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107 Walking Trail Way
D- Composite 38.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.3/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$449,000

107 Walking Trail Way · Madison, AL 35758
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,188 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 2015 8,100 sqft lot $205/sqft · at area comps Est $472k · at est. $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Open houses 29 & 30 Jun from 2-4pm. Madison city gem in Palmer Place neighborhood at end of cul-de-sac just steps away from Bradford Creek Greenway boasts an open floorplan with 4 beds, an office, 2 ½ baths and 2188sqft. Dormer windows and inviting covered front porch provide curb appeal galore. Open floorplan featuring gas fireplace and chef’s dream kitchen with large island, granite, backsplash and gas range make for easy living. Tranquil backyard with professional landscaping, privacy fence and covered patio is the perfect place for morning coffee or evening relaxing. Floorplan with dimensions in additional documents.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Open floor plan
  • Greenway trail

Tags

CUL-DE-SACGREENWAY TRAILSPORTS COMPLEXOPEN FLOOR PLANHARDWOOD FLOORING9-FOOT CEILINGS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 135; Living area approximately 2,188; Virtual tour available
  • HOA & community: HOA with an annual fee of $250; Subdivision: Palmer Place; Community curbs

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 2015; Residential property
  • Construction: Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Curb and gutters; Sidewalk; Underground utilities; Park nearby; Concrete driveway; Located on a cul-de-sac; Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas cooktop
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace with gas log

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $449k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (46.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (56.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (56.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Madison Elementary School (math 53% / reading 72%, grade B, #51 of 627 statewide, top 8%, 505 students, 27% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 45% / reading 77%, grade B+, #9 of 257 statewide, top 3%, 1,493 students, 22% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $48k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $45k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($436k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,380 (56.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 56% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.44%
Cap rate
3.11%
Cash-on-cash
-11.38%
DSCR
0.49
GRM
19.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$472,319
List price
$449,000
Delta
-4.94%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 Walking Trail Way 0.00mi 4/2.5 2,188 (0%) 23mo $429,000 $196 77
124 Walking Trail Way 0.13mi 4/2.5 2,354 (+8%) 6mo $442,000 $188 72
107 Pipet Way 0.47mi 4/3.0 2,262 (+3%) 3mo $421,000 $186 64
143 Walking Trail Way 0.23mi 4/3.0 2,466 (+13%) 1mo $465,000 $189 61
120 Walking Trail Way 0.10mi 4/2.5 2,486 (+14%) 24mo $429,000 $173 48
108 Waxwing St 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,994 (-9%) 13mo $415,000 $208 48
117 Waxwing St 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,449 (+12%) 20mo $450,000 $184 36
137 Waxwing St 0.46mi 4/3.0 2,483 (+14%) 23mo $465,000 $187 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$165,642
Equity at exit
$404,495
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
5.31×
Total profit
$541,854
Equity at exit
$872,308

Cash invested: $125,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35758

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
382
Price-to-rent
19.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,954 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,355
Tax from tax record
$173 /mo · $2,079/yr
Insurance
$187
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$-1,192

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,463
Max offer price $238,352
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,250
Closing costs
$13,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
159 Little Britain St Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1837 $1,950 $1.06 14d 1 0.70mi
169 Little Britain St Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,850 $1.00 23d 1 0.70mi
161 Little Britain St Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1837 $1,850 $1.01 23d 1 0.70mi
169 Protestant Dr Triana, AL 3.0 2.0 1837 $1,995 $1.09 43d 1 0.73mi
169 Protestant Dr Triana, AL 3.0 2.0 1837 $1,895 $1.03 23d 1 0.73mi
161 Protestant Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1837 $2,050 $1.12 23d 1 0.73mi
111 Little Britain St Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,850 $1.00 43d 1 0.75mi
108 Grantham Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1600 $850 $0.53 14d 1 0.76mi
139 Little Britain St Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,950 $1.05 23d 1 0.77mi
228 Grantham Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1588 $1,850 $1.16 23d 1 0.78mi
228 Grantham Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1588 $1,850 $1.16 43d 1 0.78mi
162 Rugby Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,980 $1.07 43d 1 0.82mi
107 Little Britain ST Triana, AL 3.0 2.0 1837 $2,050 $1.12 43d 1 0.85mi
211 New Bristol Ln Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1956 $2,000 $1.02 14d 1 0.86mi
9000 Sanctuary Loop Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1078 $2,079 $1.93 14d 17 0.95mi
244 Kyser Blvd Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1315 $1,729 $1.31 43d 23 0.98mi
246 Healey Dr Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1950 $2,495 $1.28 43d 1 1.01mi
109 Maple Spring Trl Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 1775 $1,823 $1.03 23d 1 1.08mi
103 Thornley Ct Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1704 $1,550 $0.91 23d 1 1.13mi
250 Cork Aly Madison, AL 3.0 3.0 1932 $1,775 $0.92 23d 1 1.28mi
267 New Bristol Ln Madison, AL 4.0 2.0 1932 $2,100 $1.09 14d 1 1.31mi
4286 Sullivan St Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1815 $2,100 $1.16 21d 1 1.38mi
129 Telluride Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1912 $1,885 $0.99 23d 1 1.39mi
85 Shorter St Madison, AL 3.0 1.0–3.0 1182 $1,799 $1.52 43d 13 1.40mi
227 Park Stone Dr Madison, AL 4.0 2.5 2516 $2,300 $0.91 23d 1 1.42mi
114 Telluride Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1578 $1,795 $1.14 43d 1 1.44mi
105 Whisperbrook Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1608 $1,800 $1.12 23d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr
Likely covers
gaslandscaping

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $449,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $449,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $449,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $449,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $449,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $449,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $449,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $449,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $449,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $459,000 Contingent 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $459,000 Contingent 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $459,000 Contingent 17 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $459,000 Contingent 16 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $459,000 Contingent 15 DOM
  15. 2026-05-18
    historical Contingent 676-char remark
  16. 2026-05-15
    listed $459,000 Active 676-char remark
  17. 2024-07-30
    soldstatus $429,000 Sold 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    Open houses 29 & 30 Jun from 2-4pm. Madison city gem in Palmer Place neighborhood at end of cul-de-sac just steps away from Bradford Creek Greenway boasts an open floorplan with 4 beds, an office, 2 ½ baths and 2188sqft. Dormer windows and inviting covered front porch provide curb appeal galore. Open floorplan featuring gas fireplace and chef’s dream kitchen with large island, granite, backsplash and gas range make for easy living. Tranquil backyard with professional landscaping, privacy fence and covered patio is the perfect place for morning coffee or evening relaxing. Floorplan with dimensions in additional documents.

  18. 2024-07-30
    soldstatus $429,000
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    Open houses 29 & 30 Jun from 2-4pm. Madison city gem in Palmer Place neighborhood at end of cul-de-sac just steps away from Bradford Creek Greenway boasts an open floorplan with 4 beds, an office, 2 ½ baths and 2188sqft. Dormer windows and inviting covered front porch provide curb appeal galore. Open floorplan featuring gas fireplace and chef’s dream kitchen with large island, granite, backsplash and gas range make for easy living. Tranquil backyard with professional landscaping, privacy fence and covered patio is the perfect place for morning coffee or evening relaxing. Floorplan with dimensions in additional documents.

  19. 2024-06-28
    status Pending 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    Open houses 29 & 30 Jun from 2-4pm. Madison city gem in Palmer Place neighborhood at end of cul-de-sac just steps away from Bradford Creek Greenway boasts an open floorplan with 4 beds, an office, 2 ½ baths and 2188sqft. Dormer windows and inviting covered front porch provide curb appeal galore. Open floorplan featuring gas fireplace and chef’s dream kitchen with large island, granite, backsplash and gas range make for easy living. Tranquil backyard with professional landscaping, privacy fence and covered patio is the perfect place for morning coffee or evening relaxing. Floorplan with dimensions in additional documents.

  20. 2024-06-23
    listed $429,000 Active 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    Open houses 29 & 30 Jun from 2-4pm. Madison city gem in Palmer Place neighborhood at end of cul-de-sac just steps away from Bradford Creek Greenway boasts an open floorplan with 4 beds, an office, 2 ½ baths and 2188sqft. Dormer windows and inviting covered front porch provide curb appeal galore. Open floorplan featuring gas fireplace and chef’s dream kitchen with large island, granite, backsplash and gas range make for easy living. Tranquil backyard with professional landscaping, privacy fence and covered patio is the perfect place for morning coffee or evening relaxing. Floorplan with dimensions in additional documents.

  21. 2022-09-02
    soldstatus $392,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    Come see this custom brick ranch in desirable Madison neighborhood across from the park and nestled beside the Bradford greenway. Built by Signature Homes in 2015 this house has 4 bedrooms and 3 baths. Open floor plan with hardwoods throughout the home. Kitchen boasts granite countertops, backsplash, gas stove, an updated hood and an island for extra seating which overlooks the great room with gas log fireplace. There is a study off the kitchen area with glass doors and beautiful stained beams in the foyer. Covered back porch and privacy fenced with a two car garage. Award winning schools.

  22. 2022-09-02
    soldstatus $392,000
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    Come see this custom brick ranch in desirable Madison neighborhood across from the park and nestled beside the Bradford greenway. Built by Signature Homes in 2015 this house has 4 bedrooms and 3 baths. Open floor plan with hardwoods throughout the home. Kitchen boasts granite countertops, backsplash, gas stove, an updated hood and an island for extra seating which overlooks the great room with gas log fireplace. There is a study off the kitchen area with glass doors and beautiful stained beams in the foyer. Covered back porch and privacy fenced with a two car garage. Award winning schools.

  23. 2022-08-15
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    Come see this custom brick ranch in desirable Madison neighborhood across from the park and nestled beside the Bradford greenway. Built by Signature Homes in 2015 this house has 4 bedrooms and 3 baths. Open floor plan with hardwoods throughout the home. Kitchen boasts granite countertops, backsplash, gas stove, an updated hood and an island for extra seating which overlooks the great room with gas log fireplace. There is a study off the kitchen area with glass doors and beautiful stained beams in the foyer. Covered back porch and privacy fenced with a two car garage. Award winning schools.

  24. 2022-07-24
    listed $389,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    Come see this custom brick ranch in desirable Madison neighborhood across from the park and nestled beside the Bradford greenway. Built by Signature Homes in 2015 this house has 4 bedrooms and 3 baths. Open floor plan with hardwoods throughout the home. Kitchen boasts granite countertops, backsplash, gas stove, an updated hood and an island for extra seating which overlooks the great room with gas log fireplace. There is a study off the kitchen area with glass doors and beautiful stained beams in the foyer. Covered back porch and privacy fenced with a two car garage. Award winning schools.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,079 · $173/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,079 · $173/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,446
− Mortgage interest
−$25,151
− Property taxes
−$2,079
− Insurance
−$2,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,876
− Management
−$1,876
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$13,062
Taxable loss
−$23,094
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,543
After-tax cash flow
$-8,767/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison City
NCES district ID
0100008
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$89,091
Composite
55.56/100
National rank
#1238
State rank
#4 of 129 in AL

Livability — Madison

Score
76/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3280

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
93,742
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
50,266
Household income
$117,380
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
875.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.46%
Current HPI
355.2784
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Relisted VMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $449,000 VMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Contingent VMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $459,000 VMLS
  • 2024-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $429,000 Public Records
  • 2024-07-30 Sold (MLS) $429,000 VMLS
  • 2024-06-28 Pending VMLS
  • 2024-06-23 Listed $429,000 VMLS
  • 2022-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $392,000 Public Records
  • 2022-09-02 Sold (MLS) $392,000 VMLS
  • 2022-08-15 Pending VMLS
  • 2022-07-24 Listed $389,900 VMLS

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,079 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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