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2812 Rampy St
D Composite 43.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

2812 Rampy St · Gladewater, TX 75647
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,698 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 256 Days on market
Built 1974 0.26 ac lot $112/sqft · at area comps Est $191k · at est. ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bed, 2-bath home sits on a corner lot in a quiet Gladewater neighborhood. Step inside to a spacious, open living area that flows effortlessly for comfortable daily living. The large fenced backyard is perfect for kids, pets, or evening get-togethers under the stars. A large utility room keeps everything organized, while the brick exterior adds classic curb appeal. With 1,698 sq. ft. , this property is a fantastic starter home or investment opportunity—close to schools, parks, and local shopping. Affordable, versatile, and full of potential.

Key facts

  • Close to parks
  • Close to schools
  • Brick exterior

Tags

CORNER LOTFENCED BACKYARDLARGE UTILITY ROOMBRICK EXTERIORCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO PARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($844/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (5.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.2% in Gladewater — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#805 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gladewater ISD (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #594 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Gladewater Pri (367 students, 90% FRL); Gladewater Middle (math 34% / reading 37%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 400 students, 78% FRL); Gladewater H S (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #963 of 1,632 statewide, top 61%, 459 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 63% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Upshur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Upshur County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.59%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$190,568
List price
$189,900
Delta
-0.35%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2210 Oakridge Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,816 (+7%) 15mo $219,900 $121 50
1013 Chevy Chase St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,572 (-7%) 22mo $215,000 $137 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-26,241
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-16,880
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75647

Home prices YoY
-8.2%
Active inventory
179
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,795 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$273 /mo · $3,276/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$70

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,706
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $178 -5% $124 +0% $70 +5% $17 +10% $-37
Rent -10% $-71 -5% $-1 +0% $70 +5% $141 +10% $212
Rate -1.0pp $166 -0.5pp $119 base $70 +0.5pp $21 +1.0pp $-29

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,900 Active 256 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $189,900 Active 254 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 253 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 252 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 251 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 250 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,900 Active 248 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,900 Active 247 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $189,900 Active 245 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 244 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 243 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    remarks 564-char remark
  13. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $189,900 Active 242 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 238 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 237 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 236 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 235 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,900 Active 234 DOM
  19. 2026-03-11
    price $179,900 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    This 3-bed, 2-bath home sits on a corner lot in a quiet Gladewater neighborhood. Step inside to a spacious, open living area that flows effortlessly for comfortable daily living. The large fenced backyard is perfect for kids, pets, or evening get-togethers under the stars. A large utility room keeps everything organized, while the brick exterior adds classic curb appeal. With 1,698 sq. ft. , this property is a fantastic starter home or investment opportunity—close to schools, parks, and local shopping. Affordable, versatile, and full of potential.

  20. 2025-10-08
    listed $187,900 Active 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    This 3-bed, 2-bath home sits on a corner lot in a quiet Gladewater neighborhood. Step inside to a spacious, open living area that flows effortlessly for comfortable daily living. The large fenced backyard is perfect for kids, pets, or evening get-togethers under the stars. A large utility room keeps everything organized, while the brick exterior adds classic curb appeal. With 1,698 sq. ft. , this property is a fantastic starter home or investment opportunity—close to schools, parks, and local shopping. Affordable, versatile, and full of potential.

  21. 2017-09-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,276 · $273/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,475 · $290/mo
Expected delta
+$199/yr (+$17/mo · 6.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,544
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$3,276
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,724
− Management
−$1,724
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$2,290
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$550
After-tax cash flow
$1,394/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gladewater ISD
NCES district ID
4820760
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$41,485
Composite
26.62/100
National rank
#7177
State rank
#594 of 826 in TX

Livability — Gladewater

Score
64/100
State rank
#805
US rank
#14670

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gladewater, TX
Population (ZIP)
13,457

Population outlook (Upshur County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,771 people
By 2030
43,788 · +2.4%
By 2040
45,574 · +6.6%
By 2050
46,683 · +9.1%
By 2075
49,137 · +14.9%
By 2100
47,457 · +11.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Upshur

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.0) · D 14.2% · R 85.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: -49.0pp · 2024: -71.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.0 2020: R+68.5 2016: R+68.0 2012: R+59.8 2008: R+49.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.12%
Current HPI
303.1316
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $179,900 LAAR
  • 2025-10-08 Listed $187,900 LAAR
  • 2017-09-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,276 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…