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456 Beach 72nd St Duplex
B Composite 72.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$692,000

456 Beach 72nd St · New York, NY 11692
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,068 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1950 Est $759k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Exceptional 2-family home in Arverne offering 2,068 sq ft of beautifully updated living space on a 4,000 sq ft lot. This move-in-ready property features 5 bedrooms and 2 & Acirc; & frac34; bathrooms across two vacant units & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; ideal for multigenerational living or immediate rental income. The ground-floor apartment offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, and an expansive open-concept living/kitchen area. The main residence features a bright second-floor living space with soaring 11.5-ft vaulted ceilings, 3 skylights, a spacious kitchen/dining area, 3 bedrooms, 1 & Acirc; & frac34; baths, and a covered elevated porch. A finished attic, bonus storage room,

Key facts

  • 2 family home
  • Finished attic
  • Updated living space

Tags

2 FAMILY HOMEUPDATED LIVING SPACEOPEN CONCEPT LIVING KITCHENVAULTED CEILINGSSKYLIGHTSFINISHED ATTIC

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1950
  • Construction: Originally built in 1950
  • Exterior features: Located in the Far Rockaway neighborhood

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1.5ba + 1×3bd/1.5ba units multifamily listed at $692k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $917 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $458/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $692k).
  • Recommended offer: $671k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,193/mo this rent would consume 174% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $74k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $69k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $194k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$119k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($671k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $320k; list at $692k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $671,240 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.32%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$758,956
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
69-43 Thursby Ave 0.04mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,068 (0%) 11mo $810,000 $392 80
6235 Burchell Rd 0.45mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,000 (-3%) 5mo $867,347 $434 64
609 Beach 63rd St 0.46mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,068 (0%) 7mo $565,000 $273 64
345 Beach 73rd St 0.15mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,926 (-7%) 13mo $550,000 $286 62
618 Beach 67th St 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,946 (-6%) 12mo $715,000 $367 61
193 Beach 59th St 0.62mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,052 (-1%) 6mo $710,000 $346 60
6523 Seaspray Ave 0.51mi 4/3.0 2,258 (+9%) 8mo $1,170,000 $518 54
65-05 Beach Channel Dr 0.34mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,024 (-2%) 21mo $700,000 $346 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$435,365
Equity at exit
$623,408
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
7.38×
Total profit
$1,236,360
Equity at exit
$1,344,404

Cash invested: $193,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11692

Home prices YoY
14.4%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
16.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,193 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,629
Tax from tax record
$422 /mo · $5,064/yr
Insurance
$288
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,511
Net cashflow
$917

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,033
Max offer price $692,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,308 -5% $1,113 +0% $917 +5% $721 +10% $525
Rent -10% $348 -5% $633 +0% $917 +5% $1,201 +10% $1,485
Rate -1.0pp $1,265 -0.5pp $1,093 base $917 +0.5pp $737 +1.0pp $555

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1.5 $3,451
1× unit 3 1.5 $3,741
Total (2 units) $7,193

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$173,000
Closing costs
$20,760
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6935 Hessler Ave Arverne, NY 3.0 1.5 1596 $3,300 $2.07 25d 1 0.07mi
75-18 Aquatic Dr Unit B Arverne, NY 3.0 2.5 2034 $3,500 $1.72 25d 1 0.34mi
1-76 Beach 97th St Unit 3 Rockaway Beach, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $4,000 $2.67 8d 1 1.12mi
2-27R Beach 99th St Rockaway Park, NY 3.0 1.0 2208 $3,500 $1.59 25d 1 1.23mi
325 Beach 46th St Far Rockaway, NY 3.0 1.5 2250 $3,100 $1.38 25d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $692,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $692,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $692,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $692,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $692,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $692,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $692,000 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $692,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $692,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-05-12
    listed $692,000 Active
  11. 2016-07-08
    soldstatus $320,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,064 · $422/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,379 · $698/mo
Expected delta
+$3,316/yr (+$276/mo · 65.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$86,316
− Mortgage interest
−$38,763
− Property taxes
−$5,064
− Insurance
−$8,578
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,905
− Management
−$6,905
− Depreciation
−$20,131
Taxable loss
−$30
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$7
After-tax cash flow
$11,008/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
22,734
Household income
$49,720
Rent vs Own
66.9% rent · 33.1% own
Severe rent burden
1734.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 15% White 13% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 44.49%
Current HPI
354.2007
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $692,000 FSBO.com
  • 2016-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,064 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…