34 Evelyn St · North Gates, NY 14606

$149,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,318 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1973 10,019 sqft lot Est $215k · 30% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.3/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +7.5/10.0
• DSCR +5.8/10.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this Gates-Chili split-level home, ready for its next chapter for the first time in 41 years! Offering 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 baths, this residence perfectly blends comfort, style, and everyday functionality. Step inside to discover an inviting layout designed for both relaxed living and effortless entertaining. The updated kitchen serves as the heart of the home, featuring modern finishes and ample space for cooking and gathering. Enjoy 2 living rooms or make one a Formal Dining room! Natural light pours into the lower living room through the brand-new sliding glass door, creating a seamless connection to the newly poured patio overlooking a large backyard. The yard offers

Key facts

• Large backyard
• Newly poured patio
• Updated kitchen

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHEN
• NEWLY POURED PATIO
• LARGE BACKYARD
• QUIET LOW-TRAFFIC NEIGHBORHOOD

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.8% in North Gates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#245 in NY, #3,859 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
• Gates-Chili Central School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #491 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price.

Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.40%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.94%
• DSCR: 1.18
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $214,834
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
34 Evelyn St	0.00mi	3/1.5	1,318 (0%)	1mo	$220,000	$167	100
134 Pilot St	0.65mi	3/1.5	1,332 (+1%)	5mo	$217,000	$163	64
77 Lee Rd	0.24mi	3/1.5	1,212 (-8%)	14mo	$174,997	$144	64
145 Pilot St	0.60mi	3/1.5	1,324 (+0%)	14mo	$200,000	$151	60
135 Beechwood Dr	0.16mi	3/1.5	1,168 (-11%)	18mo	$219,900	$188	58
120 Howard Rd	0.68mi	3/1.0	1,320 (+0%)	13mo	$235,000	$178	55
17 Midway Dr	0.59mi	3/2.0	1,325 (+0%)	18mo	$191,300	$144	55
81 Spencerport Rd	0.64mi	3/1.0	1,231 (-7%)	5mo	$222,000	$180	53
20 Fairchild Rd	0.71mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,346 (+2%)	4mo	$203,000	$151	52
54 Rossmore St	0.30mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,451 (+10%)	17mo	$180,000	$124	50
269 Rossmore St	0.41mi	3/1.0	1,152 (-13%)	15mo	$195,000	$169	45
12 Beechcraft Dr	0.62mi	3/1.0	1,144 (-13%)	7mo	$176,000	$154	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.79×
• Total profit: $-8,917
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.77×
• Total profit: $32,408
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14606

• Home prices YoY: -17.9%
• Rents YoY: 6.3%
• Active inventory: 124
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,871 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$491 /mo · $5,897/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$393
• Net cashflow: $138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,696

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
155 Canal Landing Blvd Rochester, NY	1.0–3.0	1.5–2.0	1174	$2,050	$1.75	2d	5	0.65mi
19 Garland Ave Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1104	$1,850	$1.68	2d	1	1.36mi
108 Wetmore Park Rochester, NY	3.0	2.0	1278	$1,900	$1.49	10d	1	1.40mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-03-26
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-20
   listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $5,897 · $491/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,897 · $491/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,448
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$5,897
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,796
• − Management: −$1,796
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable loss: −$547
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$131
• After-tax cash flow: $1,786/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Gates-Chili Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3611880
• Math proficiency: 41% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $55,045
• Composite: 36.23/100
• National rank: #4719
• State rank: #491 of 590 in NY

Livability — North Gates

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #245
• US rank: #3859

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A- Crime D Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: North Gates, NY
• County: Monroe County · 674,131 people
• City population: 27,478
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• Population (ZIP): 25,538
• Household income: $55,807
• Rent vs Own: 38.2% rent · 61.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 986.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 759,460 people
• By 2030: 757,154 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 740,644 · -2.5%
• By 2050: 714,443 · -5.9%
• By 2075: 645,883 · -15.0%
• By 2100: 547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

• 2024 margin: D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -62.59%
• Current HPI: 287.6868
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.28%
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-26 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2026-03-20 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,897 · +16.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.