1405 82nd Ave · West Vero Corridor, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$38,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$1.350.00 per monh Land leased property in a 55 & amp; over community of Vero Palm in Vero Beach. New flooring, roof, a/c, paint, fixtures & amp; more. Comes furnished on a lovely lake view lot. Very relaxing setting. Come take a look for youself.
Key facts
- New flooring
- New paint
- New a/c
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $37k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 43.7% vs local median 4.0% in West Vero Corridor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#273 in FL, #4,421 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 380 active listings in the ZIP; 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $266 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 43.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 133.72%
- DSCR
- 6.95
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.11×
- Total profit
- $65,917
- Equity at exit
- $5,740
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.88×
- Total profit
- $138,900
- Equity at exit
- $3,329
Cash invested: $10,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32966
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 380
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,857 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$202
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$48 /mo · $578/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $1,201
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,228 | -5% $1,215 | +0% $1,201 | +5% $1,188 | +10% $1,175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,055 | -5% $1,128 | +0% $1,201 | +5% $1,275 | +10% $1,348 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,221 | -0.5pp $1,211 | base $1,201 | +0.5pp $1,191 | +1.0pp $1,181 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,625
- Closing costs
- $1,155
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $38,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $38,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $38,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $38,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$65,000 Active
-
2022-12-06historical
-
2022-09-27$99,000 Active
-
2011-09-13soldstatus $92,820
-
2006-12-07soldstatus $7,579,500
-
1999-02-01soldstatus $9,150,000
-
1997-06-27soldstatus $5,705,000
-
1997-06-27soldstatus $5,705,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,288
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,157
- − Property taxes
- −$578
- − Insurance
- −$192
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,783
- − Management
- −$1,783
- − Depreciation
- −$1,120
- Taxable income
- $14,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,522
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,893/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Vero Corridor
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #4421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Vero Corridor, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,686
- Household income
- $66,771
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 766.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.01%
- Current HPI
- 280.669
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.60%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-98.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $65,000 FSBO.com
- 2022-12-06 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2022-09-27 Listed $99,000 Beaches MLS
- 2011-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $92,820 Public Records
- 2006-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $7,579,500 Public Records
- 1999-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,150,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $5,705,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $5,705,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $195,898 · +34.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…