407 W 12th St · Quanah, TX 79252

$75,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,755 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 227 Days on market

Built 1965 0.32 ac lot Est $126k · 41% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Key facts

• 0.32 acre lot
• Parking
• Built 1965

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
• Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#116 in TX, #3,745 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Quanah ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #432 of 826 in TX (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Reagan El (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,769 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 201 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 59% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Hardeman County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.58% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.60%
• DSCR: 1.92
• GRM: 5.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $126,360
• Comps found: 7

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
303 W 9th St	0.23mi	3/2.0	1,734 (-1%)	14mo	$22,000	$13	74
303 E 8th St	0.49mi	3/2.0	1,736 (-1%)	3mo	$125,000	$72	71
401 W 7th St	0.36mi	3/3.0	1,757 (+0%)	9mo	$140,649	$80	70
401 W 15th St	0.22mi	3/2.0	1,981 (+13%)	3mo	$160,000	$81	64
203 E 9th St	0.39mi	3/1.0	1,575 (-10%)	4mo	$49,000	$31	59
301 E 4th St	0.70mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,730 (-1%)	12mo	$47,000	$27	50
1006 W 15th St	0.49mi	3/2.0	2,010 (+14%)	2mo	$150,000	$75	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 26.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.53×
• Total profit: $32,049
• Equity at exit: $33,723

10-year hold

• IRR: 27.6%
• Equity multiple: 4.90×
• Total profit: $81,994
• Equity at exit: $51,972

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79252

• Active inventory: 26
• Price-to-rent: 5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,183 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax from tax record: −$149 /mo · $1,790/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$248
• Net cashflow: $361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $726

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-01-20
   status Pending
2. 2025-06-02
   listed $75,000 Active
3. 2019-11-06
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,790 · $149/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,790 · $149/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,191
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$1,790
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,135
• − Management: −$1,135
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $3,373
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$809
• After-tax cash flow: $3,517/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Quanah ISD
• NCES district ID: 4836180
• Math proficiency: 44% ▲ 4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 37% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $36,117
• Composite: 33.62/100
• National rank: #5406
• State rank: #432 of 826 in TX

Livability — Quanah

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #116
• US rank: #3745

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Quanah, TX
• Population (ZIP): 2,642

Population outlook (Hardeman County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,541 people
• By 2030: 3,375 · -4.7%
• By 2040: 3,066 · -13.4%
• By 2050: 2,784 · -21.4%
• By 2075: 2,057 · -41.9%
• By 2100: 1,406 · -60.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (66%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 66% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 15% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: American 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardeman

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+72.7) · D 13.4% · R 86.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.0pp toward R · 2008: -51.8pp · 2024: -72.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+72.7 2020: R+68.9 2016: R+63.4 2012: R+58.5 2008: R+51.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: —
• Current HPI: —
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-20 Pending — NTREIS
• 2025-06-02 Listed $75,000 NTREIS
• 2019-11-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,790 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.