhouse, and sports court, all in a convenient location just off Hwy 18 for easy access to shopping, dining, and all that Yamhill County has to offer.Move-in ready and waiting for you to call it home!
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2026-06-08days on market $205,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $205,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $205,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $205,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $205,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $205,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $205,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-04-24$205,000 Active 939-char remark
Show marketing remark (939 chars)
Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in the highly desirable 55+ community of Olde Stone Village! This well-maintained 2007 Golden West manufactured home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a versatile layout perfect for comfortable everyday living. Enjoy peace of mind with a brand new 30-year roof with transferable warranty, along with thoughtful updates including a new dishwasher, microwave, kitchen faucet, and thermostat. Stay comfortable year-round with an efficient heat pump. The home features a covered front porch—perfect for relaxing mornings or evening unwinding—and an oversized one-car garage providing extra storage and convenience.Olde Stone Village offers fantastic amenities including a seasonal pool, clubhouse, and sports court, all in a convenient location just off Hwy 18 for easy access to shopping, dining, and all that Yamhill County has to offer.Move-in ready and waiting for you to call it home!
-
2026-04-24$205,000 Active 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (939 chars)
Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in the highly desirable 55+ community of Olde Stone Village! This well-maintained 2007 Golden West manufactured home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a versatile layout perfect for comfortable everyday living. Enjoy peace of mind with a brand new 30-year roof with transferable warranty, along with thoughtful updates including a new dishwasher, microwave, kitchen faucet, and thermostat. Stay comfortable year-round with an efficient heat pump. The home features a covered front porch—perfect for relaxing mornings or evening unwinding—and an oversized one-car garage providing extra storage and convenience.Olde Stone Village offers fantastic amenities including a seasonal pool, clubhouse, and sports court, all in a convenient location just off Hwy 18 for easy access to shopping, dining, and all that Yamhill County has to offer.Move-in ready and waiting for you to call it home!
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2020-09-28historical
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2020-09-12price $160,999
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2020-07-08price $162,999
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2020-04-16price $163,999
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2020-04-15$163,999,000 Active
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1998-11-10soldstatus $18,000
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1998-08-17$18,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $904 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,911 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,007/yr (+$84/mo · 111.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Heat 3/10 Moderate
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,563
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,035
- − Property taxes
- −$904
- − Insurance
- −$985
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,445
- − Management
- −$2,445
- − Depreciation
- −$5,731
- Taxable income
- $7,018
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,684
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,174/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcminnville SD 40
- NCES district ID
- 4108010
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,382
- Composite
- 47.69/100
- National rank
- #4919
- State rank
- #20 of 183 in OR
Livability — McMinnville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #79
- US rank
- #3556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McMinnville, OR
- County
- Yamhill County · 71,150 people
- City population
- 38,664
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,664
- Household income
- $75,896
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1508.0
Population outlook (Yamhill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,295 people
- By 2030
- 112,060 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 115,975 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 118,155 · +8.1%
- By 2075
- 120,968 · +10.7%
- By 2100
- 116,163 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 13% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yamhill
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.1) · D 45.3% · R 51.4% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: -6.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.1 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+8.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.59%
- Current HPI
- 320.373
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.79%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
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Price history
+942.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $197,000 WVMLS
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $197,000 RMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $205,000 RMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $205,000 WVMLS
- 2020-09-28 Listing Removed — WVMLS
- 2020-09-12 Price Changed $160,999 WVMLS
- 2020-07-08 Price Changed $162,999 WVMLS
- 2020-04-16 Price Changed $163,999 WVMLS
- 2020-04-15 Listed $163,999,000 WVMLS
- 1998-11-10 Sold (MLS) $18,000 RMLS
- 1998-08-17 Listed $18,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $904 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…