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2064 S Farnsworth Dr #73
D Composite 42.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$249,900

2064 S Farnsworth Dr #73 · Mesa, AZ 85209
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,151 sqft · Condo public records · 212 Days on market
Built 1986 $284/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Furnished Condo in Adult 55+ Community. A two Bedroom, two Bath layout with a large front living room, spacious Eat-In Kitchen, AZ Room Addition (included in total sqft), Single Car Attached Garage with Laundry Area. All furniture and furnishings will convey with the property, a Turn-Key opportunity. Community offers Golf, Tennis, Pickleball, Swimming Pools, Fitness Centers, Library, Billiards, Card Rooms and so much more - a Great Value. Sorry, No Pets Allowed in this Phase of Condos.

Key facts

  • Turn-key opportunity
  • Az room addition
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENAZ ROOM ADDITIONSINGLE CAR ATTACHED GARAGETURN-KEY OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-162 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (11.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (16.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.4% in Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in AZ, #2,034 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D.
  • Gilbert Unified District (4239) (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #38 of 249 in AZ (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Neely Traditional Academy (math 83% / reading 81%, grade A+, #10 of 1,109 statewide, top 1%, 805 students, 17% FRL); Desert Ridge Jr. High (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #62 of 218 statewide, top 29%, 973 students, 26% FRL); Desert Ridge High (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #136 of 381 statewide, top 36%, 2,284 students, 23% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 171 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $250k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $208,746 (16.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.51%
Cash-on-cash
-2.78%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.44% appreciation · 0.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-5,194
Equity at exit
$91,084
10-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$16,545
Equity at exit
$125,639

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85209

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,087 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,353/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$284
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$-162

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,293
Max offer price $221,238
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-21 -5% $-92 +0% $-162 +5% $-233 +10% $-304
Rent -10% $-327 -5% $-245 +0% $-162 +5% $-80 +10% $3
Rate -1.0pp $-36 -0.5pp $-99 base $-162 +0.5pp $-227 +1.0pp $-293

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2064 S Farnsworth Dr #25 Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 1011 $1,595 $1.58 23d 1 0.02mi
7950 E Keats Ave Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 1228 $1,995 $1.62 25d 1 0.07mi
2311 S Farnsworth Dr #85 Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 1332 $3,300 $2.48 5d 1 0.29mi
8438 E Keats Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1363 $2,300 $1.69 26d 1 0.56mi
2223 S Gordon Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1278 $2,250 $1.76 26d 1 1.01mi
8865 E Baseline Rd #1028 Mesa, AZ 2.0 1.0 1028 $1,500 $1.46 45d 1 1.02mi
8433 E Guadalupe Rd Mesa, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 936 $2,526 $2.70 0d 1 1.10mi
8865 E Baseline Rd #300 Mesa, AZ 1.0 1.0 764 $2,000 $2.62 20d 1 1.13mi
8865 E Baseline Rd #1129 Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 748 $3,200 $4.28 7d 1 1.13mi
2047 S Jefferson Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1353 $2,495 $1.84 45d 1 1.17mi
2047 S Jefferson Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1353 $2,375 $1.76 0d 1 1.17mi
8865 E Baseline Rd #555 Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1387 $3,900 $2.81 26d 1 1.22mi
8865 E Baseline Rd #555 Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1387 $3,900 $2.81 21d 1 1.22mi
2058 S Longwood Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 1408 $1,750 $1.24 45d 1 1.24mi
8462 E Pampa Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1473 $1,995 $1.35 45d 1 1.38mi
2206 S Ellsworth Rd Unit 3B Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 976 $1,606 $1.65 16d 1 1.45mi
2206 S Ellsworth Rd Unit 94B Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 924 $3,702 $4.01 26d 1 1.45mi
2206 S Ellsworth Rd Unit 101B Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 924 $1,555 $1.68 45d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$284 · $3,408/yr
Likely covers
poolgym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Furnished Condo in Adult 55+ Community. A two Bedroom, two Bath layout with a large front living room, spacious Eat-In Kitchen, AZ Room Addition (included in total sqft), Single Car Attached Garage with Laundry Area. All furniture and furnishings will convey with the property, a Turn-Key opportunity. Community offers Golf, Tennis, Pickleball, Swimming Pools, Fitness Centers, Library, Billiards, Card Rooms and so much more - a Great Value. Sorry, No Pets Allowed in this Phase of Condos.

  2. 2026-05-06
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Furnished Condo in Adult 55+ Community. A two Bedroom, two Bath layout with a large front living room, spacious Eat-In Kitchen, AZ Room Addition (included in total sqft), Single Car Attached Garage with Laundry Area. All furniture and furnishings will convey with the property, a Turn-Key opportunity. Community offers Golf, Tennis, Pickleball, Swimming Pools, Fitness Centers, Library, Billiards, Card Rooms and so much more - a Great Value. Sorry, No Pets Allowed in this Phase of Condos.

  3. 2026-03-12
    price $249,900 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Furnished Condo in Adult 55+ Community. A two Bedroom, two Bath layout with a large front living room, spacious Eat-In Kitchen, AZ Room Addition (included in total sqft), Single Car Attached Garage with Laundry Area. All furniture and furnishings will convey with the property, a Turn-Key opportunity. Community offers Golf, Tennis, Pickleball, Swimming Pools, Fitness Centers, Library, Billiards, Card Rooms and so much more - a Great Value. Sorry, No Pets Allowed in this Phase of Condos.

  4. 2026-01-27
    price $259,900 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Furnished Condo in Adult 55+ Community. A two Bedroom, two Bath layout with a large front living room, spacious Eat-In Kitchen, AZ Room Addition (included in total sqft), Single Car Attached Garage with Laundry Area. All furniture and furnishings will convey with the property, a Turn-Key opportunity. Community offers Golf, Tennis, Pickleball, Swimming Pools, Fitness Centers, Library, Billiards, Card Rooms and so much more - a Great Value. Sorry, No Pets Allowed in this Phase of Condos.

  5. 2025-12-15
    price $264,900 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Furnished Condo in Adult 55+ Community. A two Bedroom, two Bath layout with a large front living room, spacious Eat-In Kitchen, AZ Room Addition (included in total sqft), Single Car Attached Garage with Laundry Area. All furniture and furnishings will convey with the property, a Turn-Key opportunity. Community offers Golf, Tennis, Pickleball, Swimming Pools, Fitness Centers, Library, Billiards, Card Rooms and so much more - a Great Value. Sorry, No Pets Allowed in this Phase of Condos.

  6. 2025-11-06
    status Active 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Furnished Condo in Adult 55+ Community. A two Bedroom, two Bath layout with a large front living room, spacious Eat-In Kitchen, AZ Room Addition (included in total sqft), Single Car Attached Garage with Laundry Area. All furniture and furnishings will convey with the property, a Turn-Key opportunity. Community offers Golf, Tennis, Pickleball, Swimming Pools, Fitness Centers, Library, Billiards, Card Rooms and so much more - a Great Value. Sorry, No Pets Allowed in this Phase of Condos.

  7. 2025-10-29
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Furnished Condo in Adult 55+ Community. A two Bedroom, two Bath layout with a large front living room, spacious Eat-In Kitchen, AZ Room Addition (included in total sqft), Single Car Attached Garage with Laundry Area. All furniture and furnishings will convey with the property, a Turn-Key opportunity. Community offers Golf, Tennis, Pickleball, Swimming Pools, Fitness Centers, Library, Billiards, Card Rooms and so much more - a Great Value. Sorry, No Pets Allowed in this Phase of Condos.

  8. 2025-10-20
    listed $269,900 Active 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Furnished Condo in Adult 55+ Community. A two Bedroom, two Bath layout with a large front living room, spacious Eat-In Kitchen, AZ Room Addition (included in total sqft), Single Car Attached Garage with Laundry Area. All furniture and furnishings will convey with the property, a Turn-Key opportunity. Community offers Golf, Tennis, Pickleball, Swimming Pools, Fitness Centers, Library, Billiards, Card Rooms and so much more - a Great Value. Sorry, No Pets Allowed in this Phase of Condos.

  9. 2013-03-06
    soldstatus $130,000 Closed 368-char remark
    Show marketing remark (368 chars)

    Beautifully Furnished Garden Condo With Arizona Room === Tile Floors Throughout (no carpet) === All Newer Appliances (including washer and dryer)=== New High Rise Toilets === 2 Flat Screen T.V's === 1 King Size Bed (master) === 1 Queen Size Bed (guest) === 2 Dressers With Mirrors === Kitchen Table With Chairs === Sofa === 4 Recliners === Lots of Miscellaneous Items.

  10. 2013-03-06
    soldstatus $130,000
    Show marketing remark (368 chars)

    Beautifully Furnished Garden Condo With Arizona Room === Tile Floors Throughout (no carpet) === All Newer Appliances (including washer and dryer)=== New High Rise Toilets === 2 Flat Screen T.V's === 1 King Size Bed (master) === 1 Queen Size Bed (guest) === 2 Dressers With Mirrors === Kitchen Table With Chairs === Sofa === 4 Recliners === Lots of Miscellaneous Items.

  11. 2013-01-18
    status Pending 368-char remark
    Show marketing remark (368 chars)

    Beautifully Furnished Garden Condo With Arizona Room === Tile Floors Throughout (no carpet) === All Newer Appliances (including washer and dryer)=== New High Rise Toilets === 2 Flat Screen T.V's === 1 King Size Bed (master) === 1 Queen Size Bed (guest) === 2 Dressers With Mirrors === Kitchen Table With Chairs === Sofa === 4 Recliners === Lots of Miscellaneous Items.

  12. 2013-01-08
    listed $137,500 Active 368-char remark
    Show marketing remark (368 chars)

    Beautifully Furnished Garden Condo With Arizona Room === Tile Floors Throughout (no carpet) === All Newer Appliances (including washer and dryer)=== New High Rise Toilets === 2 Flat Screen T.V's === 1 King Size Bed (master) === 1 Queen Size Bed (guest) === 2 Dressers With Mirrors === Kitchen Table With Chairs === Sofa === 4 Recliners === Lots of Miscellaneous Items.

  13. 2007-09-12
    historical
  14. 2007-08-30
    listed $165,000
  15. 2006-06-23
    historical
  16. 2006-01-23
    listed $165,900
  17. 2004-11-03
    soldstatus $103,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,353 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,649 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$297/yr (+$25/mo · 21.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,050
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$1,353
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,004
− Management
−$2,004
− HOA
−$3,408
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$6,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,497
After-tax cash flow
$-450/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gilbert Unified District (4239)
NCES district ID
0403400
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$74,715
Composite
45.55/100
National rank
#2600
State rank
#38 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Mesa

Score
79/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#2034

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime D Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mesa, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
555,266
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
43,150
Household income
$84,432
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
972.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.44%
Current HPI
277.6198
Rent YoY
▲ 0.54%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+142.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending ARMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $249,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $259,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $264,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2025-10-29 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Listed $269,900 ARMLS
  • 2013-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2013-03-06 Sold (MLS) $130,000 ARMLS
  • 2013-01-18 Pending ARMLS
  • 2013-01-08 Listed $137,500 ARMLS
  • 2007-09-12 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2007-08-30 Listed $165,000 ARMLS
  • 2006-06-23 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2006-01-23 Listed $165,900 ARMLS
  • 2004-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,353 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…