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509 Highland Dr
D Composite 43.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

509 Highland Dr · West Memphis, AR 72301
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,077 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1955 9,148 sqft lot $139/sqft · 11% above area Est $135k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 9,148 sq ft lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 52 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Has carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Built on a 0.21-acre lot (approx. 60 x 150)
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Patio/porch: none indicated; Wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric range/oven
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Storm windows; Blinds; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (5.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (5.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Richland Elementary School (math 43% / reading 22%, grade F, #277 of 454 statewide, top 61%, 528 students, 100% FRL); West Junior High School (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #175 of 201 statewide, top 88%, 507 students, 100% FRL); The Academies of West Memphis Charter School (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #265 of 292 statewide, top 91%, 952 students, 100% FRL, charter) — zoned schools at 100% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $41k; list at $150k implies a 266% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,297 (5.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.77%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,032
List price
$149,900
Delta
11.01%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
516 Highland Dr 0.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,103 (+2%) 6mo $155,000 $141 84
603 Baylor Dr 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (-2%) 1mo $133,000 $127 79
1020 Lehr St 0.11mi 2/1.0 1,026 (-5%) 11mo $138,000 $135 78
508 Arlington Dr 0.04mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,014 (-6%) 8mo $135,000 $133 77
1113 Spears St 0.30mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,076 (-0%) 7mo $136,250 $127 73
409 Balfour Rd 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (-3%) 3mo $155,000 $149 70
208 S Center Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,137 (+6%) 0mo $50,000 $44 68
1409 N Avalon St 0.29mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,172 (+9%) 2mo $164,900 $141 63
227 S Worthington Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,013 (-6%) 3mo $169,900 $168 60
487 Belvedere Dr 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 949 (-12%) 6mo $125,000 $132 57
819 Preston Rd 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-6%) 4mo $155,000 $154 55
1404 Chester Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,164 (+8%) 9mo $173,500 $149 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-11,497
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$6,314
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,413 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $792/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$202

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,158
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $287 -5% $244 +0% $202 +5% $159 +10% $117
Rent -10% $90 -5% $146 +0% $202 +5% $258 +10% $313
Rate -1.0pp $277 -0.5pp $240 base $202 +0.5pp $163 +1.0pp $123

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR 2.0 2.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 3d 1 0.21mi
905 Deaunta Farrow ST West Memphis, AR 1.0 1.0 850 $650 $0.76 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $149,900 Pending 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,900 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-04-20
    listed $159,900 Active 350-char remark
  11. 2022-03-17
    soldstatus $41,000
  12. 2003-08-18
    soldstatus $72,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$792 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$959 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$167/yr (+$14/mo · 21.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,956
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$792
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,356
− Management
−$1,356
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$56
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$13
After-tax cash flow
$2,434/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+108.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Pending EARA
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $149,900 EARA
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $159,900 EARA
  • 2022-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
  • 2003-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $792 · +258.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…