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613 Westside Dr
B Composite 73.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$106,000

613 Westside Dr · Lexington, NC 27292
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,291 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1932 6,534 sqft lot Est $209k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* Sold as is * New listing price reflects seller's minimum acceptable by seller Great opportunity for investors or first time home buyer, rehab loans, etc Seller has never lived in the home all info to be verified by buyer and buyer's agent. NO POWER AND WATER.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1932
  • Listed 56 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association; Subdivision: Oak Crest

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water heater: Unknown
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1932; Existing structure
  • Construction: Brick construction; See remarks regarding construction details; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Public maintained road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Cooling: Other; Heating: See remarks
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $106k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $106k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.5% in Lexington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#89 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Lexington City Schools (suburban): math 32% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #136 of 178 in NC (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 400 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 990 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $733 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Davidson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $106k implies a 1147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,820 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.56%
Cash-on-cash
15.22%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$209,142
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
827 Ford St 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,252 (-3%) 6mo $167,000 $133 70
718 W 4th Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,332 (+3%) 7mo $215,900 $162 69
704 Archdale Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,334 (+3%) 1mo $285,000 $214 67
408 W 4th Ave 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,117 (-14%) 10mo $185,000 $166 65
997 Robbins Cir 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,254 (-3%) 0mo $170,000 $136 65
304 Salem St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,240 (-4%) 6mo $90,000 $73 63
13 Pickard Cir 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,262 (-2%) 2mo $217,000 $172 60
101 Booker Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,246 (-4%) 4mo $195,000 $157 56
820 Hargrave St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,455 (+13%) 9mo $202,500 $139 49
507 Quail Ln 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+8%) 2mo $261,500 $187 48
226 Westover Dr 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,410 (+9%) 9mo $192,000 $136 37
505 Hunters Way 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,451 (+12%) 9mo $280,500 $193 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$4,652
Equity at exit
$15,805
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$26,378
Equity at exit
$9,165

Cash invested: $29,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27292

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
400
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,322 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$556
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $816/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$377

Break-even live

Break-even rent $846
Max offer price $106,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,500
Closing costs
$3,180
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
420 Salem St Unit H Lexington, NC 2.0 1.5 1100 $875 $0.80 19d 1 0.69mi
301 Williamson St Unit B Lexington, NC 2.0 1.0 896 $1,000 $1.12 23d 1 1.24mi
500 Rylee Ln Lexington, NC 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 14d 1 1.34mi
812 Fairview Dr Apt 200D Lexington, NC 2.0 1.5 976 $1,249 $1.28 21d 1 1.35mi
812 Fairview Dr Apt 450A Lexington, NC 2.0 1.5 976 $1,450 $1.49 23d 1 1.35mi
206 Crane Creek Way Lexington, NC 3.0 2.5 1588 $1,650 $1.04 23d 1 1.38mi
6 London Ct Lexington, NC 1.0–4.0 1.0–1.5 875 $1,457 $1.66 14d 1 1.48mi
1305 White St Unit 1315-A Lexington, NC 2.0 1.5 900 $875 $0.97 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $106,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $106,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $106,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $106,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $106,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $106,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $106,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $106,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $106,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $106,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $106,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $106,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $106,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $106,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $106,000 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-04-28
    price $106,000
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $75,000 Active
  18. 2003-01-17
    soldstatus $8,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$816 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$869 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$53/yr (+$4/mo · 6.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,867
− Mortgage interest
−$5,938
− Property taxes
−$816
− Insurance
−$530
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,269
− Management
−$1,269
− Depreciation
−$3,084
Taxable income
$2,961
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$711
After-tax cash flow
$3,808/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lexington City Schools
NCES district ID
3702640
Math proficiency
32% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$27,758
Composite
28.2/100
National rank
#6807
State rank
#136 of 178 in NC

Livability — Lexington

Score
72/100
State rank
#89
US rank
#6051

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lexington, NC
County
Davidson County · 129,088 people
City population
79,578
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
Population (ZIP)
40,311
Household income
$57,264
Rent vs Own
29.8% rent · 70.2% own
Severe rent burden
1001.0

Population outlook (Davidson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
167,156 people
By 2030
167,216 · +0.0%
By 2040
164,524 · -1.6%
By 2050
157,229 · -5.9%
By 2075
138,084 · -17.4%
By 2100
112,729 · -32.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Davidson

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.79%
Current HPI
267.074
Rent YoY
▲ 1.37%
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1147.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $106,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $75,000 Triad MLS
  • 2003-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $816 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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