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36-38 N Poplar St Triplex
A- Composite 80.32
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$335,000

36-38 N Poplar St · Elizabethtown, PA 17022
7 bd · 3.0 ba · 4,020 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1920 8,712 sqft lot $83/sqft · 27% below area Est $461k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Ample parking in rear of building. 1 Unit is currently being renovated with new carpet and paint!

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Natural gas service; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached structure; 3 total units; Above-grade finished living area reported as 4,020 sq ft
  • Construction: Brick and masonry construction; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Public water and public sewer; Off-street parking

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; Two 3-bedroom units
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
  • Interior features: Basement with poured concrete

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $465/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $335k).
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.2% in Elizabethtown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#201 in PA, #1,759 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Elizabethtown Area SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #123 of 539 in PA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: East High Street El Sch (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #313 of 1,518 statewide, top 24%, 481 students, 46% FRL); Elizabethtown Area Ms (math 24% / reading 52%, grade F, #283 of 512 statewide, top 57%, 875 students, 40% FRL); Elizabethtown Area Shs (math 67% / reading 24%, grade D-, #183 of 437 statewide, top 43%, 1,249 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 22% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,295/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($87k/yr) (locally 1404% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $94k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $160k; list at $335k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $335,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
12.82%
Cash-on-cash
23.32%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$460,935
List price
$335,000
Delta
-27.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
144-146 N Market St 0.16mi 7/5.0 3,984 (-1%) 15mo $580,000 $146 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$54,433
Equity at exit
$49,950
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
3.66×
Total profit
$249,075
Equity at exit
$28,965

Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17022

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
15.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,295 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,757
Tax from tax record
$464 /mo · $5,566/yr
Insurance
$140
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,112
Net cashflow
$1,396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,527
Max offer price $335,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,586 -5% $1,491 +0% $1,396 +5% $1,302 +10% $1,207
Rent -10% $978 -5% $1,187 +0% $1,396 +5% $1,605 +10% $1,815
Rate -1.0pp $1,565 -0.5pp $1,482 base $1,396 +0.5pp $1,310 +1.0pp $1,221

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $5,295

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,750
Closing costs
$10,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $335,000 Active 757-char remark
  2. 2026-05-09
    historical $335,000 757-char remark
  3. 2017-02-03
    soldstatus $159,900
  4. 2017-01-27
    historical
    Show marketing remark (97 chars)

    Ample parking in rear of building. 1 Unit is currently being renovated with new carpet and paint!

  5. 2017-01-27
    soldstatus $159,900
    Show marketing remark (97 chars)

    Ample parking in rear of building. 1 Unit is currently being renovated with new carpet and paint!

  6. 2016-12-02
    historical
    Show marketing remark (97 chars)

    Ample parking in rear of building. 1 Unit is currently being renovated with new carpet and paint!

  7. 2016-11-21
    listed $169,900
    Show marketing remark (97 chars)

    Ample parking in rear of building. 1 Unit is currently being renovated with new carpet and paint!

  8. 2016-11-21
    listed $169,900
    Show marketing remark (97 chars)

    Ample parking in rear of building. 1 Unit is currently being renovated with new carpet and paint!

  9. 2010-09-08
    historical
  10. 2009-09-08
    listed $210,000
  11. 2006-07-14
    soldstatus $220,000
  12. 2006-06-03
    historical
  13. 2006-05-20
    listed $224,990
  14. 2005-06-30
    historical
  15. 2005-06-23
    soldstatus $191,000
  16. 2005-06-21
    soldstatus $191,000
  17. 2005-04-13
    historical
  18. 2005-04-06
    listed $189,900
  19. 2005-04-06
    listed $191,000
  20. 1998-02-09
    soldstatus $119,900
  21. 1998-02-09
    soldstatus $119,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,566 · $464/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,566 · $464/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$63,540
− Mortgage interest
−$18,765
− Property taxes
−$5,566
− Insurance
−$6,794
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,083
− Management
−$5,083
− Depreciation
−$9,745
Taxable income
$12,504
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,001
After-tax cash flow
$13,755/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elizabethtown Area SD
NCES district ID
4209120
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$59,380
Composite
46.94/100
National rank
#2361
State rank
#123 of 539 in PA

Livability — Elizabethtown

Score
80/100
State rank
#201
US rank
#1759

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elizabethtown, PA
County
Lancaster County · 390,309 people
City population
31,908
Metro
Lancaster, PA
Population (ZIP)
31,908
Household income
$86,767
Rent vs Own
31.8% rent · 68.2% own
Severe rent burden
1404.0

Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
561,011 people
By 2030
570,969 · +1.8%
By 2040
585,929 · +4.4%
By 2050
591,056 · +5.4%
By 2075
594,747 · +6.0%
By 2100
558,850 · -0.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster

2024 margin
R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.73%
Current HPI
266.3184
Rent YoY
▲ 6.52%
Metro
Lancaster, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+179.4% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $335,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $159,900 Public Records
  • 2017-01-27 Sold (MLS) $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-01-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-12-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-11-21 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-11-21 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-09-08 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-09-08 Listed $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-07-14 Sold (MLS) $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-06-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-05-20 Listed $224,990 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-06-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $191,000 Public Records
  • 2005-06-21 Sold (MLS) $191,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-04-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-04-06 Listed $191,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-04-06 Listed $189,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
  • 1998-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $5,566 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…