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3350 Tungsten Mine Rd
B Composite 71.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$89,000

3350 Tungsten Mine Rd · Stovall, NC 27507
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,590 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 216 Days on market
Built 1965 4.67 ac lot ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your vision and make this home shine! This brick house sits on 4.6 beautiful acres featuring mature hardwoods and a cleared, open backyard perfect for gardening, recreation, or future expansion. The home needs some work, offering the ideal opportunity for renovation or investment. Located just 6 miles from Kerr Lake's Island Creek Boat Ramp, enjoy easy access to boating, fishing, and outdoor recreation while maintaining the peace and privacy of country living. Don't miss this chance to own acreage close to the lakeâ€''schedule your showing today! Property is being sold as order of sale from Special Proceeding, Vance Co. Please see further information for procedure.

Key facts

  • Mature hardwoods
  • Peace and privacy
  • 4.6 acres

Tags

4.6 ACRESMATURE HARDWOODSCLEARED OPEN BACKYARDEASY ACCESS TO BOATINGPEACE AND PRIVACY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Vance County, postal code 27507
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-space carport; Open parking with about 6 spaces
  • Utilities: Well water (see remarks); Septic tank (sewer); secondary status unknown
  • Home design: Single-story house
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle roof; Built as a house (one level)
  • Exterior features: Approximately 4.67-acre lot; Publicly maintained road access; Directions: Highway 15 north to Bullock, right onto Buckhorn Road, left onto Tungsten Mine Road; property approx. 3 miles on left

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present (other; see remarks); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#231 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Vance County Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #166 of 178 in NC (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Vance County Middle School (math 13% / reading 17%, grade F, #459 of 475 statewide, top 97%, 797 students, 100% FRL); Vance County High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #499 of 535 statewide, top 94%, 958 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 81% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Vance County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $833 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Vance County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
12.22%
Cash-on-cash
21.17%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$21,555
Equity at exit
$21,757
10-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
3.50×
Total profit
$62,322
Equity at exit
$23,081

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27507

Home prices YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,283 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $842/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$440

Break-even live

Break-even rent $727
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 216 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 215 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 214 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 213 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 211 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 207 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 206 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 205 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 201 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 200 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 199 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 198 DOM
  13. 2026-03-30
    price $89,000
  14. 2025-11-13
    listed $98,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$842 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$842 · $70/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,398
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$842
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,232
− Management
−$1,232
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$4,073
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$977
After-tax cash flow
$4,299/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vance County Schools
NCES district ID
3704650
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$34,323
Composite
19.29/100
National rank
#8801
State rank
#166 of 178 in NC

Livability — Stovall

Score
67/100
State rank
#231
US rank
#10718

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
307
Population (ZIP)
1,983

Population outlook (Vance County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,985 people
By 2030
40,286 · -4.0%
By 2040
36,372 · -13.4%
By 2050
32,466 · -22.7%
By 2075
24,229 · -42.3%
By 2100
17,784 · -57.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Two or more races 19% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 17% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 17%
Common ancestry
Serbian 10% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vance

2024 margin
D (+13.3) · D 56.3% · R 42.9%
2008→2024 swing
-13.3pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: 13.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.3 2020: D+19.2 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+28.3 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.94%
Current HPI
257.9832
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $89,000 TMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $98,000 TMLS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $842 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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