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4110 Memorial Dr
C- Composite 52.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

4110 Memorial Dr · Belleville, IL 62226
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 925 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1956 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CONTINUE TO SHOW. One level living at a very affordable price. This 2 bedroom home could easily be converted to a 3 bedroom. There was an office that was converted to a walk in closet and could be turned into a bedroom. The home has been well maintained and is ready for someone to make it their own. The stove is new, there is abundant storage that also includes a shed in the backyard that would be perfect for yard equipment. Home to be sold AS IS.

Key facts

  • Fenced back yard
  • New vinyl floor
  • Huge walk in closet

Tags

NEW VINYL FLOORMOVE IN READYTONS OF NATURAL LIGHTMULTIPLE CLOSETSHUGE WALK IN CLOSETFENCED BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Built using other/unspecified construction materials; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher not listed (appliances include dryer, range, refrigerator, washer); Range; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (5.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $69k; list at $120k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,388 (5.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.13%
Cash-on-cash
6.56%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$76,775
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3916 Shirley Dr 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 939 (+2%) 1mo $125,000 $133 76
1009 Royal Heights Rd 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (-3%) 5mo $34,900 $39 68
909 Royal Heights Rd 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (-3%) 6mo $80,000 $89 67
652 N 39th St 0.37mi 2/1.0 984 (+6%) 4mo $64,000 $65 64
624 Royal Heights Rd 0.52mi 2/1.0 960 (+4%) 3mo $30,000 $31 63
640 Devonshire Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+4%) 0mo $80,000 $83 60
800 N 39th St 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 840 (-9%) 5mo $119,900 $143 58
222 N 46th St 0.46mi 1/1.0 (-1) 990 (+7%) 6mo $49,900 $50 53
3805 Little Flower Ln 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-7%) 0mo $134,900 $156 52
120 N 46th St 0.53mi 2/1.0 1,028 (+11%) 0mo $40,000 $39 52
439 N 39th St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-7%) 1mo $120,000 $139 49
435 N 38th St 0.75mi 2/1.0 997 (+8%) 1mo $50,000 $50 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-5,995
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$17,256
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62226

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,134 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $404/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $902
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $251 -5% $217 +0% $183 +5% $149 +10% $116
Rent -10% $94 -5% $139 +0% $183 +5% $228 +10% $273
Rate -1.0pp $244 -0.5pp $214 base $183 +0.5pp $152 +1.0pp $121

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
654 N 39th St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 984 $1,400 $1.42 19d 1 0.38mi
1000 Royal Heights Rd Belleville, IL 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,345 $1.22 25d 1 0.39mi
5784 Brett Michael Ln Belleville, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 801 $1,195 $1.49 0d 5 0.62mi
54 Ben Louis Dr Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,145 $1.27 25d 1 0.68mi
4516 W Main St Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 607 $850 $1.40 25d 1 0.69mi
56 Friendly Dr Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 25d 1 0.81mi
18 S 44th St Belleville, IL 1.0 1.0 550 $700 $1.27 4d 1 0.82mi
18 S 44th St Belleville, IL 1.0 1.0 550 $700 $1.27 16d 1 0.82mi
213 Columbus Dr Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,650 $1.59 25d 1 0.84mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-P Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $970 $1.04 25d 1 0.95mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-B Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $895 $0.96 25d 1 0.95mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-G Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $895 $0.96 5d 1 0.96mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit G-10 Belleville, IL 1.0 1.0 612 $795 $1.30 25d 1 0.96mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 238-I Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $895 $0.96 0d 1 0.96mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-Q Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $895 $0.96 19d 1 0.96mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 236-M Belleville, IL 1.0 1.0 612 $730 $1.19 4d 1 0.96mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit C-05 Belleville, IL 1.0 1.0 612 $795 $1.30 4d 1 0.96mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 219-U Belleville, IL 1.0 1.0 612 $730 $1.19 25d 1 0.96mi
6105 W Washington St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,575 $1.41 25d 1 1.14mi
1856 Jewel Sisson Dr Belleville, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1051 $1,604 $1.53 0d 20 1.31mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $119,900 Pending 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-05-15
    listed $125,000 Active
  8. 2026-02-09
    soldstatus $68,667
  9. 2026-02-06
    soldstatus Closed 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    CONTINUE TO SHOW. One level living at a very affordable price. This 2 bedroom home could easily be converted to a 3 bedroom. There was an office that was converted to a walk in closet and could be turned into a bedroom. The home has been well maintained and is ready for someone to make it their own. The stove is new, there is abundant storage that also includes a shed in the backyard that would be perfect for yard equipment. Home to be sold AS IS.

  10. 2026-01-16
    historical Active Under Contract 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    CONTINUE TO SHOW. One level living at a very affordable price. This 2 bedroom home could easily be converted to a 3 bedroom. There was an office that was converted to a walk in closet and could be turned into a bedroom. The home has been well maintained and is ready for someone to make it their own. The stove is new, there is abundant storage that also includes a shed in the backyard that would be perfect for yard equipment. Home to be sold AS IS.

  11. 2026-01-14
    listed $80,000 Active 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    CONTINUE TO SHOW. One level living at a very affordable price. This 2 bedroom home could easily be converted to a 3 bedroom. There was an office that was converted to a walk in closet and could be turned into a bedroom. The home has been well maintained and is ready for someone to make it their own. The stove is new, there is abundant storage that also includes a shed in the backyard that would be perfect for yard equipment. Home to be sold AS IS.

  12. 1995-04-28
    soldstatus $47,000
  13. 1995-04-28
    soldstatus $47,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$404 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,563 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$1,159/yr (+$97/mo · 287.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,607
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$404
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,089
− Management
−$1,089
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$53
After-tax cash flow
$2,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belleville, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
28,255
Household income
$70,797
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
824.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.57%
Current HPI
133.9028
Rent YoY
▲ 4.56%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $68,667 Public Records
  • 2026-02-06 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-16 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 1995-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $404 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…