1734 Robison Hill Rd · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ATTENTION ALL INVESTORS!!! Discover a fantastic nvestment opportunity with this single-family home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathroom. Located in Montgomery, Add this lucrative property to your portfolio and watch your investment grow! Don’t miss out on this chance to enhance your investment portfolio!
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1960
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 383 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 383 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.06%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,940
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -11.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1808 Pinecrest Dr | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (0%) | 14mo | $66,000 | $64 | 85 |
| 1706 Celia Ct | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (+14%) | 11mo | $95,101 | $81 | 63 |
| 1525 Bryan St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,052 (+2%) | 13mo | $37,500 | $36 | 56 |
| 3316 Loch Haven Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+5%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $102 | 56 |
| 3205 Asbury Ln | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (+6%) | 6mo | $63,500 | $58 | 54 |
| 2441 Woodlawn St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,093 (+6%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $55 | 51 |
| 3201 Asbury Ln | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+6%) | 9mo | $116,000 | $106 | 45 |
| 1943 Bullard St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,125 (+10%) | 16mo | $90,000 | $80 | 44 |
| 3216 Fairfax Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (+10%) | 14mo | $145,000 | $128 | 42 |
| 3222 Asbury Ln | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (+6%) | 21mo | $111,700 | $102 | 41 |
| 3226 Durham Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,134 (+10%) | 19mo | $98,000 | $86 | 35 |
| 3208 Durham Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,174 (+14%) | 21mo | $103,500 | $88 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $13,993
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $55,216
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36107
- Home prices YoY
- -10.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,168 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $536/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $397
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1814 Pinecrest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $990 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2736 Chevy Chase Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1839 Robison Hill Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,550 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2845 Zelda Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,042 | $1.03 | 14d | 3 | 0.39mi |
| 2454 Spruce Curv Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2205 E 5th St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $800 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3136 Harrison Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1355 | $1,025 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3318 Habersham Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,250 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2020 E 3rd St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $750 | $0.63 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3323 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3346 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,295 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1229 Karen Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,590 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1347 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1343 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2000 Cherry St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1117 Karen Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1308 | $1,195 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1154 Lakewood Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3456 Harrison Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 311 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $825 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 301 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $935 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2009 Palmetto St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1487 | $1,050 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2727 Boultier St Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,582 | $1.48 | 14d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 319 Olivia Ct Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $700 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1216 Beechdale Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,325 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 122 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $975 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2113 Brewton St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1363 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2430 Price St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1275 | $1,175 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3233 Hillcrest Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,395 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2441 Price St Unit D Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $900 | $0.71 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 895 Greg Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 860 Greg Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 906 E Fairview Ave Unit 902 Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,900 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 364 DOM
-
2025-11-04price $84,900 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
ATTENTION ALL INVESTORS!!! Discover a fantastic nvestment opportunity with this single-family home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathroom. Located in Montgomery, Add this lucrative property to your portfolio and watch your investment grow! Don’t miss out on this chance to enhance your investment portfolio!
-
2025-07-09status Active 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
ATTENTION ALL INVESTORS!!! Discover a fantastic nvestment opportunity with this single-family home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathroom. Located in Montgomery, Add this lucrative property to your portfolio and watch your investment grow! Don’t miss out on this chance to enhance your investment portfolio!
-
2025-06-30historical Contingent 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
ATTENTION ALL INVESTORS!!! Discover a fantastic nvestment opportunity with this single-family home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathroom. Located in Montgomery, Add this lucrative property to your portfolio and watch your investment grow! Don’t miss out on this chance to enhance your investment portfolio!
-
2025-06-20status Active 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
ATTENTION ALL INVESTORS!!! Discover a fantastic nvestment opportunity with this single-family home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathroom. Located in Montgomery, Add this lucrative property to your portfolio and watch your investment grow! Don’t miss out on this chance to enhance your investment portfolio!
-
2025-06-10historical Contingent 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
ATTENTION ALL INVESTORS!!! Discover a fantastic nvestment opportunity with this single-family home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathroom. Located in Montgomery, Add this lucrative property to your portfolio and watch your investment grow! Don’t miss out on this chance to enhance your investment portfolio!
-
2025-05-31$89,900 Active 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
ATTENTION ALL INVESTORS!!! Discover a fantastic nvestment opportunity with this single-family home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathroom. Located in Montgomery, Add this lucrative property to your portfolio and watch your investment grow! Don’t miss out on this chance to enhance your investment portfolio!
-
2025-01-05status Pending
-
2024-09-25price $85,000
-
2024-06-13$89,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $536 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $536 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,016
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$536
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,121
- − Management
- −$1,121
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $3,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$861
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,001
- Household income
- $32,492
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 642.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 20%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.16%
- Current HPI
- 147.8065
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.05%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-4.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $84,900 MAAR
- 2025-07-09 Relisted — MAAR
- 2025-06-30 Contingent — MAAR
- 2025-06-20 Relisted — MAAR
- 2025-06-10 Contingent — MAAR
- 2025-05-31 Listed $89,900 MAAR
- 2025-01-05 Pending — MAAR
- 2024-09-25 Price Changed $85,000 MAAR
- 2024-06-13 Listed $89,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $536 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…