1526 Rock St · Sioux City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well kept 2br/1ba home with 3 season back porch, with dbl lot, room to build a garage or shop. Home is close to Hill Crest Park and Unity Grade School.
Key facts
- Extra lot
- Updated bath
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating with forced air
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($479/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (12.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.7% in Sioux City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#138 in IA, #2,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Sioux City Community School District (urban): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #264 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Unity Elementary School (math 50% / reading 52%, grade C-, #510 of 616 statewide, top 83%, 521 students, 74% FRL); East Middle School (math 60% / reading 67%, grade B+, #169 of 246 statewide, top 69%, 1,067 students, 65% FRL); East High School (math 53% / reading 63%, grade C, #275 of 336 statewide, top 83%, 1,495 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 170 units permitted in Woodbury County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.33%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,761
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- -14.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1706 Irene St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (-6%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $198 | 84 |
| 922 Dubuque St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-3%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $66 | 74 |
| 3220 Park View Blvd | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-3%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $170 | 72 |
| 1113 Irene St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (-6%) | 18mo | $70,000 | $79 | 62 |
| 909 Alice St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+8%) | 2mo | $184,900 | $183 | 57 |
| 1408 Rustin St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 803 (-14%) | 16mo | $145,000 | $181 | 56 |
| 2507 11th St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 970 (+4%) | 23mo | $115,000 | $119 | 55 |
| 3520 Park View Blvd | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-11%) | 14mo | $48,865 | $59 | 41 |
| 3501 Athlone Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+8%) | 21mo | $149,000 | $148 | 37 |
| 1222 Saint Marys St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+3%) | 24mo | $158,000 | $165 | 36 |
| 725 Alice St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,076 (+15%) | 12mo | $199,000 | $185 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $23,484
- Equity at exit
- $63,759
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $73,567
- Equity at exit
- $102,991
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51105
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,124 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,414/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $113 | -5% $76 | +0% $40 | +5% $3 | +10% $-33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-49 | -5% $-4 | +0% $40 | +5% $84 | +10% $129 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $105 | -0.5pp $73 | base $40 | +0.5pp $7 | +1.0pp $-27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2722 Prospect St Sioux City, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,200 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1114 13th St Unit 1116 Sioux City, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1116 13th St Sioux City, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3290 Martha St Sioux City, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,079 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 597-char remark
-
2026-05-07$129,000 Active 597-char remark
-
2021-10-08soldstatus $118,000 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Well kept 2br/1ba home with 3 season back porch, with dbl lot, room to build a garage or shop. Home is close to Hill Crest Park and Unity Grade School.
-
2021-10-08soldstatus $118,000
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Well kept 2br/1ba home with 3 season back porch, with dbl lot, room to build a garage or shop. Home is close to Hill Crest Park and Unity Grade School.
-
2021-07-14$121,000 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Well kept 2br/1ba home with 3 season back porch, with dbl lot, room to build a garage or shop. Home is close to Hill Crest Park and Unity Grade School.
-
2017-02-21soldstatus $83,900
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
All you need to do Is MOVE RIGHT IN!!! Very well maintained 2br/1ba home on a double lot located near Hill Crest Park and Unity Grade School. New windows & furnace, water heater, water softner 5years ago, updated kitchen, with an enclosed back porch addition 6years ago, nice 12x21 Storage Shed and room to build a garage!
-
2017-02-21soldstatus $84,000
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
All you need to do Is MOVE RIGHT IN!!! Very well maintained 2br/1ba home on a double lot located near Hill Crest Park and Unity Grade School. New windows & furnace, water heater, water softner 5years ago, updated kitchen, with an enclosed back porch addition 6years ago, nice 12x21 Storage Shed and room to build a garage!
-
2016-07-07$85,900
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
All you need to do Is MOVE RIGHT IN!!! Very well maintained 2br/1ba home on a double lot located near Hill Crest Park and Unity Grade School. New windows & furnace, water heater, water softner 5years ago, updated kitchen, with an enclosed back porch addition 6years ago, nice 12x21 Storage Shed and room to build a garage!
-
2007-08-01soldstatus $56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,414 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,720 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$306/yr (+$25/mo · 21.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,489
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,414
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,079
- − Management
- −$1,079
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable loss
- −$1,707
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$410
- After-tax cash flow
- $889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sioux City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1926400
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,967
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2371
- State rank
- #264 of 289 in IA
Livability — Sioux City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #2544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sioux City, IA
- City population
- 51,789
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,726
Population outlook (Woodbury County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,226 people
- By 2030
- 103,060 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 102,533 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 102,788 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 107,227 · +3.9%
- By 2100
- 113,980 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 40% White 38% Two or more races 29% Black 10% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 36% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Woodbury
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+0.2 2008: R+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.78%
- Current HPI
- 226.3786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+133.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $130,500 NWIA
- 2026-05-11 Pending — NWIA
- 2026-05-07 Listed $129,000 NWIA
- 2021-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-08 Sold (MLS) $118,000 NWIA
- 2021-07-14 Listed $121,000 NWIA
- 2017-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-21 Sold (MLS) $83,900 NWIA
- 2016-07-07 Listed $85,900 NWIA
- 2007-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,414 · -14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…