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362 Palmetto Ave
D- Composite 38.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

362 Palmetto Ave · Freeport, FL 32439
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 2007 0.25 ac lot Est $276k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Seller offering $5,000 credit toward closing costs or rate buy down! No HOA in a convenient Freeport, Florida location south of Route 20 and just minutes from 30A. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,232 square feet of well-designed living space on a spacious 0.26-acre lot. Features include an open-concept living area with breakfast bar, split-bedroom floor plan, private en-suite primary bedroom, full laundry room, crown molding, and an enclosed back patio. Ideally located about 15 minutes from the beaches of 30A, 5 minutes to Grady Brown Park and the 331 bridge, and 1 mile to Black Creek Marina, with easy access to boating, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 2007

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Subdivision: MAGNOLIA BAYE

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 driveway spaces
  • Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Septic tank; Central electric heating control; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Florida cottage style; 1 story; Built in 2007
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composite shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Partially fenced lot; Yard building; Rain gutters; Porch; Dead-end street; Within 1/2 mile to water; Survey available; County road frontage (paved)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom is on the first floor; Master bedroom is carpeted; Master bedroom has a walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Tile; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Crown molding; Split bedroom floor plan; Washer/dryer hookup; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($210/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (22.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $232k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#520 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Freeport Elementary School (math 50% / reading 57%, grade C, #949 of 2,144 statewide, top 45%, 1,123 students, 55% FRL); Emerald Coast Middle School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade A-, #77 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 24% FRL); Freeport Senior High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #138 of 667 statewide, top 21%, 557 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 1020 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $232,361 (22.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.25%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$275,968
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
392 Palmetto Ave 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,232 (0%) 16mo $316,000 $256 85
165 Palmetto Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+5%) 4mo $290,000 $224 81
75 Palmetto Ave 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,316 (+7%) 4mo $255,000 $194 77
356 Stillwater Rd 0.19mi 3/3.0 1,372 (+11%) 14mo $267,000 $195 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.4% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-51,301
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-58,360
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32439

Home prices YoY
-4.2%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
1020
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,324 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,439/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$488
Net cashflow
$18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,301
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $187 -5% $102 +0% $18 +5% $-67 +10% $-152
Rent -10% $-166 -5% $-74 +0% $18 +5% $109 +10% $201
Rate -1.0pp $169 -0.5pp $94 base $18 +0.5pp $-60 +1.0pp $-139

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
48 Formby St Freeport, FL 3.0 2.0 924 $1,850 $2.00 23d 1 0.49mi
1952 County Highway 3280 Unit 3280 Freeport, FL 3.0 2.0 1269 $1,900 $1.50 23d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $300,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $300,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $300,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $300,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $300,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 678-char remark
  13. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $300,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,000 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,000 Active 30 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $299,000 Active 29 DOM
  19. 2026-05-01
    listed $299,000 Active
  20. 2025-05-09
    price $309,000
  21. 2025-03-28
    listed $310,000 Active
  22. 2024-03-09
    price $315,000
  23. 2024-02-13
    price $325,000
  24. 2023-11-29
    listed $335,000 Active
  25. 2023-10-11
    price $295,000
  26. 2023-09-03
    listed $375,000 Active
  27. 2022-06-03
    soldstatus $265,000
  28. 2022-06-02
    soldstatus $265,000 Sold
  29. 2022-06-02
    soldstatus $265,000 Sold
  30. 2022-05-28
    historical
  31. 2022-05-28
    listed $265,000
  32. 2021-12-14
    historical
  33. 2016-04-01
    historical
  34. 2016-02-12
    listed $150,000
  35. 2016-02-12
    listed $150,000
  36. 2014-04-07
    historical
  37. 2013-12-18
    listed $125,000
  38. 2013-12-18
    listed $125,000
  39. 2013-12-18
    listed $125,000
  40. 2004-12-07
    soldstatus $20,000
  41. 2001-09-12
    soldstatus $9,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,439 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,490 · $208/mo
Expected delta
+$1,051/yr (+$88/mo · 73.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,883
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$1,439
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,231
− Management
−$2,231
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$5,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,212
After-tax cash flow
$1,422/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walton
NCES district ID
1201980
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,794
Composite
52.03/100
National rank
#1634
State rank
#10 of 73 in FL

Livability — Freeport

Score
68/100
State rank
#520
US rank
#9579

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Walton County · 70,839 people
City population
15,328
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
15,328
Household income
$83,227
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
172.0

Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,014 people
By 2030
88,120 · +10.1%
By 2040
103,537 · +29.4%
By 2050
117,034 · +46.3%
By 2075
143,901 · +79.8%
By 2100
155,138 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Native American 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walton

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.18%
Current HPI
350.4692
Rent YoY
▲ 1.40%
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3047.4% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $299,000 ECAR
  • 2025-05-09 Price Changed $309,000 ECAR
  • 2025-03-28 Listed $310,000 ECAR
  • 2024-03-09 Price Changed $315,000 ECAR
  • 2024-02-13 Price Changed $325,000 ECAR
  • 2023-11-29 Listed $335,000 ECAR
  • 2023-10-11 Price Changed $295,000 ECAR
  • 2023-09-03 Listed $375,000 ECAR
  • 2022-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-02 Sold (MLS) $265,000 NAMLS
  • 2022-06-02 Sold (MLS) $265,000 ECAR
  • 2022-05-28 Listed $265,000 NAMLS
  • 2022-05-28 Listing Removed NAMLS
  • 2021-12-14 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2016-04-01 Listing Removed NAMLS
  • 2016-02-12 Listed $150,000 ECAR
  • 2016-02-12 Listed $150,000 NAMLS
  • 2014-04-07 Listing Removed NAMLS
  • 2013-12-18 Listed $125,000 NAMLS
  • 2013-12-18 Listed $125,000 ECAR
  • 2013-12-18 Listed $125,000 CPARMLS
  • 2004-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2001-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,439 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…