3250 Elm Dr · Baton Rouge, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Age of structure unknown. Property sold as-is with no warranties. Buyer to verify all information including age, measurements, and condition.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 94 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $18k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 46.9% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,011/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($25k/yr) (locally 1980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 46.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 144.91%
- DSCR
- 7.45
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,645
- List price
- $20,000
- Delta
- -79.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5122 Bradley St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-1%) | 17mo | $49,900 | $55 | 74 |
| 3780 Conrad Dr | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 928 (+2%) | 3mo | $16,000 | $17 | 69 |
| 3122 N Foster Dr | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 907 (+0%) | 15mo | $125,000 | $138 | 69 |
| 2975 Blackwell Dr | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-1%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $106 | 67 |
| 3350 Conrad Dr | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,018 (+12%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $88 | 59 |
| 5131 Fairfields Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-1%) | 2mo | $44,000 | $49 | 58 |
| 4952 Ritterman Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 987 (+9%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $132 | 50 |
| 4924 Ritterman Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 966 (+7%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $98 | 50 |
| 5249 Madison Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 951 (+5%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $100 | 38 |
| 2768 Bartlett St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 975 (+8%) | 21mo | $54,900 | $56 | 33 |
| 4852 Adams Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,034 (+14%) | 16mo | $39,000 | $38 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $9,968
- Equity at exit
- $2,982
- IRR
- 48.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.36×
- Total profit
- $18,796
- Equity at exit
- $1,729
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70805
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,011 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax from tax record
- −$9 /mo · $110/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $250
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3540 N Foster Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3577 Mission Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $950 | $1.26 | 19d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3647 Mission Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5617 Prescott Rd Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $900 | $1.31 | 23d | 26 | 0.69mi |
| 4189 W Brookstown Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $825 | $1.19 | 14d | 20 | 0.69mi |
| 4380 Mohican-Prescott Crossover Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,055 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5350 Clayton Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $850 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3936 Dalton St Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 19d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3859 Brady St Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3225 Victoria Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1062 | $1,289 | $1.21 | 14d | 18 | 1.09mi |
| 2121 Lobdell Blvd Unit H54 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,194 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3160 Wyandotte St Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $800 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2136 Lobdell Blvd Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,066 | $1.24 | 14d | 24 | 1.35mi |
| 1201 N Foster Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1300 | $1,688 | $1.30 | 14d | 31 | 1.37mi |
| 1251 N Ardenwood Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $999 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1217 N 44th St Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $950 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $20,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $20,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $20,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $20,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $20,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $20,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $20,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $20,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $20,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $20,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $20,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $20,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $20,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $20,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $20,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-16$20,000 Active 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Age of structure unknown. Property sold as-is with no warranties. Buyer to verify all information including age, measurements, and condition.
-
2026-03-16$20,000 Active 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Age of structure unknown. Property sold as-is with no warranties. Buyer to verify all information including age, measurements, and condition.
-
2009-06-04soldstatus $310,129
-
2006-06-23soldstatus $1,744,185
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $110 · $9/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $110 · $9/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,131
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$110
- − Insurance
- −$5,218
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$970
- − Management
- −$970
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $3,159
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$758
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,238/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Baton Rouge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #4535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baton Rouge, LA
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- City population
- 351,868
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,288
- Household income
- $25,397
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1980.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% White 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.79%
- Current HPI
- 75.7121
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.21%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-98.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Listed $20,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $20,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2009-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $310,129 Public Records
- 2006-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $1,744,185 Public Records
Property tax history
-11.9%/yrLatest (2025): $110 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…