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13 W Chestnut St
B Composite 70.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$69,000

13 W Chestnut St · Stilwell, OK 74960
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,264 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1970 0.45 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Prime Commercial Opportunity on Hwy 59! Great potential with this 1,264 sq ft (CH) m/l property perfectly positioned along busy Highway 59, offering excellent visibility and high traffic exposure. This property includes a home that could be transformed into office space, retail, or other commercial use (subject to zoning), making it a versatile investment opportunity. With its prime location and strong frontage, this is an ideal spot for a small business, rental income, or redevelopment. The structure is a fixer-upper, giving you the chance to customize it to fit your needs and vision. Opportunities like this along Hwy 59 don’t come around often—bring your ideas and make it your own!

Key facts

  • Strong frontage
  • Excellent visibility
  • 0.45 acre lot

Tags

PRIME COMMERCIAL OPPORTUNITYEXCELLENT VISIBILITYHIGH TRAFFIC EXPOSURESTRONG FRONTAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Wood-frame construction; Crawlspace foundation; Metal roof; Year built per public records
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; South-facing lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#541 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Stilwell (town): math 6% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #258 of 270 in OK (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 30 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
  • Adair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $69k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
12.29%
Cash-on-cash
21.40%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$144,096
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 E Walnut St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-2%) 20mo $163,000 $132 56
807 S 2nd St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,216 (-4%) 6mo $138,055 $114 53
422 W Cedar St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-1%) 22mo $103,500 $83 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$27,187
Equity at exit
$27,789
10-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
4.62×
Total profit
$69,915
Equity at exit
$40,462

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74960

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$15 /mo · $184/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$345

Break-even live

Break-even rent $514
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
212 N 6th Pl Unit 212 Stilwell, OK 3.0 1.0 1200 $950 $0.79 21d 1 0.45mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    listed $69,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (704 chars)

    Prime Commercial Opportunity on Hwy 59! Great potential with this 1,264 sq ft (CH) m/l property perfectly positioned along busy Highway 59, offering excellent visibility and high traffic exposure. This property includes a home that could be transformed into office space, retail, or other commercial use (subject to zoning), making it a versatile investment opportunity. With its prime location and strong frontage, this is an ideal spot for a small business, rental income, or redevelopment. The structure is a fixer-upper, giving you the chance to customize it to fit your needs and vision. Opportunities like this along Hwy 59 don’t come around often—bring your ideas and make it your own!

  16. 2026-05-13
    listed $69,000 Active 704-char remark
    Show marketing remark (704 chars)

    Prime Commercial Opportunity on Hwy 59! Great potential with this 1,264 sq ft (CH) m/l property perfectly positioned along busy Highway 59, offering excellent visibility and high traffic exposure. This property includes a home that could be transformed into office space, retail, or other commercial use (subject to zoning), making it a versatile investment opportunity. With its prime location and strong frontage, this is an ideal spot for a small business, rental income, or redevelopment. The structure is a fixer-upper, giving you the chance to customize it to fit your needs and vision. Opportunities like this along Hwy 59 don’t come around often—bring your ideas and make it your own!

  17. 2026-05-13
    listed $69,000 Active 704-char remark
    Show marketing remark (704 chars)

    Prime Commercial Opportunity on Hwy 59! Great potential with this 1,264 sq ft (CH) m/l property perfectly positioned along busy Highway 59, offering excellent visibility and high traffic exposure. This property includes a home that could be transformed into office space, retail, or other commercial use (subject to zoning), making it a versatile investment opportunity. With its prime location and strong frontage, this is an ideal spot for a small business, rental income, or redevelopment. The structure is a fixer-upper, giving you the chance to customize it to fit your needs and vision. Opportunities like this along Hwy 59 don’t come around often—bring your ideas and make it your own!

  18. 2001-01-08
    soldstatus $29,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$184 · $15/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$621 · $52/mo
Expected delta
+$437/yr (+$36/mo · 237.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,400
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$184
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$912
− Management
−$912
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$3,175
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$762
After-tax cash flow
$3,373/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stilwell
NCES district ID
4028710
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$28,414
Composite
6.71/100
National rank
#9985
State rank
#258 of 270 in OK

Livability — Stilwell

Score
55/100
State rank
#541
US rank
#23144

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stilwell, OK
Population (ZIP)
11,964

Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,805 people
By 2030
20,073 · -3.5%
By 2040
18,496 · -11.1%
By 2050
16,970 · -18.4%
By 2075
14,011 · -32.7%
By 2100
12,211 · -41.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.90)
Race & ethnicity
Native American 51% White 31% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Adair

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.0) · D 17.8% · R 80.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: -38.7pp · 2024: -63.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.0 2020: R+59.1 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.15%
Current HPI
223.6773
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $69,000 WRVBOR
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $69,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $69,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2001-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $184 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…