4511 Johnathan Ct NW #31 · Walker, MI 49534

$58,800

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 62 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition $56/sqft · at area comps Est $61k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +9.4/15.0
• Rent growth +4.5/5.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as a clubhouse, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

• Clubhouse
• Basketball court
• Modern bathroom

Tags

• PREMIUM ENTRY DOORS
• MODERN BATHROOM
• NEW BRAND NAME APPLIANCES
• CLUBHOUSE
• BASKETBALL COURT
• PLAYGROUND

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $958 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
• Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 25.8% vs local median 4.1% in Walker — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#188 in MI, #4,765 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
• Kenowa Hills Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #205 of 540 in MI (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $407 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $55,272 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.94% ✓
• Cap rate: 25.84%
• Cash-on-cash: 69.83%
• DSCR: 4.11
• GRM: 2.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $61,414
• List price: $58,800
• Delta: -4.26%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 7 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4500 Crabapple Ct NW	0.06mi	2/1.0 (-1)	980 (-7%)	3mo	$17,500	$18	74
4440 Jardin Dr NW #168	0.22mi	4/1.0 (+1)	980 (-7%)	7mo	$70,000	$71	63
4676 Gardens Blvd NW	0.27mi	3/2.0	1,210 (+15%)	8mo	$58,000	$48	57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 74.8%
• Equity multiple: 4.67×
• Total profit: $60,394
• Equity at exit: $8,767

10-year hold

• IRR: 79.9%
• Equity multiple: 11.42×
• Total profit: $171,565
• Equity at exit: $5,084

Cash invested: $16,464 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 49534

• Home prices YoY: -28.4%
• Rents YoY: 7.9%
• Active inventory: 111
• Price-to-rent: 2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,727 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$308
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$74 /mo · $882/yr
• Insurance: −$24
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$363
• Net cashflow: $958

Break-even live

Break-even rent $514

Max offer price $58,800

Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,700
• Closing costs: $1,764
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
511 Hampton Ln NW Walker, MI	1.0–2.0	1.0	763	$1,519	$1.99	2d	5	0.95mi
306 Manzana Ct NW Walker, MI	1.0–2.0	1.0	683	$1,392	$2.04	2d	52	1.15mi
680 Lake Michigan Dr NW Unit O-686 Grand Rapids, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,375	$1.53	2d	1	1.27mi
680 Lake Michigan Dr NW Unit O-682 Grand Rapids, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,275	$1.42	43d	1	1.27mi
680 Lake Michigan Dr NW Unit O-680 Grand Rapids, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,399	$1.55	11d	1	1.27mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $58,800 Active 62 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $58,800 Active 61 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $58,800 Active 60 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $58,800 Active 59 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $58,800 Active 57 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $58,800 Active 54 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $58,800 Active 53 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $58,800 Active 52 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $58,800 Active 51 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $58,800 Active 47 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $58,800 Active 46 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $58,800 Active 45 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,300 Active 44 DOM
14. 2026-04-18
    listed $58,300 Active 473-char remark

    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as a clubhouse, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,725
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,294
• − Property taxes: −$882
• − Insurance: −$294
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,658
• − Management: −$1,658
• − Depreciation: −$1,711
• Taxable income: $11,229
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,695
• After-tax cash flow: $8,802/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This brand new 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home is move-in ready with modern finishes and a clean, well-maintained appearance. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the fresh paint and landscaping improvements.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
• Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and add value.
• Resale Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
• Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and adds value for both resale and rental.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
• Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and add value. ↑
• Resale Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Kenowa Hills Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2620280
• Math proficiency: 33% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $53,387
• Composite: 34.36/100
• National rank: #5221
• State rank: #205 of 540 in MI

Livability — Walker

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #188
• US rank: #4765

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Walker, MI
• County: Kent County · 533,805 people
• City population: 33,350
• Metro: Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
• Population (ZIP): 23,719
• Household income: $81,657
• Rent vs Own: 29.9% rent · 70.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 415.0

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 712,484 people
• By 2030: 748,618 · +5.1%
• By 2040: 814,777 · +14.4%
• By 2050: 868,556 · +21.9%
• By 2075: 966,487 · +35.7%
• By 2100: 967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (87%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 20% Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -107.59%
• Current HPI: 270.866
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.87%
• Metro: Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-18 Listed $58,300 Zillow