4110 Memorial Dr · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CONTINUE TO SHOW. One level living at a very affordable price. This 2 bedroom home could easily be converted to a 3 bedroom. There was an office that was converted to a walk in closet and could be turned into a bedroom. The home has been well maintained and is ready for someone to make it their own. The stove is new, there is abundant storage that also includes a shed in the backyard that would be perfect for yard equipment. Home to be sold AS IS.
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- New vinyl floor
- Huge walk in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Built using other/unspecified construction materials; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher not listed (appliances include dryer, range, refrigerator, washer); Range; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (5.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $120k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.56%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $76,775
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3916 Shirley Dr | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 939 (+2%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $133 | 76 |
| 1009 Royal Heights Rd | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-3%) | 5mo | $34,900 | $39 | 68 |
| 909 Royal Heights Rd | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-3%) | 6mo | $80,000 | $89 | 67 |
| 652 N 39th St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 984 (+6%) | 4mo | $64,000 | $65 | 64 |
| 624 Royal Heights Rd | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+4%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $31 | 63 |
| 640 Devonshire Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+4%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $83 | 60 |
| 800 N 39th St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-9%) | 5mo | $119,900 | $143 | 58 |
| 222 N 46th St | 0.46mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 990 (+7%) | 6mo | $49,900 | $50 | 53 |
| 3805 Little Flower Ln | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-7%) | 0mo | $134,900 | $156 | 52 |
| 120 N 46th St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,028 (+11%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $39 | 52 |
| 439 N 39th St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-7%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $139 | 49 |
| 435 N 38th St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 997 (+8%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $50 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,995
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $17,256
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62226
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,134 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $404/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $183
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $251 | -5% $217 | +0% $183 | +5% $149 | +10% $116 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $94 | -5% $139 | +0% $183 | +5% $228 | +10% $273 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $244 | -0.5pp $214 | base $183 | +0.5pp $152 | +1.0pp $121 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 654 N 39th St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 19d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1000 Royal Heights Rd Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5784 Brett Michael Ln Belleville, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 801 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 0d | 5 | 0.62mi |
| 54 Ben Louis Dr Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,145 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4516 W Main St Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 607 | $850 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 56 Friendly Dr Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 18 S 44th St Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 18 S 44th St Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 213 Columbus Dr Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,650 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-P Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $970 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-B Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-G Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit G-10 Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $795 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 238-I Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 0d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-Q Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 19d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 236-M Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $730 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit C-05 Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $795 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 219-U Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $730 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6105 W Washington St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,575 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1856 Jewel Sisson Dr Belleville, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $1,604 | $1.53 | 0d | 20 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-08status $119,900 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$125,000 Active
-
2026-02-09soldstatus $68,667
-
2026-02-06soldstatus Closed 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
CONTINUE TO SHOW. One level living at a very affordable price. This 2 bedroom home could easily be converted to a 3 bedroom. There was an office that was converted to a walk in closet and could be turned into a bedroom. The home has been well maintained and is ready for someone to make it their own. The stove is new, there is abundant storage that also includes a shed in the backyard that would be perfect for yard equipment. Home to be sold AS IS.
-
2026-01-16historical Active Under Contract 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
CONTINUE TO SHOW. One level living at a very affordable price. This 2 bedroom home could easily be converted to a 3 bedroom. There was an office that was converted to a walk in closet and could be turned into a bedroom. The home has been well maintained and is ready for someone to make it their own. The stove is new, there is abundant storage that also includes a shed in the backyard that would be perfect for yard equipment. Home to be sold AS IS.
-
2026-01-14$80,000 Active 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
CONTINUE TO SHOW. One level living at a very affordable price. This 2 bedroom home could easily be converted to a 3 bedroom. There was an office that was converted to a walk in closet and could be turned into a bedroom. The home has been well maintained and is ready for someone to make it their own. The stove is new, there is abundant storage that also includes a shed in the backyard that would be perfect for yard equipment. Home to be sold AS IS.
-
1995-04-28soldstatus $47,000
-
1995-04-28soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $404 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,563 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,159/yr (+$97/mo · 287.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,607
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$404
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,089
- − Management
- −$1,089
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $222
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$53
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,147/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,255
- Household income
- $70,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.57%
- Current HPI
- 133.9028
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+166.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $68,667 Public Records
- 2026-02-06 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Listed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 1995-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2024): $404 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…