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1402 22nd St NE #509
B- Composite 65.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

1402 22nd St NE #509 · Auburn, WA 98002
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 47 Days on market
Built 1987 Est $120k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Premier Corner Lot setting in Rio Verde’s 55+ gate community, this home is truly move-in ready. Alaska package with heavy insulation & heat pump. The open floor plan flows! Kitchen, Dining and Living spaces with abundant windows capturing the manicured landscaping. The California kitchen sports granite counters, oak cabinets, and wonderful appliances. Spacious master with walk-in closet and 5-piece ensuite. True laundry “room” with massive storage. Drive-thru carport & nice work shed.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Heat pump
  • Heavy insulation

Tags

CORNER LOT55 GATE COMMUNITYHEAVY INSULATIONHEAT PUMPOPEN FLOOR PLANMANICURED LANDSCAPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing terms: Cash
  • Financial info: Land lease payment applies
  • HOA & community: Manufactured home park approved for sale; Park name: Rio Verde; 281 homes in park; Amenities: clubhouse, pool, exercise room, BBQs, recreational area, high-speed internet available

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; RV parking; Detached park parking available in community
  • Security: Security gate
  • Utilities: Electric service; Water and sewer provided by HOA; Power provided by PSE; Cable available through HOA
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; Entry available; Good condition
  • Construction: Composition roof; Tie-down foundation; Manufactured after 6/15/1976 (Silvercrest double-wide)
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Landscaped; Onsite storage (1); Common area; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Double oven; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; 1 bathtub; 2 showers
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump (heating and cooling)
  • Interior features: Water heater; Vaulted ceilings; Drapes; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room with electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $617 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Dick Scobee Elementary School (825 students, 84% FRL); Cascade Middle School (899 students, 70% FRL); Auburn Mountainview High School (1,581 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 44% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,853 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.78%
Cash-on-cash
19.61%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$119,520
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1402 22nd St NE #509 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 1mo $130,000 $90 99
1402 22nd St NE #52 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 6mo $120,000 $83 95
1402 22nd St NE #549 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,459 (+1%) 2mo $70,000 $48 91
1402 22nd St NE #11 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,368 (-5%) 2mo $60,000 $44 90
1402 22nd St NE #29 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,536 (+7%) 5mo $149,500 $97 85
1402 22nd St NE #65 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,535 (+7%) 8mo $86,500 $56 83
1402 22nd St NE #402 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 2mo $115,500 $80 81
1402 22nd St NE #424 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-13%) 1mo $124,500 $100 77
1402 22nd St NE #27 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 0mo $65,000 $48 77
1402 22nd St NE #203 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,632 (+13%) 5mo $143,500 $88 68
1402 22nd St NE #127 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,320 (-8%) 4mo $137,500 $104 65
1402 22nd St NE #233 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-13%) 9mo $90,000 $72 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$14,589
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$51,911
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98002

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
176
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,961 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$617

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,180
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $711 -5% $664 +0% $617 +5% $571 +10% $524
Rent -10% $462 -5% $540 +0% $617 +5% $695 +10% $772
Rate -1.0pp $685 -0.5pp $652 base $617 +0.5pp $582 +1.0pp $547

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2212 O St NE Unit D Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,925 $1.93 23d 1 0.07mi
2025 M St NE Unit 2045 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 1248 $2,095 $1.68 23d 1 0.13mi
2222 L St NE Unit 2222LA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 895 $1,995 $2.23 4d 1 0.16mi
2409 N St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,950 $2.17 16d 1 0.17mi
2414 N St NE Unit C Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1271 $1,950 $1.53 25d 1 0.18mi
2315 L St NE Unit 2315LA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 990 $1,995 $2.02 4d 1 0.22mi
2319 L St NE Unit 2319LB Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 895 $1,995 $2.23 4d 1 0.23mi
2502 M St NE Unit 2502MA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 910 $2,050 $2.25 4d 1 0.23mi
1015 18th St NE Unit 931 935 1001 1007 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,699 $1.89 25d 1 0.25mi
1741 22nd St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 902 $1,662 $1.84 0d 3 0.26mi
2545 M Pl NE Unit 2545MPC Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 25d 1 0.27mi
2556 M Pl NE Unit 2556MPC Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 21d 1 0.28mi
2602 J St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 897 $1,972 $2.20 4d 10 0.37mi
2317 I St NE Unit 2319 Auburn, WA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,275 $1.62 25d 1 0.41mi
987 26th Pl NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 939 $1,795 $1.91 25d 1 0.42mi
2441 I St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 910 $1,795 $1.97 16d 1 0.43mi
1413 12th St NE Unit ADU Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,400 $2.40 6d 1 0.49mi
902 28th St NE Unit 902 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 938 $1,699 $1.81 0d 1 0.52mi
1433 8th St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1025 $2,214 $2.16 0d 13 0.69mi
31900 104th Ave SE Unit A206 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 1250 $2,000 $1.60 25d 1 0.72mi
634 M St NE Unit 3 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,650 $1.83 25d 1 0.82mi
1314 6th Pl NE Auburn, WA 3.0 1.5 1180 $3,200 $2.71 25d 1 0.84mi
1221 A St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 741 $2,085 $2.81 0d 18 0.96mi
29 R St NE Unit A Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 25d 1 1.17mi
515 N Division St Auburn, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,750 $2.50 25d 4 1.27mi
44 5th St NE Apt 4 Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,999 $2.00 25d 1 1.29mi
107 N St SE Unit A Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,750 $1.62 23d 1 1.32mi
225 I St SE Unit 225 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 980 $2,100 $2.14 16d 1 1.47mi
24 Auburn Way S Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,495 $1.50 25d 1 1.47mi
128 E Main St Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 680 $2,425 $3.56 0d 5 1.50mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    price $134,900
  3. 2026-03-28
    listed $139,900 Active
  4. 2017-02-17
    soldstatus $99,800 Sold
  5. 2017-01-19
    status Pending Inspection
  6. 2017-01-15
    status Active
  7. 2017-01-11
    status Pending Inspection
  8. 2016-12-14
    listed $99,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,538
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$2,024
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,883
− Management
−$1,883
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$5,593
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,342
After-tax cash flow
$6,065/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Auburn

Score
81/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1371

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
74,969
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,509
Household income
$78,684
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2202.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -677.96%
Current HPI
298.0849
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $134,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $139,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-17 Sold (MLS) $99,800 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-19 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-15 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-11 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-14 Listed $99,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…