5 Shore Dr · Clinton, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come on home to this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bath townhome in Cascades. All electric, split plan and all on the ground floor...no stairs. This wonderful floor plan has a beautiful entry. Recent updates include: Slab granite counter tops and stone backsplash in the kitchen. New appliances including oven w/ cook top, vent hood and refrigerator, which stays! New carpet in the bedrooms. New wood floors in the family room. Fresh paint top to bottom. Off the dining room is a Sun room with french doors out to the patio or to the second bedroom. (The second bedroom is currently configured as a studio/office). Two car rear entry garage with a private drive. HOA takes care of lawn care outside the backyard as well as periodic painting of the exterior.
Key facts
- Florida room
- Cascades subdivision
- Private patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-286/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (1.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (10.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#49 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Clinton Public School District (rural): math 58% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #4 of 130 in MS (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Clinton Park Elem School (712 students, 100% FRL); Clinton Jr Hi School (math 69% / reading 54%, grade B+, #6 of 179 statewide, top 3%, 871 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 38% district-wide (61 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.7%/yr); 233 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.51%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $212,148
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 345 E Cascades Cir | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (-0%) | 4mo | $244,000 | $164 | 80 |
| 328 Waterfall Way | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,467 (-2%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $150 | 74 |
| 1506 Edgewood Pl | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,426 (-5%) | 4mo | $219,500 | $154 | 70 |
| 1416 Post Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,437 (-4%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $160 | 70 |
| 100 Villa Way | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,652 (+11%) | 0mo | $199,900 | $121 | 67 |
| 708 Tanglewood Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+2%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $144 | 62 |
| 703 Lindale Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-3%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $138 | 62 |
| 1214 Pineview Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,628 (+9%) | 3mo | $209,900 | $129 | 58 |
| 800 Longwood Pl | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (-11%) | 6mo | $188,000 | $142 | 55 |
| 1110 Post Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-10%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $137 | 51 |
| 705 Pinehurst St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,692 (+13%) | 0mo | $212,500 | $126 | 47 |
| 2103 Old Vicksburg Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-12%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $125 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-39,131
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -23.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.00×
- Total profit
- $-56,136
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39056
- Rents YoY
- -3.7%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,799 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$63
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $-24
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 McRee Dr Clinton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $63 · $756/yr
- Likely covers
- electriclandscaping
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-03-17$200,000 Active
-
2023-04-28soldstatus
-
2016-02-24soldstatus 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
Come on home to this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bath townhome in Cascades. All electric, split plan and all on the ground floor...no stairs. This wonderful floor plan has a beautiful entry. Recent updates include: Slab granite counter tops and stone backsplash in the kitchen. New appliances including oven w/ cook top, vent hood and refrigerator, which stays! New carpet in the bedrooms. New wood floors in the family room. Fresh paint top to bottom. Off the dining room is a Sun room with french doors out to the patio or to the second bedroom. (The second bedroom is currently configured as a studio/office). Two car rear entry garage with a private drive. HOA takes care of lawn care outside the backyard as well as periodic painting of the exterior.
-
2016-02-24soldstatus
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
Come on home to this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bath townhome in Cascades. All electric, split plan and all on the ground floor...no stairs. This wonderful floor plan has a beautiful entry. Recent updates include: Slab granite counter tops and stone backsplash in the kitchen. New appliances including oven w/ cook top, vent hood and refrigerator, which stays! New carpet in the bedrooms. New wood floors in the family room. Fresh paint top to bottom. Off the dining room is a Sun room with french doors out to the patio or to the second bedroom. (The second bedroom is currently configured as a studio/office). Two car rear entry garage with a private drive. HOA takes care of lawn care outside the backyard as well as periodic painting of the exterior.
-
2016-01-11$129,500 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
Come on home to this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bath townhome in Cascades. All electric, split plan and all on the ground floor...no stairs. This wonderful floor plan has a beautiful entry. Recent updates include: Slab granite counter tops and stone backsplash in the kitchen. New appliances including oven w/ cook top, vent hood and refrigerator, which stays! New carpet in the bedrooms. New wood floors in the family room. Fresh paint top to bottom. Off the dining room is a Sun room with french doors out to the patio or to the second bedroom. (The second bedroom is currently configured as a studio/office). Two car rear entry garage with a private drive. HOA takes care of lawn care outside the backyard as well as periodic painting of the exterior.
-
2015-10-07soldstatus 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
No stairs! This lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath, single story townhome is located in the Cascades subdivision. It has an excellent floor plan. The wood floors are beautiful. There is nice millwork throughout. There is a sunroom off one of the bedrooms with a ceramic tile floor. Fireplace in the den with gas logs. The two car garage has built in work areas for gardening or hobbies. It is a great property for a buyer looking to downsize and eliminate ongoing lawn care!
-
2015-10-06soldstatus
-
2015-05-13$119,000 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
No stairs! This lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath, single story townhome is located in the Cascades subdivision. It has an excellent floor plan. The wood floors are beautiful. There is nice millwork throughout. There is a sunroom off one of the bedrooms with a ceramic tile floor. Fireplace in the den with gas logs. The two car garage has built in work areas for gardening or hobbies. It is a great property for a buyer looking to downsize and eliminate ongoing lawn care!
-
1993-05-04soldstatus
-
1988-05-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,590
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,000
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,727
- − Management
- −$1,727
- − HOA
- −$756
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$3,642
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$874
- After-tax cash flow
- $588/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801090
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,993
- Composite
- 47.95/100
- National rank
- #2205
- State rank
- #4 of 130 in MS
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #8341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 26,836
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,836
- Household income
- $75,110
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 780.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 40% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.13%
- Current HPI
- 176.266
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.70%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+68.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-03-17 Listed $200,000 MLSU
- 2023-04-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-02-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-02-24 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2016-01-11 Listed $129,500 MLSU
- 2015-10-07 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2015-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-05-13 Listed $119,000 MLSU
- 1993-05-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-05-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-15.3%/yrLatest (2025): $329 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…