3614 Melbourne Dr · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fantastic 3 bed / 1.5 bath brick ranch for sale that's been freshly painted and is now ready for its new owner! Great home for a first time buyer or retiree looking to downsize. Roof, HVAC, and windows have all been replaced in the last couple of years. This home also has a huge double carport & fenced in backyard! Please verify school zones & room measurements if important.
Key facts
- Hvac replaced
- Fenced in backyard
- Windows replaced
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association amenities: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Carport; Parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry level: 1; Residential zoning; Has a view
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Crawl space / no basement
- Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced yard; Other exterior features; Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Electric heating; Forced air; Natural gas
- Interior features: See remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Meadowbrook Elementary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,041 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 497 students, 98% FRL); Glenn Hills Middle School (math 2% / reading 6%, grade F, #467 of 470 statewide, top 99%, 762 students, 98% FRL); Glenn Hills High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #421 of 424 statewide, top 100%, 883 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 364 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $135k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.02%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,595
- List price
- $134,900
- Delta
- -9.22%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3609 Lofwood Ct | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,273 (-1%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $130 | 85 |
| 3614 Brookshire Ct | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,450 (+13%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $90 | 72 |
| 3481 Bullock Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (0%) | 1mo | $163,900 | $127 | 68 |
| 3617 Lofwood Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,432 (+11%) | 8mo | $166,000 | $116 | 66 |
| 2516 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (+7%) | 15mo | $129,700 | $94 | 65 |
| 3611 Sturnidae Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+1%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $115 | 62 |
| 2701 Gardenbrook Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+7%) | 11mo | $164,000 | $119 | 59 |
| 2503 Dewsbury Ct | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,234 (-4%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $77 | 58 |
| 2509 Drumcliff Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (+10%) | 2mo | $174,000 | $123 | 50 |
| 3603 Meadowwood Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (+15%) | 14mo | $146,000 | $99 | 49 |
| 3516 Gardenbrook Drive Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,138 (-12%) | 10mo | $154,150 | $135 | 47 |
| 2818 Nighthawk Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-7%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $54 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-10,052
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,571
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30906
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 364
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,461 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,652/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $253
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3517 Byron Pl Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2707 Gardenbrook Ct Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $1,606 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3528 Woodlake Rd Hephzibah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2104 Julius Dr Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2808 Nighthawk Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3504 Osage Ct Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1425 | $1,556 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2242 Winston Way Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1292 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2242 Winston Way Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1292 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2531 Crosscreek Rd Hephzibah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2531 Crosscreek Rd Hephzibah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3519 Evangeline Dr Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $1,595 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2604 Edmonton Ct Hephzibah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1343 | $1,190 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3532 Edmonton St Hephzibah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,425 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3532 Edmonton St Hephzibah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,425 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1017 Caddenwoods Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $1,430 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2704 Cranbrook Dr Hephzibah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2914 Cumberland Dr Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,400 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2727 Barclay St Hephzibah, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,234 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2941 Rollingwood Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3320 Hillis Rd Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1788 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2813 Leawood Ct Hephzibah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,250 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3613 Alene Cir Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,325 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3001 Alene Ct Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,631 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3412 Kensington Dr N Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,350 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3200 Deans Bridge Rd Augusta, GA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1075 | $970 | $0.90 | 23d | 6 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18price $134,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $144,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $144,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $144,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $144,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $144,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $144,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-05-04$149,900 Active
-
2026-05-04$149,900 Active
-
2025-06-12historical
-
2025-03-12$145,000
-
2025-03-12$145,000
-
2018-08-27soldstatus $71,500
-
2018-07-25soldstatus $71,500
-
2018-07-25soldstatus $71,500
-
2018-02-15$72,500
-
2018-02-15$72,500
-
1998-06-03soldstatus $59,900
-
1998-06-03soldstatus $59,900
-
1998-01-17$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,652 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,652 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,527
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$1,652
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,402
- − Management
- −$1,402
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $915
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$220
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,811/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond County
- NCES district ID
- 1304380
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,069
- Composite
- 13.43/100
- National rank
- #9524
- State rank
- #154 of 174 in GA
Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
- County
- Richmond County · 190,917 people
- City population
- 154,035
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,423
- Household income
- $45,999
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3363.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 200,753 people
- By 2030
- 200,232 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 196,813 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 190,347 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 172,496 · -14.1%
- By 2100
- 146,284 · -27.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.99%
- Current HPI
- 213.5733
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+141.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $144,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $149,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $149,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-06-12 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-03-12 Listed $145,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-03-12 Listed $145,000 Hive MLS
- 2018-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
- 2018-07-25 Sold (MLS) $71,500 Hive MLS
- 2018-07-25 Sold (MLS) $71,500 Hive MLS
- 2018-02-15 Listed $72,500 Hive MLS
- 2018-02-15 Listed $72,500 Hive MLS
- 1998-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 1998-06-03 Sold (MLS) $59,900 Hive MLS
- 1998-01-17 Listed $59,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,652 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…