5930 N River Rd · Maumee, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 2,940 sq. ft. home located in the desirable AW community! This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath property offers generous living space throughout, including a formal living room with a bay window and an updated kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The dining area opens to a bright sunroom, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The expansive lower level includes a family room with a stone gas fireplace and a large bonus room for added space. Enjoy the fenced-in backyard with a patio and natural gas line for your grill—ideal for outdoor gatherings. Conveniently located near Side Cut Park and the Shops at Fallen Timbers. Minimum Bid Auction of $225,000 on April 30th at 4 PM. Preview
Key facts
- 0.41 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 2,940 (listed); Lot approximately 0.41 acre
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Asphalt driveway; Circular driveway; Total parking for 8 vehicles; Approximately 3.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Sanitary sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family house; Tri-level layout; 2 stories total; Not attached to other structures; Located in Canandaigua Heights subdivision
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Upper level); Bedroom 2 (Upper level); Bedroom 3 (Upper level); Bedroom 4 (Upper level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom (total 2.5 bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas boiler heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Bay window in living room; Fireplace in family room; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.8% in Maumee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#221 in OH, #3,442 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Anthony Wayne Local (suburban): math 77% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #49 of 656 in OH (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Waterville Primary School (math 85% / reading 83%, grade A+, #90 of 1,584 statewide, top 6%, 517 students, 10% FRL); Fallen Timbers Middle School (math 82% / reading 84%, grade A+, #29 of 654 statewide, top 5%, 647 students, 11% FRL); Anthony Wayne High School (math 56% / reading 79%, grade B, #136 of 781 statewide, top 17%, 1,324 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.14%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $464,520
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5930 N River Rd | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 2,940 (0%) | 1mo | $258,300 | $88 | 99 |
| 5922 Little Turtle Trl | 0.14mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,864 (-3%) | 18mo | $309,500 | $108 | 68 |
| 25874 Cherbourg Ln | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 2,864 (-3%) | 15mo | $550,000 | $192 | 51 |
| 26101 Willowbend Rd | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 2,576 (-12%) | 6mo | $408,000 | $158 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-15,779
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $13,301
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43566
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,600 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$458 /mo · $5,495/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$546
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15207 Sunset Maple Dr Perrysburg, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2096 | $2,600 | $1.24 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-03-25$225,000 Active
-
2022-05-17historical
-
2022-05-07price $299,900
-
2022-04-22$320,000 Active
-
2017-09-09historical
-
2017-02-19$228,000
-
2002-12-27soldstatus $196,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,495 · $458/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,495 · $458/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$5,495
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,496
- − Management
- −$2,496
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable income
- $439
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$105
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anthony Wayne Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904820
- Math proficiency
- 77% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,345
- Composite
- 69.43/100
- National rank
- #311
- State rank
- #49 of 656 in OH
Livability — Maumee
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #3442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lucas · 437,818 people
- City population
- 30,111
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,350
- Household income
- $108,497
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3.6
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.89%
- Current HPI
- 214.264
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+14.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $225,000 NORIS
- 2022-05-17 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2022-05-07 Price Changed $299,900 NORIS
- 2022-04-22 Listed $320,000 NORIS
- 2017-09-09 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2017-02-19 Listed $228,000 NORIS
- 2002-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $196,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,495 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…