226 Horseshoe Cir · Dentsville, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the Dentsville subdivision of Northeast Columbia, this single-story residence offers 1,005 square feet of interior living space. Built in 1972, the home features a three-bedroom, one-bathroom floor plan with carpet and laminate flooring throughout the living areas. The kitchen is equipped with a range, refrigerator, gorgeous cabinets and stylish countertops, adjoining a centralized living area. The exterior consists of a brick facade situated on a level 0.14-acre (6,012 sq. ft. ) lot with mature landscaping and a cleared rear yard. The property provides off-street parking and is located within the Richland 02 School District. This home is positioned near the Two Notch Road commer
Key facts
- Brick facade
- Mature landscaping
- Off-street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Brick exterior above foundation; Partial fencing; Paved road frontage; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level; Two additional bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Family room on the main level; All main living areas on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#50 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
- Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jackson Creek Elementary (math 26% / reading 24%, grade F, #447 of 597 statewide, top 76%, 545 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 38% district-wide (62 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Richland 02 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 341 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $140k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.83%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,505
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 King Arthur Ct | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (+13%) | 20mo | $114,000 | $101 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-18,933
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-22,625
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29223
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 341
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,596 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$344 /mo · $4,130/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $125
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137 Carr Ln Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2058 Mapleton Dr Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1476 | $1,995 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1659 Legrand Rd Columbia, SC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1450 | $2,500 | $1.72 | 3d | 12 | 0.72mi |
| 712 Blazing Star Trl Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,699 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 237 Foxhunt Rd Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,250 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 381 Valley Heights Ln Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1471 | $1,719 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 125 Charleswood Dr Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 113 Charleswood Dr Columbia, SC | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1196 | $1,555 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1728 Springwoods Lake Dr Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1025 | $1,200 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1000 Windsor Shores Dr Columbia, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $1,590 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8100 Bayfield Rd Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $1,364 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1682 Horseshoe Dr Unit D Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1310 Oakcrest Dr Columbia, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1110 | $1,848 | $1.66 | 3d | 27 | 1.24mi |
| 1718 Horseshoe Dr Apt B Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 11d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 207 Weddell St Unit 1D Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2920 Chatsworth Rd Apt C Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,100 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2920 Chatsworth Rd Unit A Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,100 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $139,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $149,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-04-30historical Active - Contingent
-
2026-04-10price $149,900
-
2026-03-26price $159,900
-
2026-02-18$164,900 Active
-
2004-05-18soldstatus $62,000
-
1987-08-01soldstatus $42,900
-
1987-01-01soldstatus $10,000
-
1978-02-01soldstatus $22,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,130 · $344/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,130 · $344/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,158
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$4,130
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$643
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$154
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,656/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland 02
- NCES district ID
- 4503390
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,684
- Composite
- 36.2/100
- National rank
- #4730
- State rank
- #29 of 80 in SC
Livability — Dentsville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #6940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dentsville, SC
- County
- Richland County · 389,530 people
- City population
- 52,835
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,074
- Household income
- $62,408
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2857.0
Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 459,667 people
- By 2030
- 487,524 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 542,035 · +17.9%
- By 2050
- 595,371 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 732,998 · +59.5%
- By 2100
- 820,415 · +78.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richland
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.96%
- Current HPI
- 195.3158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.21%
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+566.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $149,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $159,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $164,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2004-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 1987-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,900 Public Records
- 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1978-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,130 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…