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354 Pin Oak Cir
B- Composite 66.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.4/15.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,900

354 Pin Oak Cir · Elyria, OH 44035
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily · 24 Days on market
Built 2005 Good condition Est $40k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Feels like a vacation home! Welcome to Twin Lakes, a quiet 55+ community with something for everyone! This is a spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full-bath, custom home built in 2005 by Legacy with an open concept layout, and fenced yard. Professionally landscaped. This stunning home shows like new! The large eat-in kitchen has a breakfast bar with bar stools, and opens to the great room with Living room, Dining room and Kitchen combined. Vaulted ceiling with Oak beam and oak trim. The kitchen has beautiful solid oak cabinets, lots of counter space, built in dishwasher, stainless steel appliances, electric, smooth-top stove, and new refrigerator with French doors and ice maker. The large master bedroom

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Vaulted ceiling
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

FENCED YARDPROFESSIONALLY LANDSCAPEDEAT-IN KITCHENBREAKFAST BARGREAT ROOMVAULTED CEILING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed: cats and dogs
  • Financial info: Land lease payment: $975
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Clubhouse; Fitness center/fitness facilities; Has land lease

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Security: Gated community; Street lights
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Entry level: first floor
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built by Skyline Homette (2005, per public records)
  • Exterior features: Outbuilding and storage; Full wood fencing; Faces south

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Linoleum flooring (kitchen and laundry areas)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Pantry; Vaulted ceilings; Beamed ceilings; Breakfast bar; Built-in features; High ceilings; Natural woodwork; Window treatments; Double pane, ENERGY STAR qualified, insulated windows
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry with washer hookup; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $765 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 3.8% in Elyria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in OH, #3,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, employment D, commute F.
  • Elyria City Schools (urban): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #586 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $44,226 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.03%
Cap rate
26.74%
Cash-on-cash
73.04%
DSCR
4.25
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$40,320
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Twin Lake Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,344 (0%) 9mo $40,900 $30 74
241 Twin Lake Dr 0.33mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,350 (+0%) 12mo $35,000 $26 69
138 Valley Forge Cir 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,372 (+2%) 1mo $155,000 $113 68
9627 Patricia Ct 0.42mi 3/3.5 1,412 (+5%) 0mo $371,000 $263 66
219 Hickory Cir 0.40mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,300 (-3%) 9mo $15,000 $12 63
211 Birchbark Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+8%) 16mo $20,000 $14 63
2161 Fowl Rd 0.71mi 3/3.0 1,352 (+1%) 0mo $330,000 $244 62
296 Ashwood Dr 0.30mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,456 (+8%) 6mo $12,000 $8 60
215 Hickory Cir 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-7%) 17mo $25,000 $20 55
154 Island Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,525 (+14%) 12mo $59,000 $39 54
149 Island Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,479 (+10%) 19mo $19,500 $13 53
9897 W Ridge Rd 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,232 (-8%) 20mo $302,500 $246 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
77.0%
Equity multiple
4.72×
Total profit
$46,798
Equity at exit
$6,695
10-year hold
IRR
81.6%
Equity multiple
11.11×
Total profit
$127,151
Equity at exit
$3,882

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44035

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
356
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,361 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$235
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $674/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$765

Break-even live

Break-even rent $393
Max offer price $44,900
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,225
Closing costs
$1,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
235 Cedar Brook Dr Elyria, OH 3.0 2.0 924 $1,150 $1.24 1d 1 0.06mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $44,900 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $44,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $44,900 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $44,900 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $44,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $44,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,900 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,900 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $44,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,900 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,900 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,900 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-25
    listed $44,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,337
− Mortgage interest
−$2,515
− Property taxes
−$674
− Insurance
−$224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,307
− Management
−$1,307
− Depreciation
−$1,306
Taxable income
$9,004
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,161
After-tax cash flow
$7,022/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good kitchen, bathrooms, exterior, flooring, interior walls/paint, roof, exterior/siding, windows, foundation/structure, HVAC/mechanicals, and landscaping/curb appeal. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and a new kitchen faucet.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a big difference in the home's appearance
  • Resale replace kitchen faucet — A new faucet can improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a big difference in the home's appearance
  • Resale replace kitchen faucet — A new faucet can improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elyria City Schools
NCES district ID
3904394
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$40,992
Composite
24.45/100
National rank
#7670
State rank
#586 of 656 in OH

Livability — Elyria

Score
75/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#3869

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elyria, OH
County
Lorain County · 219,437 people
City population
62,179
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
62,179
Household income
$56,408
Rent vs Own
37.3% rent · 62.7% own
Severe rent burden
2229.0

Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,924 people
By 2030
317,546 · +0.8%
By 2040
317,962 · +1.0%
By 2050
312,872 · -0.7%
By 2075
301,806 · -4.2%
By 2100
278,271 · -11.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lorain

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.09%
Current HPI
199.7354
Rent YoY
▲ 6.74%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $44,900 MLSNOW

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…