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4234 Custer Ave
B Composite 70.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

4234 Custer Ave · Flint, MI 48507
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 954 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1951 4,792 sqft lot Est $92k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute House In Move-in Condition. Note Large 3 Car Garage for a mechanic dream or storage. Full basement & Eating Area In Kitchen. Fenced Yard. Updated Kitchen Cabinets, Laminate Floors and painted home. Home has Vinyl Siding, Vinal Siding and Vinyl windows.

Key facts

  • Large 3 car garage
  • Laminate floors
  • Fenced yard

Tags

LARGE 3 CAR GARAGEFULL BASEMENTEATING AREA IN KITCHENFENCED YARDUPDATED KITCHEN CABINETSLAMINATE FLOORS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with direct access; 3 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Ground-level entry; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 45 x 110 (0.11 acre)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes living areas and bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Full, unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $80k implies a 492% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $78,701 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
10.61%
Cash-on-cash
15.43%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,584
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
630 Buckingham Ave Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 936 (-2%) 1mo $89,999 $96 81
4526 Milton Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 929 (-3%) 2mo $90,000 $97 79
326 Burroughs Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (+6%) 2mo $47,500 $47 73
601 Buckingham Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 942 (-1%) 9mo $45,000 $48 72
352 Buckingham Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,055 (+11%) 0mo $98,500 $93 70
802 McKeighan Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+11%) 3mo $95,900 $91 62
1030 Mckeighan Ave 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,049 (+10%) 2mo $50,000 $48 56
3290 Ogema St 0.37mi 3/1.0 836 (-12%) 10mo $89,900 $108 53
2140 E Bristol Rd 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (-4%) 1mo $113,000 $124 52
3508 Fern Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,060 (+11%) 0mo $132,000 $125 50
3343 Cheyenne Ave 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 906 (-5%) 6mo $114,000 $126 46
3705 Cherokee Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+14%) 10mo $72,500 $66 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$2,245
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$13,452
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48507

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,076 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,321/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$288

Break-even live

Break-even rent $712
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3291 Glengary St Burton, MI 2.0 1.0 972 $1,075 $1.11 43d 1 0.35mi
1034 McKeighan Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,250 $1.20 21d 1 0.49mi
2266 Donovan St Burton, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 13d 1 0.58mi
813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $850 $1.17 13d 1 1.15mi
132 Pine Blf Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $953 $0.99 43d 1 1.17mi
4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 666 $960 $1.44 13d 19 1.22mi
410 Lippincott Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $695 $0.87 13d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $79,900 Pending 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-05-12
    status Active 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Cute House In Move-in Condition. Note Large 3 Car Garage for a mechanic dream or storage. Full basement & Eating Area In Kitchen. Fenced Yard. Updated Kitchen Cabinets, Laminate Floors and painted home. Home has Vinyl Siding, Vinal Siding and Vinyl windows.

  7. 2026-05-12
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Cute House In Move-in Condition. Note Large 3 Car Garage for a mechanic dream or storage. Full basement & Eating Area In Kitchen. Fenced Yard. Updated Kitchen Cabinets, Laminate Floors and painted home. Home has Vinyl Siding, Vinal Siding and Vinyl windows.

  8. 2026-04-15
    status Pending 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Cute House In Move-in Condition. Note Large 3 Car Garage for a mechanic dream or storage. Full basement & Eating Area In Kitchen. Fenced Yard. Updated Kitchen Cabinets, Laminate Floors and painted home. Home has Vinyl Siding, Vinal Siding and Vinyl windows.

  9. 2026-04-15
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Cute House In Move-in Condition. Note Large 3 Car Garage for a mechanic dream or storage. Full basement & Eating Area In Kitchen. Fenced Yard. Updated Kitchen Cabinets, Laminate Floors and painted home. Home has Vinyl Siding, Vinal Siding and Vinyl windows.

  10. 2026-04-13
    listed $84,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Cute House In Move-in Condition. Note Large 3 Car Garage for a mechanic dream or storage. Full basement & Eating Area In Kitchen. Fenced Yard. Updated Kitchen Cabinets, Laminate Floors and painted home. Home has Vinyl Siding, Vinal Siding and Vinyl windows.

  11. 2026-04-13
    listed $84,900 Active 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Cute House In Move-in Condition. Note Large 3 Car Garage for a mechanic dream or storage. Full basement & Eating Area In Kitchen. Fenced Yard. Updated Kitchen Cabinets, Laminate Floors and painted home. Home has Vinyl Siding, Vinal Siding and Vinyl windows.

  12. 2009-10-28
    soldstatus $13,500 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    HURRY!! This deal wont last long! Awesome Opportunity-- 3 bedroom home with full basement, and 3 car garage!! Bring All Offers. Home is being sold "AS-IS" w/ no repairs being made. All offers to be submitted w. verificaiton of funds/pre-approval letter.

  13. 2009-10-27
    soldstatus $13,500
  14. 2009-10-27
    soldstatus $13,500
  15. 2009-10-11
    historical
  16. 2009-10-09
    listed $8,900 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    HURRY!! This deal wont last long! Awesome Opportunity-- 3 bedroom home with full basement, and 3 car garage!! Bring All Offers. Home is being sold "AS-IS" w/ no repairs being made. All offers to be submitted w. verificaiton of funds/pre-approval letter.

  17. 2009-10-08
    listed $8,900
  18. 2009-10-08
    listed $8,900
  19. 1998-04-30
    soldstatus $56,900
  20. 1998-04-30
    soldstatus $56,900
  21. 1998-03-19
    historical
  22. 1997-11-11
    listed $56,900
  23. 1997-11-11
    listed $56,900
  24. 1997-06-25
    listed $59,000
  25. 1997-06-25
    historical
  26. 1997-06-25
    historical
  27. 1997-06-25
    listed $59,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,321 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,321 · $110/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,913
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,321
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,033
− Management
−$1,033
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,326
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$558
After-tax cash flow
$2,894/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
28,723
Household income
$46,554
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1534.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.90%
Current HPI
132.3632
Rent YoY
▼ -1.04%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+43.9% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-10-28 Sold (MLS) $13,500 REALCOMP
  • 2009-10-27 Sold (MLS) $13,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-10-27 Sold (MLS) $13,500 REALCOMP
  • 2009-10-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-10-09 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-10-08 Listed $8,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-10-08 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
  • 1998-04-30 Sold (MLS) $56,900 REALCOMP
  • 1998-04-30 Sold (MLS) $56,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-03-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-11-11 Listed $56,900 REALCOMP
  • 1997-11-11 Listed $56,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-06-25 Listed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-06-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-06-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1997-06-25 Listed $59,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,321 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…