4625 Jill Pl · Greenacres, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in a prestigious community, this beautifully Mobile-home has spacious 4 bedrooms 2 baths, the interiors are nothing short of stunning. Call for a showing and see it for yourself.
Key facts
- 4 parking spots
- Built 2023
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (cats and dogs OK, no restrictions)
- Financial info: Land lease of $1,200 monthly (lease expires 2029-04-30); Annual tax noted
Exterior
- Parking: 4 total parking spaces; Attached carport with 3 covered carport spaces; Concrete parking; Off-site parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Single-story; Faces east; Resale condition
- Construction: Metal frame construction; Built as a double wide manufactured home
- Exterior features: Not waterfront; Roof over
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning (central building)
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Negotiable furnished status
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $179k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Heritage Elementary School (math 35% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 786 students, 75% FRL); Tradewinds Middle School (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #468 of 571 statewide, top 82%, 912 students, 74% FRL); Lake Worth High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,683 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 52% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,533/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 1466% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.21%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $64,196
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 37.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.20×
- Total profit
- $160,409
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33463
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,533 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$742
- Net cashflow
- $1,554
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,678 | -5% $1,616 | +0% $1,554 | +5% $1,492 | +10% $1,431 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,275 | -5% $1,415 | +0% $1,554 | +5% $1,694 | +10% $1,833 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,644 | -0.5pp $1,600 | base $1,554 | +0.5pp $1,508 | +1.0pp $1,461 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140 Baldwin Blvd Greenacres, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1561 | $3,400 | $2.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 160 Baldwin Blvd Greenacres, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1650 | $3,300 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 5049 Starblaze Dr Greenacres, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2077 | $3,100 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5029 Starblaze Dr Greenacres, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2077 | $3,500 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4124 Pine Hollow Cir Greenacres, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1872 | $3,195 | $1.71 | 18d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5404 Sunseeker Blvd Greenacres, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2077 | $3,600 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6034 Triphammer Rd Lake Worth, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $2,950 | $2.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5584 Priscilla Ln Lake Worth, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $3,050 | $2.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4860 Dillon St Unit 4860 Greenacres, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1685 | $3,650 | $2.17 | 11d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4844 Dillion St Lake Worth, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1644 | $3,300 | $2.01 | 8d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4860 Dillon St Unit 4860 Greenacres, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1685 | $3,650 | $2.17 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4844 Dillion St Lake Worth, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1644 | $3,299 | $2.01 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4820 Vermont Ave Lake Worth, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1948 | $5,500 | $2.82 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 187-char remark
-
2026-06-02$179,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,399
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$2,685
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,392
- − Management
- −$3,392
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $16,801
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,032
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,618/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos
This mobile-home requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a good condition, significantly increasing its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen countertops — Significant wear and tear, likely requiring replacement.
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Outdated and possibly damaged, requiring replacement.
- Major Flooring — Worn and in need of replacement.
- Major Paint — Peeling and in need of repainting.
- Major Siding — Weathered and may need repainting or replacement.
- Major Windows — Worn and may need replacement or caulking.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen renovation — A new kitchen will attract buyers and increase the home's value.
- Resale Bathroom updates — Modern bathrooms will appeal to potential buyers and increase the home's value.
- Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
- Resale Painting — Fresh paint will make the home more appealing and increase its value.
- Resale Siding and window replacement — New siding and windows will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen countertops · Significant wear and tear, likely requiring replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Outdated and possibly damaged, requiring replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Worn and in need of replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Paint · Peeling and in need of repainting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Siding · Weathered and may need repainting or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · Worn and may need replacement or caulking. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Kitchen renovation — A new kitchen will attract buyers and increase the home's value. ↑
- Resale Bathroom updates — Modern bathrooms will appeal to potential buyers and increase the home's value. ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Resale Painting — Fresh paint will make the home more appealing and increase its value. ↑
- Resale Siding and window replacement — New siding and windows will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Greenacres
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #490
- US rank
- #9008
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 65,478
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,478
- Household income
- $73,865
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1466.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 29% White 27% Two or more races 11% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 5% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 15% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 32% French/Haitian/Cajun 17% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -175.33%
- Current HPI
- 392.055
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+5.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $179,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-23 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $169,999 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…