354 Pin Oak Cir · Elyria, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- ARV discount +2.4/15.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Feels like a vacation home! Welcome to Twin Lakes, a quiet 55+ community with something for everyone! This is a spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full-bath, custom home built in 2005 by Legacy with an open concept layout, and fenced yard. Professionally landscaped. This stunning home shows like new! The large eat-in kitchen has a breakfast bar with bar stools, and opens to the great room with Living room, Dining room and Kitchen combined. Vaulted ceiling with Oak beam and oak trim. The kitchen has beautiful solid oak cabinets, lots of counter space, built in dishwasher, stainless steel appliances, electric, smooth-top stove, and new refrigerator with French doors and ice maker. The large master bedroom
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Vaulted ceiling
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed: cats and dogs
- Financial info: Land lease payment: $975
- HOA & community: Senior community; Clubhouse; Fitness center/fitness facilities; Has land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Security: Gated community; Street lights
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Entry level: first floor
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built by Skyline Homette (2005, per public records)
- Exterior features: Outbuilding and storage; Full wood fencing; Faces south
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Linoleum flooring (kitchen and laundry areas)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Pantry; Vaulted ceilings; Beamed ceilings; Breakfast bar; Built-in features; High ceilings; Natural woodwork; Window treatments; Double pane, ENERGY STAR qualified, insulated windows
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry with washer hookup; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $765 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 3.8% in Elyria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in OH, #3,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, employment D, commute F.
- Elyria City Schools (urban): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #586 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 73.04%
- DSCR
- 4.25
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $40,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 Twin Lake Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 9mo | $40,900 | $30 | 74 |
| 241 Twin Lake Dr | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (+0%) | 12mo | $35,000 | $26 | 69 |
| 138 Valley Forge Cir | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,372 (+2%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $113 | 68 |
| 9627 Patricia Ct | 0.42mi | 3/3.5 | 1,412 (+5%) | 0mo | $371,000 | $263 | 66 |
| 219 Hickory Cir | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-3%) | 9mo | $15,000 | $12 | 63 |
| 211 Birchbark Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+8%) | 16mo | $20,000 | $14 | 63 |
| 2161 Fowl Rd | 0.71mi | 3/3.0 | 1,352 (+1%) | 0mo | $330,000 | $244 | 62 |
| 296 Ashwood Dr | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,456 (+8%) | 6mo | $12,000 | $8 | 60 |
| 215 Hickory Cir | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 17mo | $25,000 | $20 | 55 |
| 154 Island Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (+14%) | 12mo | $59,000 | $39 | 54 |
| 149 Island Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,479 (+10%) | 19mo | $19,500 | $13 | 53 |
| 9897 W Ridge Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,232 (-8%) | 20mo | $302,500 | $246 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.72×
- Total profit
- $46,798
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- 81.6%
- Equity multiple
- 11.11×
- Total profit
- $127,151
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44035
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 356
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,361 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $674/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $765
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 Cedar Brook Dr Elyria, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 1d | 1 | 0.06mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $44,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $44,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $44,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-25$44,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,337
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$674
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,307
- − Management
- −$1,307
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $9,004
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,161
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,022/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good kitchen, bathrooms, exterior, flooring, interior walls/paint, roof, exterior/siding, windows, foundation/structure, HVAC/mechanicals, and landscaping/curb appeal. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and a new kitchen faucet.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a big difference in the home's appearance
- Resale replace kitchen faucet — A new faucet can improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a big difference in the home's appearance ↑
- Resale replace kitchen faucet — A new faucet can improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elyria City Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904394
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,992
- Composite
- 24.45/100
- National rank
- #7670
- State rank
- #586 of 656 in OH
Livability — Elyria
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #3869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elyria, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 62,179
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,179
- Household income
- $56,408
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2229.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.09%
- Current HPI
- 199.7354
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.74%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $44,900 MLSNOW
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…