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C- Composite 54.67
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$450,000

551 W 160th St Unit 5B · New York, NY 10032
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 858 sqft · Condo · 432 Days on market
Built 1907 $564/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your Dream Home! This light and bright, beautifully renovated top-floor apartment offers approximately 858 SF legal 3-bedroom, currently configured as a spacious 2-bedroom, with triple exposure S/E/N for under $500k. Available fully furnished or vacant, this one has it all: Dishwasher, deep kitchen sink, and in-unit laundry! Photos are of the actual apartment, and are NOT STAGED. Bright and beautiful with windows throughout every room. Exposed brick and beams add to this apartment's charm and flair. The living and entertaining space offers a large, sunlit room with southern exposure and room to entertain. A formal dining area can easily seat 8-10 guests. The gut-renovated open

Key facts

  • Multifunction room
  • $564 HOA
  • Built 1907

Tags

NEW WASHER DRYER COMBOMULTIFUNCTION ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $564; Pets allowed (building permits pets)

Exterior

  • Home design: 5-story building; Entry level: 6; Zoned R7-2
  • Construction: 20 total units in the building
  • Exterior features: Private outdoor space (under 60 sq ft); East, North and South exposures; Has a view

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Basement present (other type)
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Building laundry/other laundry options

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($782/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $450k).
  • Recommended offer: $396k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,733/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 5464% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $38k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (7.7% local appreciation)).
  • New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (7.7% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 432 days — a 12% lower offer ($396k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $156k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $396,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 432 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.62%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.66% appreciation · 2.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$179,457
Equity at exit
$331,533
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
5.10×
Total profit
$516,726
Equity at exit
$648,463

Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10032

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,733 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,360
Tax est. 1.5%
$562 /mo · $6,750/yr
Insurance
$188
HOA
$564
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$994
Net cashflow
$65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,650
Max offer price $450,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,500
Closing costs
$13,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
40 Pinehurst Ave Ph 7B New York, NY 2.0 2.0 1043 $5,200 $4.99 11d 1 0.96mi
300 W 135th St Unit 9G New York, NY 3.0 2.0 1032 $5,500 $5.33 4d 1 1.37mi
69 Main St Fort Lee, NJ 2.0 1.0–2.0 1126 $4,950 $4.39 24d 7 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$564 · $6,768/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $450,000 Active 432 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $450,000 Active 431 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $499,999 Active 431 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $499,999 Active 429 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $499,999 Active 427 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $499,999 Active 423 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $499,999 Active 422 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $499,999 Active 417 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $499,999 Active 415 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $499,999 Active 414 DOM
  11. 2025-07-25
    price $499,999
  12. 2025-07-09
    price $525,000
  13. 2025-06-12
    price $549,000
  14. 2025-04-26
    price $599,000
  15. 2025-04-12
    listed $606,000 Active
  16. 2022-11-20
    price $62,000
  17. 2022-05-18
    price $345,000
  18. 2022-03-28
    status Active
  19. 2022-03-28
    price $350,000
  20. 2021-09-08
    price $360,000
  21. 2021-08-03
    price $379,000
  22. 2021-03-03
    listed $369,000 Active
  23. 2021-03-03
    listed $360,000 Active
  24. 2015-07-10
    price $360,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$56,795
− Mortgage interest
−$25,207
− Property taxes
−$6,750
− Insurance
−$2,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,544
− Management
−$4,544
− HOA
−$6,768
− Depreciation
−$13,091
Taxable loss
−$6,358
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,526
After-tax cash flow
$2,308/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
New York County · 1,599,927 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
55,610
Household income
$56,829
Rent vs Own
91.5% rent · 8.5% own
Severe rent burden
5464.0

Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,825,725 people
By 2030
1,904,611 · +4.3%
By 2040
2,052,719 · +12.4%
By 2050
2,206,601 · +20.9%
By 2075
2,509,427 · +37.4%
By 2100
2,702,933 · +48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 62% White 17% Two or more races 14% Black 12% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 42%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
44% · Canada, China
Languages at home
38% English-only · Spanish 54% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · New York

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.66%
Current HPI
431.3199
Rent YoY
▲ 2.84%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+38.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-25 Price Changed $499,999 RLS at REBNY
  • 2025-07-09 Price Changed $525,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2025-06-12 Price Changed $549,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2025-04-26 Price Changed $599,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2025-04-12 Listed $606,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2022-11-20 Price Changed $62,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2022-05-18 Price Changed $345,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2022-03-28 Relisted RLS at REBNY
  • 2022-03-28 Price Changed $350,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2021-09-08 Price Changed $360,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2021-08-03 Price Changed $379,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2021-03-03 Listed $360,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2021-03-03 Listed $369,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2015-07-10 Price Changed $360,000 RLS at REBNY

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…