2910 Shawnee Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1953
- Listed 516 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Southwood Acres subdivision; Cross streets: Dort Hwy and E Atherton Rd
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 53 x 101 x 53 x 101; Lot size about 0.13 acres; No pool
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Total of 3 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $476 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 516 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $69k implies a 474% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 516 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.56%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $82,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3301 Dearborn Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,567 (+6%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $38 | 66 |
| 720 Algonquin Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,398 (-5%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $118 | 66 |
| 812 E Atherton Rd | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,423 (-3%) | 11mo | $92,000 | $65 | 61 |
| 2029 Mcavoy St | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 | 1,516 (+3%) | 12mo | $67,900 | $45 | 54 |
| 549 Buckingham Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 1,374 (-7%) | 7mo | $42,800 | $31 | 54 |
| 2033 Seymour Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,398 (-5%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $25 | 53 |
| 1006 Southlawn Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,539 (+5%) | 11mo | $148,365 | $96 | 50 |
| 3814 Shawnee Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,604 (+9%) | 9mo | $114,000 | $71 | 47 |
| 628 Mckinley Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,348 (-8%) | 9mo | $42,000 | $31 | 43 |
| 541 Buckingham Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,617 (+10%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $56 | 39 |
| 818 Mckinley Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,630 (+11%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $71 | 36 |
| 1930 Whittlesey St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,679 (+14%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $42 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $8,746
- Equity at exit
- $10,273
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $25,039
- Equity at exit
- $5,957
Cash invested: $19,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48507
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,101 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$361
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,404/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,225
- Closing costs
- $2,067
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132 Pine Blf Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $953 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1034 McKeighan Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,250 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4509 Cheyenne Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4411 Red Arrow Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 805 E Hemphill Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3291 Glengary St Burton, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,075 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,900 Active 516 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $68,900 Active 515 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $68,900 Active 514 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $68,900 Active 513 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $68,900 Active 511 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $68,900 Active 510 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $68,900 Active 508 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $68,900 Active 507 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $68,900 Active 506 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,900 Active 505 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $68,900 Active 502 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $68,900 Active 501 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $68,900 Active 500 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $68,900 Active 499 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $68,900 Active 498 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $68,900 Active 497 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $68,900 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2026-05-19status Active
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2026-05-19price $68,900
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2026-05-19status Active 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2026-03-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2026-03-20status Pending 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2025-12-03status Active
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2025-12-03status Active 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2025-12-01historical 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2025-12-01historical
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2025-08-20price $69,900 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2025-08-20price $69,900
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2025-05-28price $73,900 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2025-05-28price $73,900
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2024-11-18$79,900 Active 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2024-11-18$79,900 Active
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath. Buyers agent to verify all information.
-
2016-08-01soldstatus $12,000 Sold 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or for an investment. This home offers 3 good size bedrooms, 1 bath, large living room and over 1400 Sf to stretch out in! Located in a nice neighborhood. Close to all amenities. Home has been re-piped with pex! Multiple offers H & B due 7-20-16 by 3:00 pm
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2016-08-01soldstatus $12,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or for an investment. This home offers 3 good size bedrooms, 1 bath, large living room and over 1400 Sf to stretch out in! Located in a nice neighborhood. Close to all amenities. Home has been re-piped with pex! Multiple offers H & B due 7-20-16 by 3:00 pm
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2016-07-22status Pending
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or for an investment. This home offers 3 good size bedrooms, 1 bath, large living room and over 1400 Sf to stretch out in! Located in a nice neighborhood. Close to all amenities. Home has been re-piped with pex! Multiple offers H & B due 7-20-16 by 3:00 pm
-
2016-07-22status Pending 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or for an investment. This home offers 3 good size bedrooms, 1 bath, large living room and over 1400 Sf to stretch out in! Located in a nice neighborhood. Close to all amenities. Home has been re-piped with pex! Multiple offers H & B due 7-20-16 by 3:00 pm
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2016-07-02$13,000 Active
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or for an investment. This home offers 3 good size bedrooms, 1 bath, large living room and over 1400 Sf to stretch out in! Located in a nice neighborhood. Close to all amenities. Home has been re-piped with pex! Multiple offers H & B due 7-20-16 by 3:00 pm
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2016-07-02$13,000 Active 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or for an investment. This home offers 3 good size bedrooms, 1 bath, large living room and over 1400 Sf to stretch out in! Located in a nice neighborhood. Close to all amenities. Home has been re-piped with pex! Multiple offers H & B due 7-20-16 by 3:00 pm
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2016-02-26historical
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2016-02-26historical
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2016-02-15$19,000 Active
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2016-02-14$19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,404 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,404 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,211
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,859
- − Property taxes
- −$1,404
- − Insurance
- −$344
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,057
- − Management
- −$1,057
- − Depreciation
- −$2,004
- Taxable income
- $3,485
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$836
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,516/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,723
- Household income
- $46,554
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1534.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.90%
- Current HPI
- 132.3632
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.04%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+262.6% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $68,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $68,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-03 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-03 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $73,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $73,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-11-18 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-11-18 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-01 Sold (MLS) $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-01 Sold (MLS) $12,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-07-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-22 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-07-02 Listed $13,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-02 Listed $13,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-02-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-02-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-02-15 Listed $19,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-02-14 Listed $19,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,404 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…