217 SE Oak St Unit B · Fort Walton Beach, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.53%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +5.3/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This townhome is the synergy of simple and comfort. It's nestled perfectly for quick access to the beach, shopping and downtown. Other highlights include: a new roof, new windows, fresh paint, large backyard with new privacy fencing and new carpet. It's ready for NEW owners. AC less than 5 yrs old
Key facts
- New carpet
- Privacy fencing
- Large backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Subdivision: DEVAUX T/H UNIT 2
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Townhome; 2 stories; Entry level rooms on first and second floors
- Construction: Built in 1984
- Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Open patio; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms; Master bedroom is on the second floor
- Flooring: Tile; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Newly painted; Washer/dryer hookup
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Utility room on first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-187/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (1.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (19.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 0.9% in Fort Walton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#111 in FL, #1,628 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Mary Esther Elementary School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 441 students, 70% FRL); Fort Walton Beach High School (math 54% / reading 58%, grade C, #131 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 1,620 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 36% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.32%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $200,014
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- 4.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 3rd St Unit J | 0.15mi | 2/1.5 | 1,188 (+11%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $185 | 71 |
| 204 SE 4th St Unit B4 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (+11%) | 3mo | $192,000 | $162 | 68 |
| 321 Bream Ave #508 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,089 (+2%) | 3mo | $431,000 | $396 | 65 |
| 144 SE Scottwood Dr | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 | 1,216 (+13%) | 2mo | $294,000 | $242 | 64 |
| 321 Bream Ave #605 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,089 (+2%) | 4mo | $465,000 | $427 | 64 |
| 321 Bream Ave Unit 409 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,089 (+2%) | 12mo | $500,000 | $459 | 58 |
| 330 Bluefish Dr #119 | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,026 (-4%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $356 | 56 |
| 159 SE BROOKS St Unit 307 | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+12%) | 6mo | $340,000 | $283 | 49 |
| 31 Park Cir Unit 22 | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 11mo | $195,000 | $195 | 45 |
| 159 SE Brooks St Unit 202 | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+12%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $279 | 44 |
| 1110 Santa Rosa Blvd Unit C501 | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+12%) | 3mo | $770,000 | $642 | 43 |
| 1110 Santa Rosa Blvd Unit C601 | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+12%) | 7mo | $735,000 | $613 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-37,850
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-45,463
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32548
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,689 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,933/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $-16
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $103 | -5% $44 | +0% $-16 | +5% $-75 | +10% $-134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-149 | -5% $-82 | +0% $-16 | +5% $51 | +10% $118 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $90 | -0.5pp $38 | base $-16 | +0.5pp $-70 | +1.0pp $-125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 Elm Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 107 Magnolia Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 208 Oak St SE Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 133 Alder Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,500 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 159 Scottwood Dr SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 36 Alder Ave SE #3 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1061 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 165 Brooks St SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 159 Brooks St SE #306 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 22 Laurie Dr NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,800 | $1.69 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 37 Laurie Dr NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1375 | $2,095 | $1.52 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 330 Bluefish Dr #103 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 50 Laurie Dr NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 101 Church Ave SE Unit 204 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,676 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 101 Church Ave SE Unit 105 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,397 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 103 Church Ave SE Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 115 Hughes St NE Unit D2 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,900 | $1.78 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 120 Opp Blvd NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 140 Opp Blvd NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 896 | $1,750 | $1.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5 Laguna St #104 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $2,575 | $2.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $210,000 Pending 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $210,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-01$210,000 Active 298-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,933 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,933 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 53% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,267
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$1,933
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,621
- − Management
- −$1,621
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$3,831
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$919
- After-tax cash flow
- $732/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Walton Beach
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #1628
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Walton Beach, FL
- County
- Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
- City population
- 59,301
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,774
- Household income
- $65,342
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 889.0
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.88%
- Current HPI
- 274.8418
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Pending — ECAR
- 2026-05-01 Listed $210,000 ECAR
Property tax history
+14.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,933 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…