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1009 Mckee Rd
D+ Composite 45.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$199,900

1009 Mckee Rd · Harvest, AL 35773
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 2001 0.36 ac lot Est $167k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.

Key facts

  • 0.36 acre lot
  • Built 2001
  • Listed 23 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Built in 2001; Living area approximately 1,100
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: 0.36-acre lot; Directions: 72 W, north on Wall Triana about 11 miles, left on McKee Rd; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (19.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $162k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.5% in Harvest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#27 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Harvest School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 627 statewide, top 53%, 734 students, 54% FRL); Sparkman Middle School (math 18% / reading 53%, grade F, #81 of 257 statewide, top 33%, 859 students, 60% FRL); Sparkman High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #58 of 305 statewide, top 19%, 1,738 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 29% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $77k; list at $200k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $161,750 (19.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.79%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,848
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1005 Mckee Rd 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,056 (0%) 3mo $110,000 $104 93
153 Jennifer Dr 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,200 (+14%) 13mo $190,000 $158 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$114,105
Equity at exit
$180,086
10-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
6.93×
Total profit
$331,654
Equity at exit
$388,362

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35773

Home prices YoY
28.8%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,618 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $751/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$84

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,512
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $197 -5% $140 +0% $84 +5% $27 +10% $-30
Rent -10% $-44 -5% $20 +0% $84 +5% $148 +10% $211
Rate -1.0pp $184 -0.5pp $134 base $84 +0.5pp $32 +1.0pp $-21

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
180 Labrador Ln Harvest, AL 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,650 $1.31 45d 1 0.98mi
348 Ariel Dr Harvest, AL 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,575 $1.09 45d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $210,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-26
    listed $210,000 Active
  16. 2020-09-17
    soldstatus $76,580
  17. 2020-09-15
    soldstatus $76,580 Sold 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.

  18. 2020-08-09
    historical Contingent 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.

  19. 2020-07-10
    price $75,000 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.

  20. 2020-06-16
    status Active 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.

  21. 2020-05-19
    historical Contingent 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.

  22. 2020-05-05
    listed $90,000 Active 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.

  23. 2018-01-02
    soldstatus $83,400
  24. 2017-11-09
    soldstatus $160,000
  25. 2017-11-09
    soldstatus $157,000
  26. 2012-08-17
    soldstatus $105,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$751 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$820 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$68/yr (+$6/mo · 9.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,410
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$751
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,553
− Management
−$1,553
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$2,459
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$590
After-tax cash flow
$1,594/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Harvest

Score
72/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#5986

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
30,710
Population (ZIP)
13,977

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 149.14%
Current HPI
666.8602
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $210,000 VMLS
  • 2020-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $76,580 Public Records
  • 2020-09-15 Sold (MLS) $76,580 VMLS
  • 2020-08-09 Contingent VMLS
  • 2020-07-10 Price Changed $75,000 VMLS
  • 2020-06-16 Relisted VMLS
  • 2020-05-19 Contingent VMLS
  • 2020-05-05 Listed $90,000 VMLS
  • 2018-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $83,400 Public Records
  • 2017-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2012-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $751 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…