4647 Winter Ave #9 · Altamont, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 38 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 39 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers the perfect blend of modern style and comfortable living in the well-maintained Shasta Glen Mobile Home Park. The bright open floor plan creates a spacious and inviting atmosphere, enhanced by durable vinyl flooring throughout and stylish contemporary finishes that give the home a clean, modern feel. The thoughtfully designed layout includes a private primary suite featuring a walk-in closet and an ensuite bath, providing a relaxing retreat at the end of the day. The home also includes convenient washer and dryer hookups and a covered carport to help protect your vehicle from the elements. Everything in the home is brand new and comes with a warranty, offering added peace of mind and low-maintenance living. Move-in ready and beautifully finished, this home is a fantastic opportunity to enjoy modern comfort in a welcoming community.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Vinyl flooring
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.7% in Altamont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#195 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
- Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.25%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,000
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 33.20%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4647 Winter Ave #50 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 900 (0%) | 4mo | $96,500 | $107 | 97 |
| 4647 Winter Ave Spc 82 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 900 (0%) | 15mo | $98,000 | $109 | 87 |
| 4647 Winter Ave Spc 88 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 900 (0%) | 19mo | $104,900 | $117 | 83 |
| 4647 Winter Ave Spc 15 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 900 (0%) | 21mo | $102,900 | $114 | 82 |
| 3500 Summers Ln #3 | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (0%) | 7mo | $32,500 | $36 | 65 |
| 4200 Summers Ln Unit 35 | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 924 (+3%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $70 | 62 |
| 3646 Summers Ln #3 | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (+3%) | 11mo | $77,000 | $83 | 58 |
| 2934 Summers Ln Unit 26 | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 924 (+3%) | 3mo | $47,000 | $51 | 53 |
| 3415 Crest St #11 | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-7%) | 13mo | $59,250 | $71 | 44 |
| 5602 Denver Ave Unit 4 | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 784 (-13%) | 2mo | $15,000 | $19 | 44 |
| 5602 Denver #8 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 784 (-13%) | 10mo | $42,000 | $54 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $12,079
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $50,279
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97603
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,412 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4195 Bristol Ct Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,350 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3039 Kane St Klamath Falls, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,395 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4519 Cannon Ave Apt 2 Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4519 Cannon Ave Unit 22 Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4831 Darwin Pl Klamath Falls, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,475 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4507 Cannon Ave Apt 52 Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2160 Arthur St Unit 5 Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $995 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2124 Arthur St Unit 24 Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 87 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-03-11$99,900 Active 901-char remark
Show marketing remark (901 chars)
This brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers the perfect blend of modern style and comfortable living in the well-maintained Shasta Glen Mobile Home Park. The bright open floor plan creates a spacious and inviting atmosphere, enhanced by durable vinyl flooring throughout and stylish contemporary finishes that give the home a clean, modern feel. The thoughtfully designed layout includes a private primary suite featuring a walk-in closet and an ensuite bath, providing a relaxing retreat at the end of the day. The home also includes convenient washer and dryer hookups and a covered carport to help protect your vehicle from the elements. Everything in the home is brand new and comes with a warranty, offering added peace of mind and low-maintenance living. Move-in ready and beautifully finished, this home is a fantastic opportunity to enjoy modern comfort in a welcoming community.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 38 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,950
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,356
- − Management
- −$1,356
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $3,738
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$897
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,209/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in Shasta Glen Mobile Home Park is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a spacious floor plan. It offers a great blend of comfort and style, making it an ideal investment for both resale and rental markets.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Adding a small outdoor seating area — This can increase the home's appeal for both buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Adding a smart home system — This can increase the home's appeal and potentially increase its value over time.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding a small outdoor seating area — This can increase the home's appeal for both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding a smart home system — This can increase the home's appeal and potentially increase its value over time. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Klamath County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4107020
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,906
- Composite
- 24.83/100
- National rank
- #7593
- State rank
- #46 of 58 in OR
Livability — Altamont
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #12638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altamont, OR
- County
- Klamath County · 56,186 people
- Metro
- Klamath Falls, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,222
- Household income
- $66,937
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1147.0
Population outlook (Klamath County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,870 people
- By 2030
- 62,279 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 58,891 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 56,207 · -12.0%
- By 2075
- 51,239 · -19.8%
- By 2100
- 46,526 · -27.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Klamath
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.9) · D 27.9% · R 69.8% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -41.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.9 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+33.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.75%
- Current HPI
- 198.1814
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- Metro
- Klamath Falls, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Listed $99,900 MLSCO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…