2721 W Gulf Dr #212 · Sanibel, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$840,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Private corner gulf-view 2 bedrm. In excellent condition with many recent upgrades. End-unit with glassed lanai is private & benefits from extra light provided by windows in kitchen & guest room. Kitchen remodeled including new dishwasher, frig, microwave, washer & dryer; new tile in kitchen, hall, bath, & entry; baths & dressing area updated; new air handler 2001; new water heater 2002. Offered turn-key. Kings Crown's 2-wk rental minimum ensures its residential ambience. On-site manager's office, wireless internet, assigned undercover parking, ~4'x7' storeroom. Solid construction, well-funded association, plus elevators, heated pool, tennis, & more.
Key facts
- Glass-enclosed lanai
- World-class shelling
- Mesmerizing sunsets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with conditions (call for details)
- Financial info: Community of 54 units
- HOA & community: Association amenities include pool, tennis courts, and management; Association fee paid quarterly; Association covers management, cable TV, insurance, legal/accounting, grounds maintenance, pest control, sewer, trash and water
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Underground parking; 1 covered space / 1 carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Condominium / multi-unit; 3 stories; Entry level on 2; Faces south; Resale property
- Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Built-up and flat roof; Raised foundation
- Exterior features: Lanai / porch with screened enclosure; Community tennis court(s); Community pool; Municipal irrigation; Waterfront on the Gulf; North exposure; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Freezer; Disposal
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Partially furnished; Impact glass and single-hung windows; Dual sinks; Walk-in closet(s); Screened porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $840k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($84k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $840k).
- Recommended offer: $739k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 3.8% in Sanibel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#541 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 526 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $235k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($739k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $525k; list at $840k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.88%
- DSCR
- 2.69
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $311,280
- Equity at exit
- $125,247
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.62×
- Total profit
- $851,803
- Equity at exit
- $72,628
Cash invested: $235,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33957
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Active inventory
- 526
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $19,067 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,405
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,050 /mo · $12,600/yr
- Insurance
- −$350
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$1,833
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,004
- Net cashflow
- $6,998
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $210,000
- Closing costs
- $25,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2445 W Gulf Dr Unit 47B Sanibel, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $20,000 | $16.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2445 W Gulf Dr Unit 32E Sanibel, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $18,000 | $14.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,833 · $21,996/yr
- Likely covers
- waterinternetpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $840,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $840,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $840,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $840,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $840,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $840,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $840,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $840,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $840,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-02-23price $840,000
-
2025-11-19$875,000 Active
-
2025-09-15historical
-
2025-07-16price $895,000
-
2025-03-10$995,000 Active
-
2012-08-10soldstatus $525,000 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
Private corner gulf-view 2 bedrm. In excellent condition with many recent upgrades. End-unit with glassed lanai is private & benefits from extra light provided by windows in kitchen & guest room. Kitchen remodeled including new dishwasher, frig, microwave, washer & dryer; new tile in kitchen, hall, bath, & entry; baths & dressing area updated; new air handler 2001; new water heater 2002. Offered turn-key. Kings Crown's 2-wk rental minimum ensures its residential ambience. On-site manager's office, wireless internet, assigned undercover parking, ~4'x7' storeroom. Solid construction, well-funded association, plus elevators, heated pool, tennis, & more.
-
2012-08-10soldstatus $525,000
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
Private corner gulf-view 2 bedrm. In excellent condition with many recent upgrades. End-unit with glassed lanai is private & benefits from extra light provided by windows in kitchen & guest room. Kitchen remodeled including new dishwasher, frig, microwave, washer & dryer; new tile in kitchen, hall, bath, & entry; baths & dressing area updated; new air handler 2001; new water heater 2002. Offered turn-key. Kings Crown's 2-wk rental minimum ensures its residential ambience. On-site manager's office, wireless internet, assigned undercover parking, ~4'x7' storeroom. Solid construction, well-funded association, plus elevators, heated pool, tennis, & more.
-
2012-07-17price $599,000 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
Private corner gulf-view 2 bedrm. In excellent condition with many recent upgrades. End-unit with glassed lanai is private & benefits from extra light provided by windows in kitchen & guest room. Kitchen remodeled including new dishwasher, frig, microwave, washer & dryer; new tile in kitchen, hall, bath, & entry; baths & dressing area updated; new air handler 2001; new water heater 2002. Offered turn-key. Kings Crown's 2-wk rental minimum ensures its residential ambience. On-site manager's office, wireless internet, assigned undercover parking, ~4'x7' storeroom. Solid construction, well-funded association, plus elevators, heated pool, tennis, & more.
-
1994-03-30soldstatus $312,800
-
1979-04-01soldstatus $93,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $228,802
- − Mortgage interest
- −$47,053
- − Property taxes
- −$12,600
- − Insurance
- −$9,318
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$18,304
- − Management
- −$18,304
- − HOA
- −$21,996
- − Depreciation
- −$24,436
- Taxable income
- $76,790
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$18,430
- After-tax cash flow
- $65,549/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sanibel
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #541
- US rank
- #10166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sanibel, FL
- City population
- 6,402
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,402
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.08%
- Current HPI
- 501.0
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+798.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $840,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listed $875,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-09-15 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-07-16 Price Changed $895,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-03-10 Listed $995,000 FORTMLS
- 2012-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $525,000 Public Records
- 2012-08-10 Sold (MLS) $525,000 FORTMLS
- 2012-07-17 Price Changed $599,000 FORTMLS
- 1994-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $312,800 Public Records
- 1979-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $93,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,602 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…