1351 NE Miami Gardens Dr Unit 402E · Ojus, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.26%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity.
Key facts
- $514 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association-maintained pool
- Financial info: Lease considered; Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes insurance and laundry; Association amenities: Pool, Elevator(s)
Exterior
- Parking: One assigned parking space
- Security: Complex fenced; Security guard
- Utilities: Has cooling (central air); Has heating (central)
- Home design: Condominium/attached property; 18-story building; Entry level: 4
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Balcony (open); Association pool; Lakefront; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Entry level: 4
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry included in association amenities
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 8.4% in Ojus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ojus Elementary School (math 56% / reading 59%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 776 students, 63% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 47% / reading 55%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,074 students, 67% FRL); North Miami Beach Senior High (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #568 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 576 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,295/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $73k; list at $150k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.41%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $34,876
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $84,310
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33179
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 576
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,295 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,107/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$514
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$692
- Net cashflow
- $1,064
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,149 | -5% $1,107 | +0% $1,064 | +5% $1,022 | +10% $979 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $804 | -5% $934 | +0% $1,064 | +5% $1,195 | +10% $1,325 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,140 | -0.5pp $1,103 | base $1,064 | +0.5pp $1,026 | +1.0pp $986 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $514 · $6,168/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $150,000
-
2026-05-15$180,000 Active
-
2026-04-01$1,800
-
2026-03-24historical $1,800
-
2026-01-14$1,800
-
2025-04-01historical $1,800
-
2025-02-12$1,800
-
2025-01-11historical $1,800
-
2024-12-12price $1,800
-
2024-12-02$1,950
-
2024-02-29historical
-
2023-12-12price $175,000
-
2023-11-27$182,000 Active
-
2023-10-31historical
-
2023-08-29price $182,000
-
2023-08-17price $184,000
-
2023-07-24$189,000 Active
-
2023-01-12historical
-
2022-11-05$159,000 Active
-
2021-11-30status Pending
-
2021-11-29historical
-
2021-10-30price $129,900
-
2021-08-29$149,000 Active
-
2021-05-24historical
-
2021-03-14price $149,000
-
2021-03-03$135,000 Active
-
2021-01-20soldstatus $73,000
-
2021-01-14soldstatus $73,000
-
2020-10-28$89,900
-
2011-11-18soldstatus $30,087
-
2011-09-01$27,000
-
2001-04-26soldstatus $34,500
-
1995-11-28soldstatus $27,500
-
1995-01-24soldstatus $28,000
-
1990-09-17soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,107 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,107 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 26% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,541
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,107
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,163
- − Management
- −$3,163
- − HOA
- −$6,168
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $11,423
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,742
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,031/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ojus
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ojus, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,591
- Household income
- $65,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3123.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -608.34%
- Current HPI
- 328.1733
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+455.6% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $150,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $180,000 MARMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed for Rent $1,800 MARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Rental Removed $1,800 MARMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed for Rent $1,800 MARMLS
- 2025-04-01 Rental Removed $1,800 MARMLS
- 2025-02-12 Listed for Rent $1,800 MARMLS
- 2025-01-11 Rental Removed $1,800 MARMLS
- 2024-12-12 Price Changed $1,800 MARMLS
- 2024-12-02 Listed for Rent $1,950 MARMLS
- 2024-02-29 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2023-12-12 Price Changed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2023-11-27 Listed $182,000 MARMLS
- 2023-10-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2023-08-29 Price Changed $182,000 MARMLS
- 2023-08-17 Price Changed $184,000 MARMLS
- 2023-07-24 Listed $189,000 MARMLS
- 2023-01-12 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2022-11-05 Listed $159,000 MARMLS
- 2021-11-30 Pending — MARMLS
- 2021-11-29 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-10-30 Price Changed $129,900 MARMLS
- 2021-08-29 Listed $149,000 MARMLS
- 2021-05-24 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-03-14 Price Changed $149,000 MARMLS
- 2021-03-03 Listed $135,000 MARMLS
- 2021-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 2021-01-14 Sold (MLS) $73,000 Beaches MLS
- 2020-10-28 Listed $89,900 Beaches MLS
- 2011-11-18 Sold (MLS) $30,087 Beaches MLS
- 2011-09-01 Listed $27,000 Beaches MLS
- 2001-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
- 1995-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
- 1995-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1990-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,107 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…