23455 S 221st St · Queen Creek, AZ 85142

$405,000

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,681 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 122 Days on market

Built 2004 6,631 sqft lot $241/sqft · 17% below area Est $490k · 17% under $82/mo HOA · 3% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +7.8/30.0
• Schools +4.9/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +1.9/10.0
• 1% rule +1.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy golf-course living in this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in The Villages at Queen Creek. Set on a golf course lot, it offers fairway views from the living room, kitchen, and primary suite. Inside, you'll find vaulted ceilings, a bright open layout, and a split floorplan for both function and privacy. The kitchen opens to the main living area, making the most of the views and flow of the home. Outside, the extended paver patio and covered outdoor living space are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional highlights include a golf cart garage, new exterior paint, low-maintenance desert landscaping, and community amenities including pool, tennis, fitness center, parks, and walking paths.

Key facts

• Golf course lot
• Walk-in closet
• Extended paver patio

Tags

• GOLF COURSE LOT
• GOLF COURSE VIEWS
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• EXTENDED PAVER PATIO
• EXPANDED COVERED BACK PATIO
• DESERT-LANDSCAPED FRONT YARD

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $405k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-445 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $326k (19.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (35.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $261k (35.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.6% in Queen Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#27 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F, cost of living F.
• Queen Creek Unified District (4245) (suburban): math 55% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #25 of 249 in AZ (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 860 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($356k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $248k; list at $405k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $260,862 (35.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.64% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.97%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.71%
• DSCR: 0.79
• GRM: 12.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $490,279
• List price: $405,000
• Delta: -17.39%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
22328 E Calle De Flores --	0.23mi	4/2.0	1,692 (+1%)	2mo	$490,000	$290	82
23277 S 215th St	0.47mi	4/2.0	1,692 (+1%)	2mo	$409,000	$242	71
23349 S 215th St	0.48mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,678 (-0%)	5mo	$415,000	$247	65
22336 E Via Del Rancho Rd	0.32mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,527 (-9%)	3mo	$440,000	$288	58
21615 E Camina Plata --	0.35mi	4/2.0	1,870 (+11%)	4mo	$467,000	$250	58
21433 E Calle De Flores Ct	0.56mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,678 (-0%)	8mo	$435,000	$259	58
22438 E Camina Plata St	0.67mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,710 (+2%)	1mo	$464,000	$271	56
22462 E Camina Plata Ave	0.70mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,710 (+2%)	0mo	$402,500	$235	56
21382 E Via Del Rancho St	0.62mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,721 (+2%)	4mo	$415,000	$241	54
22461 E Camina Plata --	0.69mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,506 (-10%)	6mo	$435,000	$289	36
23637 S 213th St	0.74mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,496 (-11%)	3mo	$375,000	$251	36
22490 E Camina Buena Vis	0.74mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,506 (-10%)	6mo	$430,000	$286	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -26.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.12×
• Total profit: $-100,290
• Equity at exit: $60,387

10-year hold

• IRR: -33.5%
• Equity multiple: -0.31×
• Total profit: $-148,554
• Equity at exit: $35,017

Cash invested: $113,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85142

• Home prices YoY: -30.6%
• Rents YoY: 0.6%
• Active inventory: 860
• Price-to-rent: 12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,609 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,124
• Tax from tax record: −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
• Insurance: −$169
• HOA: −$82
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$548
• Net cashflow: $-445

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,172

Max offer price $326,381

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-216	-5% $-330	+0% $-445	+5% $-560	+10% $-674
Rent	-10% $-651	-5% $-548	+0% $-445	+5% $-342	+10% $-239
Rate	-1.0pp $-241	-0.5pp $-342	base $-445	+0.5pp $-550	+1.0pp $-657

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $101,250
• Closing costs: $12,150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
22063 E Via del Rancho Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.0	2046	$2,725	$1.33	19d	1	0.18mi
22217 E Via del Palo Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.5	1775	$2,100	$1.18	45d	1	0.27mi
22258 E Cherrywood Ct Queen Creek, AZ	5.0	3.0	2218	$2,780	$1.25	0d	1	0.36mi
22352 E Via del Palo Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.0	1863	$2,149	$1.15	12d	1	0.40mi
22352 E Via del Palo Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.0	1863	$2,149	$1.15	0d	1	0.40mi
21870 E Gold Canyon Dr Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1320	$2,150	$1.63	45d	1	0.41mi
22360 E Via del Rancho Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.0	1527	$2,100	$1.38	21d	1	0.41mi
22360 E Via del Rancho Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.0	1527	$2,100	$1.38	0d	1	0.41mi
21858 E Puesta del Sol Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1320	$1,895	$1.44	25d	1	0.43mi
21858 E Puesta del Sol Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1320	$1,895	$1.44	12d	1	0.43mi
23196 S 216th St Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.5	2111	$2,470	$1.17	25d	1	0.45mi
23277 S 215th St Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.0	1692	$2,400	$1.42	45d	1	0.50mi
22469 E Camina Plata Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1942	$3,600	$1.85	45d	1	0.69mi
22464 E Via del Oro Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1713	$2,136	$1.25	6d	1	0.71mi
22503 E Calle de Flores Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1710	$3,200	$1.87	25d	1	0.73mi
22503 E Calle de Flores Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1710	$3,600	$2.11	45d	1	0.73mi
22558 E Via Las Brisas Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.0	2202	$2,300	$1.04	6d	1	0.76mi
22595 E Via del Palo Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1710	$2,295	$1.34	18d	1	0.79mi
21260 E Calle Luna Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1284	$1,999	$1.56	6d	1	0.83mi
22545 E Silver Creek Ln Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	2061	$2,395	$1.16	6d	1	0.92mi
22659 E Desert Spoon Dr Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1710	$2,200	$1.29	0d	1	0.93mi
22659 E Desert Spoon Dr Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1710	$2,200	$1.29	3d	1	0.93mi
22724 E Poco Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1868	$3,550	$1.90	25d	1	0.94mi
22203 S 214th St Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1695	$2,500	$1.47	25d	1	0.97mi
22804 E Via de Olivos Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1942	$2,485	$1.28	21d	1	1.00mi
22691 E Rittenhouse Rd Queen Creek, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	981	$2,595	$2.65	0d	16	1.02mi
21162 E Aspen Valley Dr Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.0	1681	$2,750	$1.64	18d	1	1.05mi
21162 E Aspen Valley Dr Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.0	1681	$2,750	$1.64	0d	1	1.05mi
21187 E Tierra Grande Dr Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.5	1675	$2,100	$1.25	25d	1	1.11mi
22224 S 211th Way Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.5	2171	$2,410	$1.11	0d	1	1.15mi
21937 S 214th St Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1783	$2,405	$1.35	25d	1	1.16mi
21937 S 214th St Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1783	$2,305	$1.29	18d	1	1.16mi
21005 E Pecan Ln Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1500	$2,400	$1.60	6d	1	1.19mi
21122 E Stonecrest Dr Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.5	1864	$2,100	$1.13	6d	1	1.20mi
20902 E Via del Palo Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.0	1678	$2,215	$1.32	18d	1	1.29mi
21067 E Tierra Grande Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1200	$2,100	$1.75	0d	1	1.32mi
22483 E Quintero Rd Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.0	1568	$2,190	$1.40	45d	1	1.34mi
25325 S 225th Pl Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.5	1933	$2,450	$1.27	19d	1	1.36mi
21286 E Estrella Rd Queen Creek, AZ	5.0	3.0	1987	$3,300	$1.66	16d	1	1.37mi
21066 E Munoz St Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	3.0	1913	$2,499	$1.31	0d	1	1.38mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $82 · $984/yr
• Likely covers: landscapingpoolgym

Listing history 23 events

1. 2026-06-15
   days on market $405,000 Active 122 DOM
2. 2026-06-13
   days on market $405,000 Active 120 DOM
3. 2026-06-13
   days on market $405,000 Active 119 DOM
4. 2026-06-09
   days on market $405,000 Active 116 DOM
5. 2026-06-08
   days on market $405,000 Active 115 DOM
6. 2026-06-07
   days on market $405,000 Active 114 DOM
7. 2026-06-04
   days on market $405,000 Active 111 DOM
8. 2026-06-03
   days on market $405,000 Active 110 DOM
9. 2026-06-02
   days on market $405,000 Active 109 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    price $405,000 Active 108 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $415,000 Active 108 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $415,000 Active 107 DOM
13. 2026-04-30
    price $415,000 699-char remark

    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Enjoy golf-course living in this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in The Villages at Queen Creek. Set on a golf course lot, it offers fairway views from the living room, kitchen, and primary suite. Inside, you'll find vaulted ceilings, a bright open layout, and a split floorplan for both function and privacy. The kitchen opens to the main living area, making the most of the views and flow of the home. Outside, the extended paver patio and covered outdoor living space are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional highlights include a golf cart garage, new exterior paint, low-maintenance desert landscaping, and community amenities including pool, tennis, fitness center, parks, and walking paths.

14. 2026-03-26
    price $424,000 699-char remark

    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Enjoy golf-course living in this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in The Villages at Queen Creek. Set on a golf course lot, it offers fairway views from the living room, kitchen, and primary suite. Inside, you'll find vaulted ceilings, a bright open layout, and a split floorplan for both function and privacy. The kitchen opens to the main living area, making the most of the views and flow of the home. Outside, the extended paver patio and covered outdoor living space are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional highlights include a golf cart garage, new exterior paint, low-maintenance desert landscaping, and community amenities including pool, tennis, fitness center, parks, and walking paths.

15. 2026-03-12
    price $434,000 699-char remark

    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Enjoy golf-course living in this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in The Villages at Queen Creek. Set on a golf course lot, it offers fairway views from the living room, kitchen, and primary suite. Inside, you'll find vaulted ceilings, a bright open layout, and a split floorplan for both function and privacy. The kitchen opens to the main living area, making the most of the views and flow of the home. Outside, the extended paver patio and covered outdoor living space are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional highlights include a golf cart garage, new exterior paint, low-maintenance desert landscaping, and community amenities including pool, tennis, fitness center, parks, and walking paths.

16. 2026-02-11
    listed $438,000 Active 699-char remark

    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Enjoy golf-course living in this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in The Villages at Queen Creek. Set on a golf course lot, it offers fairway views from the living room, kitchen, and primary suite. Inside, you'll find vaulted ceilings, a bright open layout, and a split floorplan for both function and privacy. The kitchen opens to the main living area, making the most of the views and flow of the home. Outside, the extended paver patio and covered outdoor living space are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional highlights include a golf cart garage, new exterior paint, low-maintenance desert landscaping, and community amenities including pool, tennis, fitness center, parks, and walking paths.

17. 2018-11-16
    soldstatus $248,000 Closed 827-char remark

    Show marketing remark (827 chars)

    A BEAUTY OVERLOOKING THE GOLF COURSE! Owners' vacation home has been lightly lived-in and well-maintained. 4 bedrooms w/ 2 bedrooms split from the master for privacy. Open floorplan w/ vaulted ceilings & golf course views from living room, kitchen & master bedroom. Upgraded carpet, paint, fans & lighting. Complete new HVAC system in 2014. Large master suite w/ walk-in closet, raised vanity & garden tub. Perfect location on the course w/ very few balls hit in to yard. Low maintenance backyard w/ pomegranate tree & lemon tree. Fabulous community w/ golf course, community pool, tennis courts, fitness center, clubhouse, community parks, & mountain views. Just minutes to Queen Creek Marketplace, Gateway Airport, San Tan Mountains & Loop 202. Some furnishings available on separate bill of sale.

18. 2018-11-16
    soldstatus $245,500

    Show marketing remark (827 chars)

    A BEAUTY OVERLOOKING THE GOLF COURSE! Owners' vacation home has been lightly lived-in and well-maintained. 4 bedrooms w/ 2 bedrooms split from the master for privacy. Open floorplan w/ vaulted ceilings & golf course views from living room, kitchen & master bedroom. Upgraded carpet, paint, fans & lighting. Complete new HVAC system in 2014. Large master suite w/ walk-in closet, raised vanity & garden tub. Perfect location on the course w/ very few balls hit in to yard. Low maintenance backyard w/ pomegranate tree & lemon tree. Fabulous community w/ golf course, community pool, tennis courts, fitness center, clubhouse, community parks, & mountain views. Just minutes to Queen Creek Marketplace, Gateway Airport, San Tan Mountains & Loop 202. Some furnishings available on separate bill of sale.

19. 2018-11-04
    status Pending 827-char remark

    Show marketing remark (827 chars)

    A BEAUTY OVERLOOKING THE GOLF COURSE! Owners' vacation home has been lightly lived-in and well-maintained. 4 bedrooms w/ 2 bedrooms split from the master for privacy. Open floorplan w/ vaulted ceilings & golf course views from living room, kitchen & master bedroom. Upgraded carpet, paint, fans & lighting. Complete new HVAC system in 2014. Large master suite w/ walk-in closet, raised vanity & garden tub. Perfect location on the course w/ very few balls hit in to yard. Low maintenance backyard w/ pomegranate tree & lemon tree. Fabulous community w/ golf course, community pool, tennis courts, fitness center, clubhouse, community parks, & mountain views. Just minutes to Queen Creek Marketplace, Gateway Airport, San Tan Mountains & Loop 202. Some furnishings available on separate bill of sale.

20. 2018-10-31
    listed $260,000 Active 827-char remark

    Show marketing remark (827 chars)

    A BEAUTY OVERLOOKING THE GOLF COURSE! Owners' vacation home has been lightly lived-in and well-maintained. 4 bedrooms w/ 2 bedrooms split from the master for privacy. Open floorplan w/ vaulted ceilings & golf course views from living room, kitchen & master bedroom. Upgraded carpet, paint, fans & lighting. Complete new HVAC system in 2014. Large master suite w/ walk-in closet, raised vanity & garden tub. Perfect location on the course w/ very few balls hit in to yard. Low maintenance backyard w/ pomegranate tree & lemon tree. Fabulous community w/ golf course, community pool, tennis courts, fitness center, clubhouse, community parks, & mountain views. Just minutes to Queen Creek Marketplace, Gateway Airport, San Tan Mountains & Loop 202. Some furnishings available on separate bill of sale.

21. 2011-06-10
    soldstatus $110,000 Closed
22. 2011-05-24
    status Pending
23. 2011-05-18
    listed $95,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,575 · $131/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,673 · $223/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,098/yr (+$92/mo · 69.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,303
• − Mortgage interest: −$22,686
• − Property taxes: −$1,575
• − Insurance: −$2,025
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,504
• − Management: −$2,504
• − HOA: −$984
• − Depreciation: −$11,782
• Taxable loss: −$12,757
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,062
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Queen Creek Unified District (4245)
• NCES district ID: 0406810
• Math proficiency: 55% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $84,928
• Composite: 49.46/100
• National rank: #2003
• State rank: #25 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Queen Creek

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #27
• US rank: #5874

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Queen Creek, AZ
• County: Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
• City population: 93,700
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 93,700
• Household income: $129,367
• Rent vs Own: 11.8% rent · 88.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1106.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 4,979,203 people
• By 2030: 5,378,229 · +8.0%
• By 2040: 6,156,598 · +23.6%
• By 2050: 6,872,376 · +38.0%
• By 2075: 8,401,270 · +68.7%
• By 2100: 9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (66%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 66% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 14% Black 4% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 17%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Romanian 3% Portuguese 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -145.50%
• Current HPI: 329.9469
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.59%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+336.8% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-30 Price Changed $415,000 ARMLS
• 2026-03-26 Price Changed $424,000 ARMLS
• 2026-03-12 Price Changed $434,000 ARMLS
• 2026-02-11 Listed $438,000 ARMLS
• 2018-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $245,500 Public Records
• 2018-11-16 Sold (MLS) $248,000 ARMLS
• 2018-11-04 Pending — ARMLS
• 2018-10-31 Listed $260,000 ARMLS
• 2011-06-10 Sold (MLS) $110,000 ARMLS
• 2011-05-24 Pending — ARMLS
• 2011-05-18 Listed $95,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,575 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.