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5012 Helmuth Ave
B- Composite 65.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

5012 Helmuth Ave · Evansville, IN 47715
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,153 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1953 6,300 sqft lot Est $209k · 47% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious brick ranch on Evansville’s east side offering strong upside with added finished basement square footage. Main level features a large living area, functional kitchen layout, and solid bones throughout, while the partially finished basement provides additional living space ideal for a second living area, bedrooms, or flex use. Home sits in an established neighborhood and offers a great opportunity for buyers looking to add value with cosmetic updates. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this property is perfect for investors, renovators, or owner-occupants looking to build equity.

Key facts

  • Finished basement
  • Cosmetic updates
  • Brick ranch

Tags

BRICK RANCHFINISHED BASEMENTESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODADDITIONAL LIVING SPACECOSMETIC UPDATES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property listed by Paradigm Realty Solutions

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 105; Lot zoning R-1 One-Family Residence; Lot features: Other; Subdivision: Reynold Terrace; Directions available

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 2 main-level bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Total of 8 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Caze Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #837 of 994 statewide, top 86%, 393 students, 79% FRL); Mcgary Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #311 of 330 statewide, top 94%, 351 students, 81% FRL); William Henry Harrison High School (math 29% / reading 54%, grade F, #211 of 369 statewide, top 58%, 1,158 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 50% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.92%
Cash-on-cash
9.39%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$208,693
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2422 Filly Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,176 (+2%) 3mo $239,000 $203 72
4537 Greencove Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,172 (+2%) 2mo $202,400 $173 70
1907 S Green River Rd 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,266 (+10%) 6mo $139,900 $111 63
2819 Promise St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (+2%) 1mo $174,750 $149 59
5717 Lincoln Pointe Blvd 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,240 (+8%) 1mo $240,000 $194 59
1909 Seasons Ridge Blvd 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,139 (-1%) 8mo $220,000 $193 53
4550 Sweetser Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,014 (-12%) 6mo $184,500 $182 52
1733 Burdette Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-8%) 6mo $180,000 $170 49
1818 Seasons Ridge Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,188 (+3%) 10mo $215,000 $181 47
5928 Crossfield Dr 0.58mi 2/2.0 1,003 (-13%) 8mo $150,000 $150 42
1913 Jeanette Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 999 (-13%) 3mo $108,000 $108 34
1726 Seasons Ridge Blvd 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,323 (+15%) 7mo $240,000 $181 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,519
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$17,395
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47715

Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,143 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $470/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$241

Break-even live

Break-even rent $838
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $303 -5% $272 +0% $241 +5% $210 +10% $179
Rent -10% $151 -5% $196 +0% $241 +5% $286 +10% $331
Rate -1.0pp $296 -0.5pp $269 base $241 +0.5pp $212 +1.0pp $183

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1900 Pueblo Pass Evansville, IN 2.0–3.0 1.5 1081 $899 $0.83 15d 5 0.26mi
4689 Covert Ave Unit 4629 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $775 $1.07 15d 1 0.45mi
1621 Burdette Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $1,050 $1.46 22d 1 0.60mi
5301 Stonehedge Dr Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 914 $1,170 $1.28 15d 19 0.63mi
1100 Erie Ave Evansville, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 962 $1,188 $1.23 22d 2 0.85mi
1165 Shiloh Sq Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 907 $1,145 $1.26 15d 15 0.86mi
1411 Jeanette Ave Unit 1411 Evansville, IN 3.0 1.5 1210 $1,195 $0.99 22d 1 0.92mi
3700 Justus Ct Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 790 $975 $1.23 22d 1 0.99mi
1320 Lee Ct Evansville, IN 1.0–4.0 1.0–1.5 1007 $1,032 $1.03 15d 36 1.06mi
950 S Hebron Ave Apt 301 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,900 $1.75 22d 1 1.11mi
815 Erie Ave Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1038 $1,349 $1.30 15d 17 1.15mi
700 Chateau Dr Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 825 $695 $0.84 15d 2 1.36mi
3951 Bellemeade Ave Unit D Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 825 $1,100 $1.33 22d 1 1.38mi
2947 Ravenswood Dr Unit 2927 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1150 $975 $0.85 22d 1 1.39mi
1713 Hawthorne Ave Evansville, IN 3.0 2.0 1204 $1,395 $1.16 22d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $110,000 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on marketlisting id $110,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-05-19
    price $119,000
  5. 2026-05-12
    price $121,000
  6. 2026-05-05
    price $123,000
  7. 2026-04-28
    price $125,500
  8. 2026-04-21
    price $130,000
  9. 2026-04-13
    price $132,500
  10. 2026-03-27
    listed $134,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$470 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$703 · $59/mo
Expected delta
+$232/yr (+$19/mo · 49.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,714
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$470
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,097
− Management
−$1,097
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$1,138
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$273
After-tax cash flow
$2,619/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
29,280
Household income
$60,897
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
1652.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.01%
Current HPI
195.7299
Rent YoY
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $119,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $121,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $123,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $125,500 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $130,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $132,500 IRMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $134,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

-15.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $470 · -80.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…