509 Highland Dr · West Memphis, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- ARV discount +2.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 9,148 sq ft lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 52 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Has carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Built on a 0.21-acre lot (approx. 60 x 150)
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Patio/porch: none indicated; Wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric range/oven
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Storm windows; Blinds; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (5.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (5.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Richland Elementary School (math 43% / reading 22%, grade F, #277 of 454 statewide, top 61%, 528 students, 100% FRL); West Junior High School (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #175 of 201 statewide, top 88%, 507 students, 100% FRL); The Academies of West Memphis Charter School (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #265 of 292 statewide, top 91%, 952 students, 100% FRL, charter) — zoned schools at 100% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $150k implies a 266% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.77%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,032
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- 11.01%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 516 Highland Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,103 (+2%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $141 | 84 |
| 603 Baylor Dr | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (-2%) | 1mo | $133,000 | $127 | 79 |
| 1020 Lehr St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 1,026 (-5%) | 11mo | $138,000 | $135 | 78 |
| 508 Arlington Dr | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (-6%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $133 | 77 |
| 1113 Spears St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,076 (-0%) | 7mo | $136,250 | $127 | 73 |
| 409 Balfour Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (-3%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $149 | 70 |
| 208 S Center Dr | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,137 (+6%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $44 | 68 |
| 1409 N Avalon St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,172 (+9%) | 2mo | $164,900 | $141 | 63 |
| 227 S Worthington Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,013 (-6%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $168 | 60 |
| 487 Belvedere Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 949 (-12%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $132 | 57 |
| 819 Preston Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-6%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $154 | 55 |
| 1404 Chester Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,164 (+8%) | 9mo | $173,500 | $149 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-11,497
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $6,314
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72301
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,413 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $792/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $202
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $287 | -5% $244 | +0% $202 | +5% $159 | +10% $117 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $90 | -5% $146 | +0% $202 | +5% $258 | +10% $313 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $277 | -0.5pp $240 | base $202 | +0.5pp $163 | +1.0pp $123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1057 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 905 Deaunta Farrow ST West Memphis, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $650 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $149,900 Pending 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-20$159,900 Active 350-char remark
-
2022-03-17soldstatus $41,000
-
2003-08-18soldstatus $72,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $792 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $959 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$167/yr (+$14/mo · 21.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,956
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$792
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,356
- − Management
- −$1,356
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$56
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$13
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,434/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Memphis School District
- NCES district ID
- 0508040
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,382
- Composite
- 12.22/100
- National rank
- #9647
- State rank
- #224 of 238 in AR
Livability — West Memphis
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #23638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Memphis, AR
- City population
- 24,182
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,182
Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,254 people
- By 2030
- 42,953 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 38,235 · -15.5%
- By 2050
- 33,670 · -25.6%
- By 2075
- 24,315 · -46.3%
- By 2100
- 17,173 · -62.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.63%
- Current HPI
- 182.7665
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+108.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Pending — EARA
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $149,900 EARA
- 2026-04-20 Listed $159,900 EARA
- 2022-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $792 · +258.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…