21 Willow Rd · Matteson, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming single-family home offers a perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and renovated bathroom. This home is ideal for families seeking both space and style. The newly renovated kitchen is a standout, boasting brand-new cabinets, sleek quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances that make both everyday living and entertaining a delight. Enjoy an oversized yard perfect for relaxing or hosting family gatherings. Home warranty included. Owner is a licensed Real Estate Broker in Illinois.
Key facts
- Brand-new cabinets
- Quartz countertops
- Renovated bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot less than 0.25 acre (lot dimensions listed as 8,400); Living area per assessor; Property not currently leased
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Property rehabbed in 2026
- Construction: Built roughly 41–50 years ago; Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Not built before 1978
- Exterior features: Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) — 18 x 11; Bedroom 2 (main level) — 14 x 10; Bedroom 3 (main level) — 10 x 10
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.2% in Matteson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#525 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $96k; list at $225k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.28%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $232,050
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Willow Rd | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,365 (0%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $165 | 96 |
| 50 Oakhurst Rd | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (-1%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $162 | 79 |
| 111 Deerpath Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,391 (+2%) | 4mo | $237,000 | $170 | 73 |
| 142 Cloverleaf Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,391 (+2%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $133 | 68 |
| 5732 Woodgate Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,253 (-8%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $169 | 68 |
| 5742 Woodgate Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,237 (-9%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $194 | 62 |
| 45 Denise Ct | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,454 (+6%) | 1mo | $271,000 | $186 | 55 |
| 5808 Allemong Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (-11%) | 3mo | $219,900 | $181 | 54 |
| 5629 Crestwood Rd | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,465 (+7%) | 6mo | $232,000 | $158 | 50 |
| 6021 Spring Ln | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,168 (-14%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $141 | 41 |
| 6062 Elm Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-11%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $214 | 38 |
| 6306 Beaver Dam Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,168 (-14%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $214 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-5,303
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $35,825
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60443
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,740 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$404 /mo · $4,844/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$575
- Net cashflow
- $487
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $615 | -5% $551 | +0% $487 | +5% $424 | +10% $360 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $271 | -5% $379 | +0% $487 | +5% $596 | +10% $704 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $601 | -0.5pp $545 | base $487 | +0.5pp $429 | +1.0pp $370 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5817 Allemong Dr Matteson, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $2,500 | $1.85 | 7d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 6024 Aspen Ln Matteson, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $2,800 | $2.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6048 White Birch Ln Matteson, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1638 | $2,741 | $1.67 | 6d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4962 Bennett St Matteson, IL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1341 | $3,120 | $2.33 | 0d | 7 | 1.33mi |
| 946 Harvard Ln Matteson, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1247 | $2,990 | $2.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $225,000 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $225,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $225,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$225,000 Active
-
2025-09-22soldstatus $96,500
-
1993-11-17soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,844 · $404/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,976 · $415/mo
- Expected delta
- +$132/yr (+$11/mo · 2.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,881
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$4,844
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,630
- − Management
- −$2,630
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable income
- $2,503
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$601
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Matteson
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #525
- US rank
- #10883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Matteson, IL
- City population
- 20,606
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,606
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.68%
- Current HPI
- 185.4404
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $225,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $96,500 Public Records
- 1993-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2023): $4,844 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…