26 Fountain Gate Ln · Palm Coast, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CASH only Opportunity knocks with this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 2,096 sq ft of living space in the highly sought-after Palm Harbor F-Section of Palm Coast. With solid bones and key updates already in place — roof replaced in 2014, A/C updated in 2017, a remodeled kitchen, and a fully fenced-in yard — this property is ready for your finishing touches. Featuring a generous floor plan with ample living space, this home offers endless potential for customization or investment. The updated kitchen provides a great head start, while the remaining spaces offer the perfect opportunity to add your personal style and build equity. The fenced backyard offers privacy and ple
Key facts
- Remodeled kitchen
- Fully fenced yard
- Prime location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.8% in Palm Coast — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#478 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Flagler (rural): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 73 in FL (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1600 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,588 units permitted in Flagler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Flagler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.51%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $406,624
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Foxhall Ct | 0.13mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,344 (+12%) | 0mo | $370,000 | $158 | 63 |
| 41 Boulder Rock Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 2,044 (-2%) | 2mo | $420,000 | $205 | 61 |
| 67 Fortress Pl | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 2,349 (+12%) | 4mo | $475,000 | $202 | 61 |
| 31 Freeman Ln | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 2,098 (+0%) | 4mo | $399,000 | $190 | 60 |
| 27 Freemont Turn | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,900 (-9%) | 1mo | $600,000 | $316 | 59 |
| 7 Freemont Turn | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,899 (-9%) | 0mo | $429,000 | $226 | 56 |
| 50 Folson Ln | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,904 (-9%) | 0mo | $370,000 | $194 | 54 |
| 50 Franciscan Ln | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,009 (-4%) | 3mo | $386,000 | $192 | 52 |
| 22 Birchwood Pl | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 2,253 (+8%) | 4mo | $405,000 | $180 | 51 |
| 12 Botany Ln | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,806 (-14%) | 4mo | $321,990 | $178 | 50 |
| 34 Beth Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 2,343 (+12%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $143 | 49 |
| 70 Bennett Ln | 0.62mi | 3/3.0 | 1,810 (-14%) | 1mo | $450,000 | $249 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-22,268
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-16,523
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32137
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 1600
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,451 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$443 /mo · $5,314/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$515
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 Boulder Rock Dr Palm Coast, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2306 | $2,700 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1 Fanshawe Ln Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2085 | $2,350 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1 Fanshawe Ln Unit 1B Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2085 | $2,350 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 13 Freemont Ct Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1637 | $2,300 | $1.41 | 2d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 31 Folson Ln Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1481 | $1,639 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 77 Folcroft Ln Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2472 | $2,600 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 70 Forrester Pl Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 11 Ferris Ln Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 2d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 63 Beaverdam Ln Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1591 | $1,895 | $1.19 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 69 Beckner Ln Unit NA Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,998 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 57 Florida Park Dr Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1966 | $2,500 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 10 Flametree Ct Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2581 | $2,800 | $1.08 | 2d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 273 Beachway Dr Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $2,450 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 24 Barring Pl Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1668 | $1,875 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 59 Fallen Oak Ln Unit 1261618P Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1797 | $3,355 | $1.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 28 Freneau Ln Palm Coast, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2478 | $2,300 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 78 Belvedere Ln Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1557 | $1,750 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 14 Colechester Ln Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2033 | $3,000 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 44 Barrington Dr Palm Coast, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1862 | $2,250 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 20 Clarendon Ct N Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1883 | $2,675 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6 Clinton Ct N Unit 1261622P Palm Coast, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2690 | $7,445 | $2.77 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 10 Cormorant Ct Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1902 | $2,800 | $1.47 | 11d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-13status Pending
-
2026-02-27status Pending
-
2026-02-27historical
-
2026-02-25price $215,000
-
2026-02-20$249,900 Active
-
2005-09-09soldstatus $240,000
-
1988-11-01soldstatus $14,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,314 · $443/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,314 · $443/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,415
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$5,314
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,353
- − Management
- −$2,353
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $22
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flagler
- NCES district ID
- 1200540
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,354
- Composite
- 46.35/100
- National rank
- #2464
- State rank
- #20 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Coast
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #478
- US rank
- #8721
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Coast, FL
- County
- Flagler County · 113,412 people
- City population
- 105,049
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,391
- Household income
- $83,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 816.0
Population outlook (Flagler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,474 people
- By 2030
- 131,864 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 146,176 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 157,398 · +27.5%
- By 2075
- 177,990 · +44.2%
- By 2100
- 183,381 · +48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Russian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Flagler
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.6% · R 63.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: -28.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.2 2020: R+20.8 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.27%
- Current HPI
- 290.4607
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.85%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1393.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-20 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 1988-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,314 · +77.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…