19320 N Diego Way · Maricopa, AZ 85138

$274,900

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,299 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 141 Days on market

Built 2025 6,500 sqft lot $212/sqft · 18% below area Est $334k · 18% under $95/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 16% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +6.3/30.0
• Appreciation +4.6/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• 1% rule +2.0/10.0
• DSCR +0.6/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this lovely single-story residence with a great curb appeal, a manicured landscape, and a 2-car garage. Inside, you'll be greeted in an open layout full of sunlight, showcasing recessed lighting, tile flooring, and neutral paint that works great with all decor. Prepare delicious meals in the impeccable kitchen, equipped with mocha cabinets, granite countertops, and an island, perfect for entertaining. All bedrooms boast soft carpeting underfoot, while the main retreat features a bathroom with double sinks. Enjoy evenings with your loved ones in the backyard, complete with a grassy landscape with the perfect space for a pool or spa! Add your personal touch! What are you waiting for? Come see it before it's gone!

Key facts

• Impeccable kitchen
• Open layout
• Mocha cabinets

Tags

• MANICURED LANDSCAPE
• OPEN LAYOUT
• RECESSED LIGHTING
• TILE FLOORING
• IMPECCABLE KITCHEN
• MOCHA CABINETS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-484 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (25.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (30.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $191k (30.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Maricopa Unified School District (4441) (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #128 of 249 in AZ (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Santa Cruz Elementary School (math 27% / reading 34%, grade F, #536 of 1,109 statewide, top 49%, 764 students, 59% FRL); Desert Wind Middle School (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #127 of 218 statewide, top 60%, 817 students, 52% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 862 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $191,221 (30.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.70% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.18%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.55%
• DSCR: 0.66
• GRM: 12.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $334,442
• List price: $274,900
• Delta: -16.31%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
19360 N Diego Way	0.02mi	3/2.0	1,299 (0%)	11mo	$299,990	$231	88
35315 W La Paz St	0.04mi	3/2.0	1,299 (0%)	13mo	$320,000	$246	86
35711 W Costa Blanca Dr	0.50mi	3/2.0	1,302 (+0%)	14mo	$294,000	$226	62
36055 W Vera Cruz Dr	0.43mi	3/2.0	1,322 (+2%)	18mo	$285,000	$216	60
19060 N Silver Dog Way	0.18mi	3/2.0	1,424 (+10%)	19mo	$298,000	$209	58
19030 N Silver Dog Way	0.20mi	3/2.0	1,424 (+10%)	20mo	$308,990	$217	56
35285 W San Pedro Dr	0.33mi	3/2.0	1,433 (+10%)	14mo	$310,000	$216	53
35337 W San Alvarez Ave	0.72mi	3/2.0	1,312 (+1%)	12mo	$281,250	$214	53
36538 W LA Paz St	0.73mi	3/2.0	1,219 (-6%)	4mo	$273,500	$224	50
18227 N Conquistador Dr	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,333 (+3%)	14mo	$279,000	$209	50
36060 W Santa Clara Ave	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,402 (+8%)	15mo	$310,000	$221	41
36451 W Montserrat St	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,448 (+12%)	18mo	$310,000	$214	32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.89% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.32×
• Total profit: $-52,369
• Equity at exit: $67,842

10-year hold

• IRR: -10.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.09×
• Total profit: $-70,399
• Equity at exit: $72,512

Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85138

• Home prices YoY: -0.3%
• Rents YoY: 1.8%
• Active inventory: 862
• Price-to-rent: 12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,912 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,442
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$344 /mo · $4,124/yr
• Insurance: −$115
• HOA: −$95
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$402
• Net cashflow: $-484

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,525

Max offer price $204,846

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-294	-5% $-389	+0% $-484	+5% $-579	+10% $-674
Rent	-10% $-635	-5% $-560	+0% $-484	+5% $-409	+10% $-333
Rate	-1.0pp $-346	-0.5pp $-414	base $-484	+0.5pp $-555	+1.0pp $-628

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $68,725
• Closing costs: $8,247
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 30 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
35455 W Cartegna Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1832	$2,200	$1.20	12d	1	0.23mi
35448 W Santa Barbara Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1327	$1,600	$1.21	13d	1	0.44mi
36033 W San Clemente Ave Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1775	$1,700	$0.96	45d	1	0.52mi
35396 W San Capistrano Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1662	$1,650	$0.99	45d	1	0.55mi
35480 W San Capistrano Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1402	$1,685	$1.20	0d	1	0.56mi
18389 N Conquistador Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1662	$1,650	$0.99	7d	1	0.57mi
18392 N Los Gabrieles Way Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1662	$1,785	$1.07	6d	1	0.57mi
35579 W San Capistrano Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1662	$1,650	$0.99	7d	1	0.59mi
36043 W Santa Clara Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1700	$1,895	$1.11	3d	1	0.66mi
19270 N Costa Verdez Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1220	$1,610	$1.32	45d	1	0.66mi
19270 N Costa Verdez Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1220	$1,645	$1.35	0d	1	0.66mi
35420 W San Alvarez Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1571	$1,800	$1.15	26d	1	0.66mi
35408 W San Alvarez Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1525	$1,599	$1.05	26d	1	0.66mi
36635 W Honeycutt Rd Maricopa, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	972	$2,259	$2.32	0d	83	0.67mi
35349 W San Alvarez Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1571	$1,600	$1.02	4d	1	0.69mi
35349 W San Alvarez Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1571	$1,600	$1.02	0d	1	0.69mi
18099 N Los Gabrieles Way Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1700	$2,000	$1.18	45d	1	0.73mi
35423 W San Sisto Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1571	$1,950	$1.24	6d	1	0.75mi
36085 W San Sisto Ave Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1605	$2,500	$1.56	0d	1	0.85mi
36419 W San Ildefanso Ave Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1849	$1,795	$0.97	16d	1	0.87mi
36972 W Prado St Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1568	$1,700	$1.08	18d	1	0.97mi
37014 W Prado St Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1568	$1,700	$1.08	18d	1	1.00mi
37043 W Vera Cruz Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1832	$2,300	$1.26	0d	1	1.02mi
17589 N Del Mar Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1177	$1,895	$1.61	46d	1	1.19mi
37088 W Amalfi Ave Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1516	$1,735	$1.14	45d	1	1.33mi
36355 W Mediterranean Way Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1411	$2,050	$1.45	0d	1	1.34mi
36355 W Mediterranean Way Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1411	$2,050	$1.45	3d	1	1.34mi
37144 W Amalfi Ave Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1516	$1,669	$1.10	0d	1	1.36mi
37144 W Amalfi Ave Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1516	$1,839	$1.21	25d	1	1.36mi
36605 W Mondragone Ln Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1170	$1,595	$1.36	12d	1	1.37mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $95 · $1,140/yr
• Likely covers: cablepool

Listing history 27 events

1. 2026-06-21
   pricedays on market $274,900 Active 141 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $279,900 Active 138 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $279,900 Active 137 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $279,900 Active 136 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $279,900 Active 135 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $279,900 Active 133 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $279,900 Active 132 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $279,900 Active 129 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $279,900 Active 128 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $279,900 Active 127 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $285,000 Active 124 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $285,000 Active 123 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $285,000 Active 122 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $285,000 Active 121 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $285,000 Active 120 DOM
16. 2026-04-23
    price $285,000 736-char remark

    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Welcome home to this lovely single-story residence with a great curb appeal, a manicured landscape, and a 2-car garage. Inside, you'll be greeted in an open layout full of sunlight, showcasing recessed lighting, tile flooring, and neutral paint that works great with all decor. Prepare delicious meals in the impeccable kitchen, equipped with mocha cabinets, granite countertops, and an island, perfect for entertaining. All bedrooms boast soft carpeting underfoot, while the main retreat features a bathroom with double sinks. Enjoy evenings with your loved ones in the backyard, complete with a grassy landscape with the perfect space for a pool or spa! Add your personal touch! What are you waiting for? Come see it before it's gone!

17. 2026-04-03
    price $289,900 736-char remark

    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Welcome home to this lovely single-story residence with a great curb appeal, a manicured landscape, and a 2-car garage. Inside, you'll be greeted in an open layout full of sunlight, showcasing recessed lighting, tile flooring, and neutral paint that works great with all decor. Prepare delicious meals in the impeccable kitchen, equipped with mocha cabinets, granite countertops, and an island, perfect for entertaining. All bedrooms boast soft carpeting underfoot, while the main retreat features a bathroom with double sinks. Enjoy evenings with your loved ones in the backyard, complete with a grassy landscape with the perfect space for a pool or spa! Add your personal touch! What are you waiting for? Come see it before it's gone!

18. 2026-03-24
    price $294,900 736-char remark

    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Welcome home to this lovely single-story residence with a great curb appeal, a manicured landscape, and a 2-car garage. Inside, you'll be greeted in an open layout full of sunlight, showcasing recessed lighting, tile flooring, and neutral paint that works great with all decor. Prepare delicious meals in the impeccable kitchen, equipped with mocha cabinets, granite countertops, and an island, perfect for entertaining. All bedrooms boast soft carpeting underfoot, while the main retreat features a bathroom with double sinks. Enjoy evenings with your loved ones in the backyard, complete with a grassy landscape with the perfect space for a pool or spa! Add your personal touch! What are you waiting for? Come see it before it's gone!

19. 2026-03-15
    price $299,900 736-char remark

    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Welcome home to this lovely single-story residence with a great curb appeal, a manicured landscape, and a 2-car garage. Inside, you'll be greeted in an open layout full of sunlight, showcasing recessed lighting, tile flooring, and neutral paint that works great with all decor. Prepare delicious meals in the impeccable kitchen, equipped with mocha cabinets, granite countertops, and an island, perfect for entertaining. All bedrooms boast soft carpeting underfoot, while the main retreat features a bathroom with double sinks. Enjoy evenings with your loved ones in the backyard, complete with a grassy landscape with the perfect space for a pool or spa! Add your personal touch! What are you waiting for? Come see it before it's gone!

20. 2026-02-20
    price $305,000 736-char remark

    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Welcome home to this lovely single-story residence with a great curb appeal, a manicured landscape, and a 2-car garage. Inside, you'll be greeted in an open layout full of sunlight, showcasing recessed lighting, tile flooring, and neutral paint that works great with all decor. Prepare delicious meals in the impeccable kitchen, equipped with mocha cabinets, granite countertops, and an island, perfect for entertaining. All bedrooms boast soft carpeting underfoot, while the main retreat features a bathroom with double sinks. Enjoy evenings with your loved ones in the backyard, complete with a grassy landscape with the perfect space for a pool or spa! Add your personal touch! What are you waiting for? Come see it before it's gone!

21. 2026-02-06
    price $309,900 736-char remark

    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Welcome home to this lovely single-story residence with a great curb appeal, a manicured landscape, and a 2-car garage. Inside, you'll be greeted in an open layout full of sunlight, showcasing recessed lighting, tile flooring, and neutral paint that works great with all decor. Prepare delicious meals in the impeccable kitchen, equipped with mocha cabinets, granite countertops, and an island, perfect for entertaining. All bedrooms boast soft carpeting underfoot, while the main retreat features a bathroom with double sinks. Enjoy evenings with your loved ones in the backyard, complete with a grassy landscape with the perfect space for a pool or spa! Add your personal touch! What are you waiting for? Come see it before it's gone!

22. 2026-01-26
    listed $315,000 Active 736-char remark

    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Welcome home to this lovely single-story residence with a great curb appeal, a manicured landscape, and a 2-car garage. Inside, you'll be greeted in an open layout full of sunlight, showcasing recessed lighting, tile flooring, and neutral paint that works great with all decor. Prepare delicious meals in the impeccable kitchen, equipped with mocha cabinets, granite countertops, and an island, perfect for entertaining. All bedrooms boast soft carpeting underfoot, while the main retreat features a bathroom with double sinks. Enjoy evenings with your loved ones in the backyard, complete with a grassy landscape with the perfect space for a pool or spa! Add your personal touch! What are you waiting for? Come see it before it's gone!

23. 2025-09-19
    soldstatus $334,990 Closed 747-char remark

    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Step into luxury at this new home located in the highly sought-after The Grove Collection at the Trails The charming Plan 21 has fantastic curb appeal. Stroll inside, where the bright foyer with wood-look tile flows through the spacious kitchen and great room, perfect for relaxation and entertainment. The open layout offers ample storage. Enjoy granite countertops and executive-height vanities in the kitchen and bathrooms. With 9-foot ceilings and ceiling fan prewires in every room, comfort is ensured year-round. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, in an Energy Star-qualified home prioritizing efficiency and sustainability. Stay connected with Century Connect Smart Home systems and a garage door opener.

24. 2025-08-18
    status Pending 747-char remark

    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Step into luxury at this new home located in the highly sought-after The Grove Collection at the Trails The charming Plan 21 has fantastic curb appeal. Stroll inside, where the bright foyer with wood-look tile flows through the spacious kitchen and great room, perfect for relaxation and entertainment. The open layout offers ample storage. Enjoy granite countertops and executive-height vanities in the kitchen and bathrooms. With 9-foot ceilings and ceiling fan prewires in every room, comfort is ensured year-round. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, in an Energy Star-qualified home prioritizing efficiency and sustainability. Stay connected with Century Connect Smart Home systems and a garage door opener.

25. 2025-07-01
    price $304,990 747-char remark

    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Step into luxury at this new home located in the highly sought-after The Grove Collection at the Trails The charming Plan 21 has fantastic curb appeal. Stroll inside, where the bright foyer with wood-look tile flows through the spacious kitchen and great room, perfect for relaxation and entertainment. The open layout offers ample storage. Enjoy granite countertops and executive-height vanities in the kitchen and bathrooms. With 9-foot ceilings and ceiling fan prewires in every room, comfort is ensured year-round. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, in an Energy Star-qualified home prioritizing efficiency and sustainability. Stay connected with Century Connect Smart Home systems and a garage door opener.

26. 2025-06-27
    price $324,990 747-char remark

    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Step into luxury at this new home located in the highly sought-after The Grove Collection at the Trails The charming Plan 21 has fantastic curb appeal. Stroll inside, where the bright foyer with wood-look tile flows through the spacious kitchen and great room, perfect for relaxation and entertainment. The open layout offers ample storage. Enjoy granite countertops and executive-height vanities in the kitchen and bathrooms. With 9-foot ceilings and ceiling fan prewires in every room, comfort is ensured year-round. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, in an Energy Star-qualified home prioritizing efficiency and sustainability. Stay connected with Century Connect Smart Home systems and a garage door opener.

27. 2025-06-03
    listed $339,905 Active 747-char remark

    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Step into luxury at this new home located in the highly sought-after The Grove Collection at the Trails The charming Plan 21 has fantastic curb appeal. Stroll inside, where the bright foyer with wood-look tile flows through the spacious kitchen and great room, perfect for relaxation and entertainment. The open layout offers ample storage. Enjoy granite countertops and executive-height vanities in the kitchen and bathrooms. With 9-foot ceilings and ceiling fan prewires in every room, comfort is ensured year-round. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, in an Energy Star-qualified home prioritizing efficiency and sustainability. Stay connected with Century Connect Smart Home systems and a garage door opener.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,947
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,399
• − Property taxes: −$4,124
• − Insurance: −$1,374
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,836
• − Management: −$1,836
• − HOA: −$1,140
• − Depreciation: −$7,997
• Taxable loss: −$10,759
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,582
• After-tax cash flow: $-3,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Maricopa Unified School District (4441)
• NCES district ID: 0404720
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $63,725
• Composite: 22.92/100
• National rank: #7993
• State rank: #128 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Maricopa

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #28
• US rank: #5943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Maricopa, AZ
• County: Pinal County · 399,947 people
• City population: 76,044
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 55,260
• Household income: $95,867
• Rent vs Own: 17.7% rent · 82.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 432.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 437,574 people
• By 2030: 446,903 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 452,589 · +3.4%
• By 2050: 444,126 · +1.5%
• By 2075: 430,300 · -1.7%
• By 2100: 393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: White 45% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 17% Black 13% Native American 3% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.89%
• Current HPI: 258.1461
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.78%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

-16.2% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-23 Price Changed $285,000 ARMLS
• 2026-04-03 Price Changed $289,900 ARMLS
• 2026-03-24 Price Changed $294,900 ARMLS
• 2026-03-15 Price Changed $299,900 ARMLS
• 2026-02-20 Price Changed $305,000 ARMLS
• 2026-02-06 Price Changed $309,900 ARMLS
• 2026-01-26 Listed $315,000 ARMLS
• 2025-09-19 Sold (MLS) $334,990 ARMLS
• 2025-08-18 Pending — ARMLS
• 2025-07-01 Price Changed $304,990 ARMLS
• 2025-06-27 Price Changed $324,990 ARMLS
• 2025-06-03 Listed $339,905 ARMLS

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $191 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.