1009 Mckee Rd · Harvest, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- Built 2001
- Listed 23 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Built in 2001; Living area approximately 1,100
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: 0.36-acre lot; Directions: 72 W, north on Wall Triana about 11 miles, left on McKee Rd; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (19.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.5% in Harvest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#27 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harvest School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 627 statewide, top 53%, 734 students, 54% FRL); Sparkman Middle School (math 18% / reading 53%, grade F, #81 of 257 statewide, top 33%, 859 students, 60% FRL); Sparkman High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #58 of 305 statewide, top 19%, 1,738 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 29% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $77k; list at $200k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.79%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,848
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1005 Mckee Rd | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $104 | 93 |
| 153 Jennifer Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+14%) | 13mo | $190,000 | $158 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $114,105
- Equity at exit
- $180,086
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.93×
- Total profit
- $331,654
- Equity at exit
- $388,362
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35773
- Home prices YoY
- 28.8%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,618 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $751/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $84
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $197 | -5% $140 | +0% $84 | +5% $27 | +10% $-30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-44 | -5% $20 | +0% $84 | +5% $148 | +10% $211 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $184 | -0.5pp $134 | base $84 | +0.5pp $32 | +1.0pp $-21 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180 Labrador Ln Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,650 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 348 Ariel Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,575 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $210,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$210,000 Active
-
2020-09-17soldstatus $76,580
-
2020-09-15soldstatus $76,580 Sold 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.
-
2020-08-09historical Contingent 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.
-
2020-07-10price $75,000 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.
-
2020-06-16status Active 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.
-
2020-05-19historical Contingent 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.
-
2020-05-05$90,000 Active 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This quaint, 3 bed 2 full bath, home has a fresh interior and is move in ready. Great opportunities for new homeowners with the large backyard or for use as a rental property. Looking's free so come take a peek before it's gone. Listed below appraisal price! House is being sold as is where is.
-
2018-01-02soldstatus $83,400
-
2017-11-09soldstatus $160,000
-
2017-11-09soldstatus $157,000
-
2012-08-17soldstatus $105,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $751 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$68/yr (+$6/mo · 9.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,410
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$751
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,553
- − Management
- −$1,553
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$2,459
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$590
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,594/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Harvest
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #5986
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 30,710
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,977
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 149.14%
- Current HPI
- 666.8602
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+100.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $210,000 VMLS
- 2020-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $76,580 Public Records
- 2020-09-15 Sold (MLS) $76,580 VMLS
- 2020-08-09 Contingent — VMLS
- 2020-07-10 Price Changed $75,000 VMLS
- 2020-06-16 Relisted — VMLS
- 2020-05-19 Contingent — VMLS
- 2020-05-05 Listed $90,000 VMLS
- 2018-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $83,400 Public Records
- 2017-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
- 2017-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2012-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2024): $751 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…