6120 John St · Loves Park, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch in the Heart of the Park, featuring beautiful original hardwood floors throughout the living room and bedrooms. The bright, welcoming living space is highlighted by a brand-new bay window that fills the home with natural light. The updated main bath showcases stylish subway tile and modern finishes, while the remodeled kitchen offers updated cabinetry, a tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient coffee/wine bar with pantry storage. A sliding glass door provides seamless access to the backyard, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The finished lower level expands your living space with durable LVP flooring, a cozy electric fireplace, a full bath with walk-in shower, egress window, and an included projection TV—ideal for guests, movie nights, or a private retreat. Step outside to your own backyard oasis with a fully fenced yard, a 15x30 above-ground pool, spacious deck, additional entertaining area, and a versatile gazebo. Car enthusiasts and hobbyists will appreciate the 1-car attached garage with drive-through access, plus a 2.5-car heated detached garage/workshop. Fully paid-off solar panels add exceptional value, keeping energy costs incredibly low (approx. $20/month).
Key facts
- Brand-new bay window
- Remodeled kitchen
- Updated main bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (owned) with garage door opener; Concrete parking; Approximately 3.5 garage/total parking spaces; Off-site parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Estimated living area
- Construction: Built 71–80 years ago; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Not rebuilt or rehabbed
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 66.4 x 126.5; Less than 0.25 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level (17 x 12) with full bath; Bedroom on the main level (13 x 10); Bedroom on the main level (11 x 10)
- Bathrooms: Two full baths; Basement includes a bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Window treatments; Finished daylight basement (full)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Water softener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.9% in Loves Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#255 in IL, #4,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
- Harlem UD 122 (suburban): math 17% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #418 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Windsor Elem School (math 13% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,224 of 2,056 statewide, top 60%, 365 students, 0% FRL); Harlem Middle School (math 13% / reading 19%, grade F, #488 of 665 statewide, top 74%, 957 students, 0% FRL); Harlem High School (math 18% / reading 23%, grade F, #350 of 693 statewide, top 51%, 1,875 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 45% district-wide (45 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $225k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.60%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $189,686
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6120 John St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,594 (0%) | 0mo | $236,500 | $148 | 100 |
| 6320 John St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,501 (-6%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $140 | 73 |
| 6325 Browns Pkwy | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,509 (-5%) | 1mo | $203,500 | $135 | 73 |
| 1321 Northfield Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-6%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $120 | 69 |
| 834 Grand Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,557 (-2%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $96 | 66 |
| 6326 1st St | 0.50mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,613 (+1%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $108 | 64 |
| 6327 1st St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,532 (-4%) | 9mo | $177,000 | $116 | 62 |
| 532 Anna Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,708 (+7%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $102 | 50 |
| 602 River Ln | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,680 (+5%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $119 | 50 |
| 342 Grand Blvd | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,476 (-7%) | 0mo | $183,000 | $124 | 49 |
| 1105 Colonial Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,736 (+9%) | 3mo | $178,000 | $103 | 46 |
| 6408 N 1st St | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,792 (+12%) | 5mo | $191,000 | $107 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-17,710
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $8,788
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61111
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,317 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$263 /mo · $3,154/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $421 | -5% $358 | +0% $294 | +5% $230 | +10% $167 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $111 | -5% $202 | +0% $294 | +5% $386 | +10% $477 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $407 | -0.5pp $351 | base $294 | +0.5pp $236 | +1.0pp $176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3273 Kimball Rd Unit 1 Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3273 Kimball Rd Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4016 Eaton Dr Unit 1232695P Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1722 | $4,169 | $2.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3701 Trilling Ave Unit 3701-104 Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-13$225,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Pending
Show marketing remark (1275 chars)
Charming and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch in the Heart of the Park, featuring beautiful original hardwood floors throughout the living room and bedrooms. The bright, welcoming living space is highlighted by a brand-new bay window that fills the home with natural light. The updated main bath showcases stylish subway tile and modern finishes, while the remodeled kitchen offers updated cabinetry, a tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient coffee/wine bar with pantry storage. A sliding glass door provides seamless access to the backyard, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The finished lower level expands your living space with durable LVP flooring, a cozy electric fireplace, a full bath with walk-in shower, egress window, and an included projection TV—ideal for guests, movie nights, or a private retreat. Step outside to your own backyard oasis with a fully fenced yard, a 15x30 above-ground pool, spacious deck, additional entertaining area, and a versatile gazebo. Car enthusiasts and hobbyists will appreciate the 1-car attached garage with drive-through access, plus a 2.5-car heated detached garage/workshop. Fully paid-off solar panels add exceptional value, keeping energy costs incredibly low (approx. $20/month).
-
2026-05-11status Pending 1275-char remark
Show marketing remark (1275 chars)
Charming and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch in the Heart of the Park, featuring beautiful original hardwood floors throughout the living room and bedrooms. The bright, welcoming living space is highlighted by a brand-new bay window that fills the home with natural light. The updated main bath showcases stylish subway tile and modern finishes, while the remodeled kitchen offers updated cabinetry, a tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient coffee/wine bar with pantry storage. A sliding glass door provides seamless access to the backyard, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The finished lower level expands your living space with durable LVP flooring, a cozy electric fireplace, a full bath with walk-in shower, egress window, and an included projection TV—ideal for guests, movie nights, or a private retreat. Step outside to your own backyard oasis with a fully fenced yard, a 15x30 above-ground pool, spacious deck, additional entertaining area, and a versatile gazebo. Car enthusiasts and hobbyists will appreciate the 1-car attached garage with drive-through access, plus a 2.5-car heated detached garage/workshop. Fully paid-off solar panels add exceptional value, keeping energy costs incredibly low (approx. $20/month).
-
2026-05-07$225,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1275 chars)
Charming and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch in the Heart of the Park, featuring beautiful original hardwood floors throughout the living room and bedrooms. The bright, welcoming living space is highlighted by a brand-new bay window that fills the home with natural light. The updated main bath showcases stylish subway tile and modern finishes, while the remodeled kitchen offers updated cabinetry, a tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient coffee/wine bar with pantry storage. A sliding glass door provides seamless access to the backyard, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The finished lower level expands your living space with durable LVP flooring, a cozy electric fireplace, a full bath with walk-in shower, egress window, and an included projection TV—ideal for guests, movie nights, or a private retreat. Step outside to your own backyard oasis with a fully fenced yard, a 15x30 above-ground pool, spacious deck, additional entertaining area, and a versatile gazebo. Car enthusiasts and hobbyists will appreciate the 1-car attached garage with drive-through access, plus a 2.5-car heated detached garage/workshop. Fully paid-off solar panels add exceptional value, keeping energy costs incredibly low (approx. $20/month).
-
2026-05-07$225,000 Active 1275-char remark
Show marketing remark (1275 chars)
Charming and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch in the Heart of the Park, featuring beautiful original hardwood floors throughout the living room and bedrooms. The bright, welcoming living space is highlighted by a brand-new bay window that fills the home with natural light. The updated main bath showcases stylish subway tile and modern finishes, while the remodeled kitchen offers updated cabinetry, a tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient coffee/wine bar with pantry storage. A sliding glass door provides seamless access to the backyard, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The finished lower level expands your living space with durable LVP flooring, a cozy electric fireplace, a full bath with walk-in shower, egress window, and an included projection TV—ideal for guests, movie nights, or a private retreat. Step outside to your own backyard oasis with a fully fenced yard, a 15x30 above-ground pool, spacious deck, additional entertaining area, and a versatile gazebo. Car enthusiasts and hobbyists will appreciate the 1-car attached garage with drive-through access, plus a 2.5-car heated detached garage/workshop. Fully paid-off solar panels add exceptional value, keeping energy costs incredibly low (approx. $20/month).
-
2014-07-29soldstatus $88,000
-
2014-07-25soldstatus $88,000 564-char remark
Show marketing remark (564 chars)
Wow! Skylit, fully appliance kitchen, beautiful ceramic backsplash, hi-definition counter tops, step down dining room. Spacious living room with bow window. Huge master with 11.4x4.9 walk-in closet. All bedrooms have oak floors under newer carpet. Finished lower level with bar, family room and 3/4 bath. Ornamental fireplace stays. One car attached garage drives through to 2 1/2 car detached garage. New fence in '11, roof 7/11, updated furnace, central vac (as is), many updated windows. 12x15 deck. 100 amp breakers. Walk to elementary and junior high schools.
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2013-11-14$91,000 564-char remark
Show marketing remark (564 chars)
Wow! Skylit, fully appliance kitchen, beautiful ceramic backsplash, hi-definition counter tops, step down dining room. Spacious living room with bow window. Huge master with 11.4x4.9 walk-in closet. All bedrooms have oak floors under newer carpet. Finished lower level with bar, family room and 3/4 bath. Ornamental fireplace stays. One car attached garage drives through to 2 1/2 car detached garage. New fence in '11, roof 7/11, updated furnace, central vac (as is), many updated windows. 12x15 deck. 100 amp breakers. Walk to elementary and junior high schools.
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2012-01-11soldstatus $96,000
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2012-01-06soldstatus $96,000 Closed Sale
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2011-12-15status Pending
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2011-07-29$99,900 New
-
2005-09-21soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,154 · $263/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,131 · $344/mo
- Expected delta
- +$977/yr (+$81/mo · 31.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,805
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,154
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,224
- − Management
- −$2,224
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$71
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$17
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlem UD 122
- NCES district ID
- 1718240
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,228
- Composite
- 18.01/100
- National rank
- #8982
- State rank
- #418 of 620 in IL
Livability — Loves Park
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #255
- US rank
- #4724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Loves Park, IL
- City population
- 22,838
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,838
Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 271,080 people
- By 2030
- 260,684 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 238,405 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 216,129 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 172,882 · -36.2%
- By 2100
- 135,336 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.48%
- Current HPI
- 222.3872
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+125.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Pending — NWIAR
- 2026-05-07 Listed $225,000 NWIAR
- 2026-05-07 Listed $225,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2014-07-25 Sold (MLS) $88,000 NWIAR
- 2013-11-14 Listed $91,000 NWIAR
- 2012-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2012-01-06 Sold (MLS) $96,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-12-15 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-29 Listed $99,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2024): $3,154 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…