2164 E Stacey Rd · Gilbert, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- Cash flow +5.7/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.1/10.0
$499,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move In Ready! - Immaculate 3 BDR + Den, 2 BTH. One Story, North/South exposure, on a private lot at the base of the San Tan Mountains This home is in a beautiful community with great amenities in Chandler Unified School District. Stunning kitchen with upgraded cabinets, granite counter-tops, black appliances and an island for seating. Flooring includes 18'' tile & upgraded carpet. Ramada with paver patio & grassy area that's great for play & pets. Side door entrance to garage with plenty of shelving for storage and epoxy floor. RV Gate, landscape lighting and cable TV ready on the patio. Resort style living, with miles of scenic walking/biking trails, heated pool, fabulous clubhouse.
Key facts
- N/s facing lot
- Spacious island
- Turn-key ready home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Current financing is non-assumable
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $116 covering grounds maintenance; Association restricts visible trucks, trailers, RVs, and boats; Community amenities include pool, lake, community media room, playground, biking/walking path, and fitness center
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; 2-car garage with direct access and garage door opener
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Stucco and wood frame construction; Tile roof
- Exterior features: Stucco and painted wood-frame exterior; Gazebo; Block fencing; Tile roof; Asphalt road access; Front sprinklers with automatic timer; Desert landscaping front and back; Synthetic grass in back
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Non-laminate (solid) counters; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Up to 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Has cooling
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Granite counters; Double vanity in bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Breakfast bar; No interior steps (single level); Vaulted ceilings; Kitchen island; Pantry; Full bath in master bedroom; Separate shower and tub; Dual-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $500k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $319k (36.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (47.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $262k (47.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in AZ, #240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242) (suburban): math 49% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #31 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Charlotte Patterson Elementary (math 60% / reading 71%, grade B+, #92 of 1,109 statewide, top 9%, 851 students, 8% FRL); Willie & Coy Payne Jr. High (math 47% / reading 53%, grade C, #26 of 218 statewide, top 12%, 1,143 students, 11% FRL); Basha High School (math 61% / reading 61%, grade C+, #17 of 381 statewide, top 4%, 2,814 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools average 10% FRL vs 25% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$73k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($492k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $337k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.52% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.80%
- DSCR
- 0.61
- GRM
- 15.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $529,439
- List price
- $499,900
- Delta
- -5.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2315 E Hazeltine Way | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,734 (+10%) | 3mo | $507,500 | $293 | 66 |
| 2177 E Gillcrest Rd | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,731 (+10%) | 0mo | $505,000 | $292 | 64 |
| 2009 E Lindrick Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,734 (+10%) | 10mo | $517,500 | $298 | 64 |
| 2108 E Lindrick Dr | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,734 (+10%) | 14mo | $550,000 | $317 | 60 |
| 2445 E Flintlock Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,759 (+12%) | 2mo | $550,000 | $313 | 60 |
| 7764 S Abbey Ln | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,759 (+12%) | 10mo | $570,000 | $324 | 53 |
| 2218 E Gillcrest Rd | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,731 (+10%) | 15mo | $525,000 | $303 | 50 |
| 7761 S Abbey Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,759 (+12%) | 19mo | $505,000 | $287 | 49 |
| 7665 S Stuart Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,759 (+12%) | 6mo | $510,000 | $290 | 41 |
| 2327 E Runaway Bay Pl | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,759 (+12%) | 17mo | $545,000 | $310 | 36 |
| 2297 E Mews Rd | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,759 (+12%) | 13mo | $569,000 | $323 | 30 |
| 2428 E Runaway Bay Pl | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,759 (+12%) | 15mo | $545,000 | $310 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.36% appreciation · 4.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $155,564
- Equity at exit
- $392,196
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.63×
- Total profit
- $507,882
- Equity at exit
- $790,648
Cash invested: $139,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85298
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 340
- Price-to-rent
- 15.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,618 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,622
- Tax from tax record
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$116
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$550
- Net cashflow
- $-1,026
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-743 | -5% $-884 | +0% $-1,026 | +5% $-1,167 | +10% $-1,309 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,233 | -5% $-1,129 | +0% $-1,026 | +5% $-923 | +10% $-819 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-774 | -0.5pp $-899 | base $-1,026 | +0.5pp $-1,156 | +1.0pp $-1,287 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,975
- Closing costs
- $14,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2223 E Hazeltine Way Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1734 | $2,399 | $1.38 | 0d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2227 E Stacey Rd Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $2,499 | $1.59 | 20d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 6718 S Garnet Way Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 26d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2723 E Mews Rd Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $2,495 | $1.42 | 20d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2723 E Mews Rd Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $2,395 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1673 E Lafayette Ave Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,500 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4588 E Indian Wells Dr Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2134 | $2,495 | $1.17 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4424 E Peach Tree Dr Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2082 | $2,550 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4649 E Augusta Ave Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2192 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4649 E Augusta Ave Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2192 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 7d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 6081 S Topaz Pl Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1842 | $2,095 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 4375 E Cherry Hills Dr Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2073 | $2,100 | $1.01 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $116 · $1,392/yr
- Likely covers
- cablepool
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $499,900 Pending 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $499,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $499,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $499,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $499,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $499,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $505,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$509,000 Active 1936-char remark
-
2025-03-02historical
-
2025-03-01price $525,000
-
2025-02-20price $495,900
-
2025-02-06price $499,900
-
2025-01-02price $508,900
-
2024-12-04price $519,000
-
2024-10-20price $525,000
-
2024-10-14price $518,900
-
2024-10-06price $519,900
-
2024-09-24$525,000 Active
-
2020-06-25soldstatus $337,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (707 chars)
Move In Ready! - Immaculate 3 BDR + Den, 2 BTH. One Story, North/South exposure, on a private lot at the base of the San Tan Mountains This home is in a beautiful community with great amenities in Chandler Unified School District. Stunning kitchen with upgraded cabinets, granite counter-tops, black appliances and an island for seating. Flooring includes 18'' tile & upgraded carpet. Ramada with paver patio & grassy area that's great for play & pets. Side door entrance to garage with plenty of shelving for storage and epoxy floor. RV Gate, landscape lighting and cable TV ready on the patio. Resort style living, with miles of scenic walking/biking trails, heated pool, fabulous clubhouse.
-
2020-06-25soldstatus $337,000
Show marketing remark (707 chars)
Move In Ready! - Immaculate 3 BDR + Den, 2 BTH. One Story, North/South exposure, on a private lot at the base of the San Tan Mountains This home is in a beautiful community with great amenities in Chandler Unified School District. Stunning kitchen with upgraded cabinets, granite counter-tops, black appliances and an island for seating. Flooring includes 18'' tile & upgraded carpet. Ramada with paver patio & grassy area that's great for play & pets. Side door entrance to garage with plenty of shelving for storage and epoxy floor. RV Gate, landscape lighting and cable TV ready on the patio. Resort style living, with miles of scenic walking/biking trails, heated pool, fabulous clubhouse.
-
2020-06-03historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
Show marketing remark (707 chars)
Move In Ready! - Immaculate 3 BDR + Den, 2 BTH. One Story, North/South exposure, on a private lot at the base of the San Tan Mountains This home is in a beautiful community with great amenities in Chandler Unified School District. Stunning kitchen with upgraded cabinets, granite counter-tops, black appliances and an island for seating. Flooring includes 18'' tile & upgraded carpet. Ramada with paver patio & grassy area that's great for play & pets. Side door entrance to garage with plenty of shelving for storage and epoxy floor. RV Gate, landscape lighting and cable TV ready on the patio. Resort style living, with miles of scenic walking/biking trails, heated pool, fabulous clubhouse.
-
2020-05-22price $344,500
Show marketing remark (707 chars)
Move In Ready! - Immaculate 3 BDR + Den, 2 BTH. One Story, North/South exposure, on a private lot at the base of the San Tan Mountains This home is in a beautiful community with great amenities in Chandler Unified School District. Stunning kitchen with upgraded cabinets, granite counter-tops, black appliances and an island for seating. Flooring includes 18'' tile & upgraded carpet. Ramada with paver patio & grassy area that's great for play & pets. Side door entrance to garage with plenty of shelving for storage and epoxy floor. RV Gate, landscape lighting and cable TV ready on the patio. Resort style living, with miles of scenic walking/biking trails, heated pool, fabulous clubhouse.
-
2020-05-14status Active
Show marketing remark (707 chars)
Move In Ready! - Immaculate 3 BDR + Den, 2 BTH. One Story, North/South exposure, on a private lot at the base of the San Tan Mountains This home is in a beautiful community with great amenities in Chandler Unified School District. Stunning kitchen with upgraded cabinets, granite counter-tops, black appliances and an island for seating. Flooring includes 18'' tile & upgraded carpet. Ramada with paver patio & grassy area that's great for play & pets. Side door entrance to garage with plenty of shelving for storage and epoxy floor. RV Gate, landscape lighting and cable TV ready on the patio. Resort style living, with miles of scenic walking/biking trails, heated pool, fabulous clubhouse.
-
2020-05-12historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
Show marketing remark (707 chars)
Move In Ready! - Immaculate 3 BDR + Den, 2 BTH. One Story, North/South exposure, on a private lot at the base of the San Tan Mountains This home is in a beautiful community with great amenities in Chandler Unified School District. Stunning kitchen with upgraded cabinets, granite counter-tops, black appliances and an island for seating. Flooring includes 18'' tile & upgraded carpet. Ramada with paver patio & grassy area that's great for play & pets. Side door entrance to garage with plenty of shelving for storage and epoxy floor. RV Gate, landscape lighting and cable TV ready on the patio. Resort style living, with miles of scenic walking/biking trails, heated pool, fabulous clubhouse.
-
2020-05-09price $349,500
Show marketing remark (707 chars)
Move In Ready! - Immaculate 3 BDR + Den, 2 BTH. One Story, North/South exposure, on a private lot at the base of the San Tan Mountains This home is in a beautiful community with great amenities in Chandler Unified School District. Stunning kitchen with upgraded cabinets, granite counter-tops, black appliances and an island for seating. Flooring includes 18'' tile & upgraded carpet. Ramada with paver patio & grassy area that's great for play & pets. Side door entrance to garage with plenty of shelving for storage and epoxy floor. RV Gate, landscape lighting and cable TV ready on the patio. Resort style living, with miles of scenic walking/biking trails, heated pool, fabulous clubhouse.
-
2020-04-26$364,000 Active
Show marketing remark (707 chars)
Move In Ready! - Immaculate 3 BDR + Den, 2 BTH. One Story, North/South exposure, on a private lot at the base of the San Tan Mountains This home is in a beautiful community with great amenities in Chandler Unified School District. Stunning kitchen with upgraded cabinets, granite counter-tops, black appliances and an island for seating. Flooring includes 18'' tile & upgraded carpet. Ramada with paver patio & grassy area that's great for play & pets. Side door entrance to garage with plenty of shelving for storage and epoxy floor. RV Gate, landscape lighting and cable TV ready on the patio. Resort style living, with miles of scenic walking/biking trails, heated pool, fabulous clubhouse.
-
2015-04-21soldstatus $248,000
-
2015-04-10soldstatus $248,000 Closed
-
2015-03-14status Pending
-
2015-02-25price $250,000
-
2015-02-21$258,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,785 · $149/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,299 · $275/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,514/yr (+$126/mo · 84.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,422
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$2,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,514
- − Management
- −$2,514
- − HOA
- −$1,392
- − Depreciation
- −$14,543
- Taxable loss
- −$21,827
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,238
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,073/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242)
- NCES district ID
- 0401870
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,048
- Composite
- 47.54/100
- National rank
- #2268
- State rank
- #31 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Gilbert
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gilbert, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 281,769
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,114
- Household income
- $156,425
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 173.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.36%
- Current HPI
- 343.6932
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.31%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+93.8% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Pending — ARMLS
- 2026-05-31 Price Changed $499,900 ARMLS
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $505,000 ARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $509,000 ARMLS
- 2025-03-02 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-03-01 Price Changed $525,000 ARMLS
- 2025-02-20 Price Changed $495,900 ARMLS
- 2025-02-06 Price Changed $499,900 ARMLS
- 2025-01-02 Price Changed $508,900 ARMLS
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $519,000 ARMLS
- 2024-10-20 Price Changed $525,000 ARMLS
- 2024-10-14 Price Changed $518,900 ARMLS
- 2024-10-06 Price Changed $519,900 ARMLS
- 2024-09-24 Listed $525,000 ARMLS
- 2020-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $337,000 Public Records
- 2020-06-25 Sold (MLS) $337,000 ARMLS
- 2020-06-03 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2020-05-22 Price Changed $344,500 ARMLS
- 2020-05-14 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2020-05-12 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2020-05-09 Price Changed $349,500 ARMLS
- 2020-04-26 Listed $364,000 ARMLS
- 2015-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $248,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-10 Sold (MLS) $248,000 ARMLS
- 2015-03-14 Pending — ARMLS
- 2015-02-25 Price Changed $250,000 ARMLS
- 2015-02-21 Listed $258,000 ARMLS
Property tax history
+11.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,785 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…